Karen Khachanov vs Casper Ruud Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Ruud rolling in Rome

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Wed 13 May 2026 01:38

Andrew Hendrie 13 May 2026

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Karen Khachanov vs Casper Ruud predictions for Wednesday's ATP Rome quarter-final
Ruud hasn't dropped more than four games in a set on his way to the last eight
Khachanov not in convincing form & arrived in Rome with a negative W-L record for 2026
The match is scheduled to start around 11.00pm AEST on Wednesday May 13

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Casper Ruud (Photo by Getty Images)

Karen Khachanov vs Casper Ruud Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Casper Ruud looks to extend his strong record in Rome Masters quarter-finals when he comes up against Karen Khachanov on Wednesday.

Karen Khachanov vs Casper Ruud Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Khachanov vs Ruud Stats & Trends
Khachanov vs Ruud Head To Head
Karen Khachanov Form Analysis
Casper Ruud Form Analysis
Khachanov vs Ruud Live Stream

It hasn't been a great season for Ruud on the court - he's suffered from some injuries and recently dropped out of the top 20 after failing to defend his Madrid title. However, Ruud has returned to some of his best tennis this tournament in Rome, advancing to the quarter-finals without dropping more than four games in a set - and that run has included victories over strong players such as Jiri Lehecka and Lorenzo Musetti.

Meanwhile, Khachanov arrived in Rome with a negative 8-10 record and enduring a challenging season - but, with the assistance of a favourable draw, the Russian has progressed to the Rome quarter-finals for the first time.

However, I'm going to need to see more from Khachanov before I can confidently back him against a player of Ruud's calibre on clay. Ruud has beaten the better players this tournament and is the superior player on clay. Another straight sets victory for the Norwegian looks the most likely scenario.

Khachanov vs Ruud Stats & Trends

Seven of Ruud's last eight wins have come in straight sets
Ruud is 3-1 in Rome quarter-final matches
Khachanov had won just three matches in his last six events before Rome
Khachanov is 0-2 in Masters 1000 clay quarter-finals
Khachanov's last four defeats have been in straight sets
Ruud hasn't lost more than four games in a set this tournament

Khachanov vs Ruud Head To Head

Ruud leads 2-1, including winning their first meeting in Rome and their big US Open 2022 semi-final.

Year	Winner	Event	Round	Surface	Score
2025	Karen Khachanov	Canadian Open	Round of 16	Outdoor Hard	6–4, 7–5
2022	Casper Ruud	US Open	Semifinal	Outdoor Hard	7–6(5), 6–2, 5–7, 6–2
2020	Casper Ruud	Italian Open	Round of 64	Outdoor Clay	6–3, 3–6, 6–1

Karen Khachanov Form Analysis

2026 Record: 11-10
ATP Rome Record: 11-8
Current Ranking: No. 15
Career-High Ranking: No. 8 (2019)

Khachanov had a good chance to re-enter the top 10 after winning the Canada Masters last year, but he's found life challenging on tour throughout 2026.

Indeed, Khachanov had lost more matches than he'd won before arriving in Rome, winning just three times across his last six events.

That run included opening exits on clay in Monte Carlo and Barcelona before losing his second match in Madrid to Jakub Mensik.

I wouldn't say Khachanov is back with this quarter-final run in Rome, but it's surely a confidence-booster.

The 29-year-old has beaten Alexander Shevchenko, Botic Van De Zandschulp and young gun Dino Prizmic on his way to the last eight for the first time. Prizmic had earlier upset Novak Djokovic, but the 20-year-old suffered a letdown and Khachanov took full advantage with a 6-1 7-6(2) victory in the R16.

Casper Ruud Form Analysis

2026 Record: 15-9
ATP Rome Record: 19-6
Current Ranking: No. 25
Career-High Ranking: No. 2 (2022)

It wasn't the most prolific start to the season for Ruud on the court - he only made one quarter-final across the opening three-and-a-half months and that was at the weak ATP 250 in Delray Beach, where he only needed to win one match.

Part of Ruud's quiet start to the year can be attributed to the birth of his first child, while he also suffered an injury that forced his retirement in Monte Carlo.

However, the Norwegian looks back to his best after making the quarter-finals in Madrid and backing it up with another run to the last eight in Rome.

It's the manner of Ruud's wins in Rome that have been most impressive - he opened his campaign with a 6-1 6-3 win over Zachary Svajda before a 6-3 6-4 triumph over the in-form Jiri Lehecka.

Ruud then backed it up with a crushing 6-3 6-1 victory over home hope Lorenzo Musetti to make the quarter-finals for the fifth time.