Carlos Alcaraz vs Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Vienna Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Alcaraz targets quarter-finals
Carlos Alcaraz is tipped to cover the -4.5 games handicap in his ATP Vienna second round match against Nikoloz Basilashvili. Alcaraz has an impressive 44-2 record in his last 46 matches against players ranked 90 or lower and leads the head-to-head 2-0, though this will be their first meeting in over four years. Basilashvili has shown recent improvement but remains inconsistent, and has failed to cover a +4.5 line in his last five completed defeats to top 10 players in best-of-three matches. The -4.5 line is considered the best play.
- Carlos Alcaraz vs Nikoloz Basilashvili predictions for Thursday's ATP Vienna R2
- Basilashvili in resurgent form, but has failed to cover this line vs top 10 players lately
- Alcaraz with strong record vs 90+ ranked players, backed to cover -4.5 line
- The match is scheduled to start around 1.30am AEDT on Friday October 30
Carlos Alcaraz v Nikoloz Basilashvili Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Vienna. T&Cs apply.
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Carlos Alcaraz vs Nikoloz Basilashvili ATP Vienna Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Carlos Alcaraz has won 44 of his last 46 matches against players ranked 90+ and is tipped to move past a resurgent Nikoloz Basilashvili when the pair clash in the second round of Vienna on Thursday.
Basilashvili is one of the most erratic players on tour, equally capable of taking a top 10 scalp (which he's done nine times) or losing to someone outside the top 500. The Georgian has the talent, but the mindset and consistency is all over the place. Basilashvili's firepower might trouble Alcaraz at stages, but it's highly unlikely he maintains a level high enough to cause the upset. Decent chance he completely fades away in one set too, so Alcaraz -4.5 is the best play in a match that's tough to find value.
Alcaraz vs Basilashvili Predictions & Best Bets
| Bet | Odds | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Alcaraz -4.5 | $1.70 @ Unibet | Alcaraz is 44-2 in his last 46 matches vs players ranked 90+, while he's also on a 22-match winning run at ATP 500 level since April 2025. Basilashvili has failed to cover a +4.5 line in his last five completed defeats vs top 10 players in BO3 + has a tendency to drift out of matches, making -4.5 line an attractive option |
Alcaraz vs Basilashvili Head To Head
Alcaraz leads 2-0, but this will be their first clash in over four years.
| Year | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | ATP Masters 1000 Madrid | Round of 32 | Outdoor Clay | Carlos Alcaraz | 6–3, 7–5 |
| 2021 | Roland Garros | Round of 64 | Outdoor Clay | Carlos Alcaraz | 6–4, 6–2, 6–4 |
Carlos Alcaraz Form Analysis
- ATP 2026 Record: 34-5
- ATP Vienna Record: 4-1
- Current Ranking: No. 3
- Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2022)
Injuries have undoubtedly disrupted Alcaraz's season, but the silver lining is that he could now be fully refreshed and highly motivated heading into the biggest European indoor swing of his career.
The Spaniard has made an encouraging return from his wrist injury, reaching the US Open quarter-finals before lifting the title in Tokyo. However, his momentum took a slight hit at the Shanghai Masters, where he suffered a straight-sets defeat to Zizou Bergs in the Round of 32.
Alcaraz bounced back with a solid 6-4 7-6(5) victory over Karen Khachanov in his Vienna opener. The 23-year-old won 35/44 points behind his first serve and recovered from the disappointment of failing to serve out the contest at 5-4 in the second, ultimately edging out the ensuing tiebreak.
Nikoloz Basilashvili Form Analysis
- ATP 2026 Record: 12-11
- ATP Vienna Record: 3-5
- Current Ranking: No. 90
- Career-High Ranking: No. 16 (2019)
It's been a wild career for Basilashvili, but he could be heading back to some of his best tennis if his recent performances are any indication.
Basilashvili's ranking dropped out of the top 1,000 in 2024, but he's slowly been working his way back and he had a very fruitful Asian swing.
The Georgian registered a 7-3 record, reaching the Chengdu semi-finals before a runner-up finish in Almaty last week, beating Stefanos Tsitsipas before going down in three sets to Daniil Medvedev.
It was a quick turnaround for Basilashvili, but he maintained his high level to defeat wildcard Juri Rodionov 7-6(3) 6-1 in his Vienna opener.
Alcaraz vs Basilashvili Live Stream
Watch and bet on Carlos Alcaraz vs Nikoloz Basilashvili live tennis from Vienna.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Vienna with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
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Verdict
Alcaraz is backed to cover a -4.5 line in victory to make the QFs in Vienna.
Alcaraz -4.5
Games Line
$1.70 - 2 Units
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