2026 Indian Wells

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Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Brooksby to advance in Indian Wells opener

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Wed 04 Mar 2026 04:06

Andrew Hendrie 04 Mar 2026

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Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin predictions for Wednesday's ATP Indian Wells R1
Brooksby has a 6-3 record at Indian Wells, never losing to a player outside the top 15
Popyrin struggling with just two wins since August
The match is scheduled to start around 10.00am AEDT on Thursday March 5

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Jenson Brooksby (Photo by Getty Images)

Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Alexei Popyrin remains in a significant form slump as the Aussie prepares to face the unorthodox Jenson Brooksby in the first round of the Indian Wells Masters on Wednesday.

Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Brooksby vs Popyrin Stats & Trends
Brooksby vs Popyrin Head To Head
Jenson Brooksby Form Analysis
Alexei Popyrin Form Analysis
Brooksby vs Popyrin Live Stream

Popyrin has been struggling considerably since last year's Canada Masters and comes into Indian Wells with just two wins from his last 14 matches at all levels. The Aussie is down on confidence and his poor record in the Californian desert doesn't spark much hope here.

Brooksby on the other hand appears on an upward trend - the American played well in his last tournament in Dubai to make the quarter-finals and has a strong 6-3 record at Indian Wells, where it has taken top 15 players to eliminate him in three previous appearances.

This looks like a horror matchup for Popyrin. He's struggling for form and confidence and now he comes up against the unorthodox game style of Brooksby - no two shots are the same and he won't give the Aussie any rhythm. He also enjoys the slower conditions in the desert. I'm taking Brooksby in straights.

Brooksby vs Popyrin Stats & Trends

Popyrin has lost 12 of his last 14 matches
Five of Popyrin's last six defeats have been in straight sets
Brooksby has won two of his last three matches vs top 50 players
Brooksby has won six of his nine previous Indian Wells matches
Brooksby has never lost to a player outside the top 15 in Indian Wells
Popyrin has lost five of his nine previous Indian Wells matches
Popyrin has never beaten a top 50 player at Indian Wells
Brooksby's last eight wins have come in straight sets

Brooksby vs Popyrin Head To Head

This will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Jenson Brooksby Form Analysis

2026 Record: 3-5
ATP Indian Wells Record: 6-3
Current Ranking: No. 41
Career-High Ranking: No. 33

It was a slow start to the season for Brooksby, but he did receive some tough draws.

Indeed, the American went out in the second round of Auckland to eventual runner-up Sebastian Baez before drawing 10th seed Alexander Bublik in the first round of the Australian Open.

Brooksby then came up against Tommy Paul and Jiri Lehecka in the first round of Dallas and Doha respectively.

The 25-year-old caught a break in Dubai where he beat Zizou Bergs in the opening round before registering his best win of the year over Karen Khachanov.

Brooksby has made the R16 and third round in his last two Indian Wells appearances.

Alexei Popyrin Form Analysis

2026 Record: 2-6
ATP Indian Wells Record: 4-5
Current Ranking: No. 45
Career-High Ranking: No. 19

It's a miracle Popyrin is somehow still ranked inside the top 50 considering he's won two matches since August 25.

Popyrin lost in the opening round of Brisbane, Adelaide and the Australian Open before crashing out in the first round of the Manama Challenger to the World No. 142.

That was a new low point for Popyrin and he proceeded to lose in the first round of Rotterdam before finally getting on the board in Doha - but that win came over an unranked local wildcard.

Popyrin did get a first 'real' victory in his last tournament in Doha over Kamil Majchrzak, edging the Pole 7-5 in the deciding set, but was no match for Jakub Mensik in the following round, losing 6-3 6-2.

Brooksby vs Popyrin Live Stream

Watch and bet on Jenson Brooksby vs Alexei Popyrin live tennis from Indian Wells.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Indian Wells with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Jenson Brooksby v Alexei Popyrin

Popyrin is in dire form and Brooksby enjoys Indian Wells - the American should come out on top.

Brooksby Win

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