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England vs Papua New Guinea Rugby League World Cup 2026 Tips & Predictions - Big English Win

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Tue. 27 Oct. 2026 07:31

England are backed to cover the -36.5 handicap against Papua New Guinea in the Rugby League World Cup, following their 82-0 win over France and PNG's defensive collapse against Samoa. Under 60.5 total points is also recommended, anticipating a more measured scoring performance than England's last match. Herbie Farnworth 2+ tries is the final selection after his first-half hat-trick in Round 2. Team news includes Morgan Knowles returning for England and Zac Laybutt starting at fullback for PNG.

Jeremy Darke 1 hour ago
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  • England are tipped to cover the -36.5 handicap against Papua New Guinea.
  • England beat France 82-0, while PNG conceded 64 points to Samoa.
  • Under 60.5 total points and Herbie Farnworth 2+ tries are also selected.
England vs Papua New Guinea Rugby League World Cup 2026 Tips
England vs Papua New Guinea Rugby League World Cup 2026 Tips

England vs Papua New Guinea Rugby League World Cup 2026 Tips - England Backed for Another Big Win


England's Rugby League World Cup campaign reaches a crucial point on Friday when they face Papua New Guinea in Wollongong, with both nations fighting to keep their semi-final hopes alive.

Brian McDermott's side responded emphatically to their opening defeat against Tonga, dismantling France 82-0 in Perth. England now need another convincing performance, and we're backing them to cover the -36.5 handicap against a PNG side that conceded 64 points to Samoa last weekend.

The Kumuls showed plenty of fight early against Samoa before falling away badly after half-time. We're expecting England to take control again, although Under 60.5 total points is our second selection as we anticipate a more controlled scoring performance than the France demolition.

Herbie Farnworth 2+ tries completes our bets after the centre's stunning first-half hat-trick in Round 2.

England vs Papua New Guinea Key Stats


  • England bounced back from a 30-12 defeat to Tonga with an 82-0 victory over France.
  • Papua New Guinea have conceded 82 points across their opening two World Cup matches.
  • England scored six tries in 16 minutes against France.
  • Herbie Farnworth scored a first-half hat-trick in England's Round 2 victory.
  • PNG conceded 50 unanswered second-half points in their 64-6 defeat to Samoa.

England vs Papua New Guinea Head to Head


England defeated Papua New Guinea 46-6 in the 2022 World Cup quarter-finals and 36-6 in the 2017 quarter-finals.

Both matches finished under 60.5 points, with England winning by an average margin of 35 points.

England Form Analysis


England recovered from their opening 30-12 defeat to Tonga with a record-breaking 82-0 demolition of France in Perth.

AJ Brimson delivered a player-of-the-match performance with five line breaks, seven tackle breaks, three try assists and a try.

Herbie Farnworth and Dominic Young both scored hat-tricks, while England exploded for six tries in just 16 first-half minutes after being held scoreless for the opening 20.

George Williams and Harry Smith controlled the attack, with England producing their first Test victory on Australian soil since 2008.

Papua New Guinea Form Analysis


Papua New Guinea opened their campaign with a 42-18 victory over Lebanon before suffering a heavy 64-6 defeat to Samoa.

The Kumuls led Samoa 6-4 early and trailed just 14-6 at half-time, but their defence collapsed after the break as they conceded 50 unanswered points.

Bailey Biondi-Odo has scored in both tournament matches, while Rhyse Martin crossed against Lebanon and kicked seven conversions from seven attempts.

PNG have scored 48 points and conceded 82 across their opening two matches.

England vs Papua New Guinea Team News


England have named Jez Litten at hooker and Morgan Knowles at lock, with the latter returning from a calf injury. Brad O'Neill drops to the reserves and Victor Radley moves to the interchange bench.

AJ Brimson retains the fullback jersey, while Herbie Farnworth and Dominic Young remain in the backline following their hat-tricks against France.

Papua New Guinea have moved Zac Laybutt to fullback, with Josh Feledy and Nene Macdonald named in the centres.

Luca Moretti returns at prop, while Liam Horne replaces the injured Jack de Belin at lock.

England vs Papua New Guinea Team Lists


EnglandNo.
Papua New Guinea
AJ Brimson1Zac Laybutt
Dominic Young2Robert Derby
Hugo Savala3Josh Feledy
Herbie Farnworth4
Nene Macdonald
Matty Ashton5Dudley Dotoi
George Williams6Gairo Voro
Harry Smith7
Bailey Biondi-Odo
Max King8Epel Kapinias
Jez Litten9Edwin Ipape
Luke Thompson10Luca Moretti
Junior Nsemba11Rhyse Martin
Kai Pearce-Paul12Nixon Putt
Morgan Knowles13Liam Horne
Mikey Lewis14Finley Glare
Sam Walters15Jacob Taulani
Ethan Havard16Robert Mathias
Victor Radley17Sanny Wabo
Ben Currie18
Valentine Richard
Jack Welsby19Zev John
Brad O'Neill20Morea Morea
Zach Eckersley21Rodrick Tai
Kallum Watkins22Alex Max

Verdict

England -36.5 is our best bet as McDermott's side chase another convincing victory. Under 60.5 total points and Herbie Farnworth 2+ tries complete our selections.
Best Bet4: Herbie Farnworth First Try Scorer $7.00 at dabble (BETSAU) - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Herbie Farnworth 2+ Tries $2.30 at dabble (BETSAU) - 1 Unit
Best Bet1: England -36.5 Money Line $1.91 at Betraven (bets500) - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 60.5 Game Total $1.91 at picklebet (BETSAU) Betsau only - 2 Units
Herbie Farnworth
First Try Scorer
$7.00 - 1 Unit

Bet at dabble (BETSAU)
Herbie Farnworth
2+ Tries
$2.30 - 1 Unit

Bet at dabble (BETSAU)
England -36.5
Money Line
$1.91 - 3 Units

Bet at Betraven (bets500)
Under 60.5
Game Total
$1.91 - 2 Units

Bet at picklebet (BETSAU) Betsau only

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Betting Slip | 30 Oct. 2026

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