Arthur Fils vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Basel Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Perricard holds the value in Swiss Open first round

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Tue. 27 Oct. 2026 00:13

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago

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Arthur Fils vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard predictions for Tuesday's ATP Basel R1
Fils describes Perricard as 'like a brother'; first tour-level meeting
Former champion Perricard holds all the value with a +3.5 start in these conditions
The match is scheduled to start around 2.00am AEDT on Wednesday October 28

Arthur Fils v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > ATP Basel. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Starts in To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Arthur Fils vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Basel Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

The giant-serving Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard is backed with a +3.5 start and is good value for the outright upset when he faces countryman Arthur Fils in the first round of the Swiss Indoors in Basel on Tuesday.

Arthur Fils vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard ATP Basel Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Fils vs Mpetshi Perricard Predictions & Best Bets
Fils vs Mpetshi Perricard Head To Head
Arthur Fils Form Analysis
Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Form Analysis
Fils vs Mpetshi Perricard Live Stream

The golden rule is always back the underdog in matches involving Mpetshi Perricard - especially indoors, where the margins are even smaller and often decided with the lottery of tiebreaks. Fils hasn't been great since winning the Cincinnati Masters and Perricard is a former champion in Basel - take him as the $4.50 outsider here.

Fils vs Mpetshi Perricard Predictions & Best Bets

Bet	Odds	Reasoning
Mpetshi Perricard +3.5	$1.80 @ Dabble	The margins are going to be small in these conditions, so Perricard with a +3.5 start is a no-brainer. All six of Perricard's matches in the Basel main draw have featured a tiebreak, while he's only ever lost one non-tiebreak set at this tournament
Mpetshi Perricard Win	$4.50 @ Unibet	Perricard has won five of his six matches in Basel + plus he's come through qualifying over the weekend, firing down 46 aces in two matches. Fils' form has dipped lately, coming into this clash having lost three of his last five matches

Fils vs Mpetshi Perricard Head To Head

This will be the first tour-level meeting between the pair, but Perricard leads 2-0 in Challengers/Futures.

Year	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Score
2022	Helsinki	1st Round Qualifying	Indoor Hard	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	6–3, 6–3
2021	M25 Uriage	Final	Outdoor Clay	Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard	6–3, 4–6, 7–6(7–4)

Arthur Fils Form Analysis

ATP 2026 Record: 36-14
ATP Basel Record: 3-1
Current Ranking: No. 8
Career-High Ranking: No. 8 (Oct 2026)

Excellent season for Fils after a long injury layoff last year and he's in a strong position to qualify for the ATP Finals in Turin.

However, Fils' form has certainly tailed off since he landed a first Masters 1000 title in Cincinnati.

The Frenchman went on to lose to Stefanos Tsitsipas in the first round of the US Open before suffering defeats vs lower-ranked players in Tokyo (Valentin Vacherot), Shanghai (Botic Van De Zandschulp) and Brussels last week, where he only managed one win before going down to Jan-Lennard Struff.

Fils is making his second appearance in Basel after going down to Ben Shelton in the 2024 semi-finals.

Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard Form Analysis

ATP 2026 Record: 8-18
ATP Basel Record: 5-1
Current Ranking: No. 148
Career-High Ranking: No. 29 (2025)

It's been a horror year for Mpetshi Perricard - after breaking inside the top 30 last year, he's close to tumbling out of the top 150.

But that's the risk you take when your game is basically built around a mammoth serve and nothing else - the margins are so thin and he's equally capable of beating a top 10 player and losing to some outside the top 500.

Mpetshi Perricard has registered just eight tour-level victories in 2026 and only four since January. He'll be hoping a return to Basel sparks a form reversal after he won this tournament in 2024, beating the likes of Ben Shelton, Holger Rune and Felix Auger-Aliassime along the way.

Fils vs Mpetshi Perricard Live Stream

Watch and bet on Arthur Fils vs Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard live tennis from Basel.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Basel with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Arthur Fils v Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard

Mpetshi Perricard holds all the value with a +3.5 start & for the upset.

Perricard +3.5

Games Line

$1.80 - 3 Units

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Perricard Win

H2H

$4.50 - 1 Unit

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