Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini WTA Tokyo Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Osaka begins title bid

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Mon. 26 Oct. 2026 22:38

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago

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Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini predictions for Tuesday's WTA Tokyo R1
Paolini struggling all year, still winless vs top 20 opponents
Osaka a two-time runner-up in Tokyo, expected to prevail in straights
The match is scheduled to start around 7.00pm AEDT on Tuesday October 27

Naomi Osaka v Jasmine Paolini Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > WTA Tokyo. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Starts in To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini WTA Tokyo Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Jasmine Paolini is still yet to beat a top 20 player in 2026, so Naomi Osaka is tipped to get her Toray Pan Pacific Open campaign off to a winning start in Tokyo on Tuesday night.

Naomi Osaka vs Jasmine Paolini WTA Tokyo Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Osaka vs Paolini Predictions & Best Bets
Osaka vs Paolini Head To Head
Naomi Osaka Form Analysis
Jasmine Paolini Form Analysis
Osaka vs Paolini Live Stream

Osaka is a two-time runner-up in Tokyo and has a dominant record over players ranked outside the top 20 this season, while Paolini has endured a difficult year and is set to be outclassed by another elite opponent here.

Osaka vs Paolini Predictions & Best Bets

Bet	Odds	Reasoning
Osaka 2-0	$1.85 @ Dabble	Osaka is 25-3 vs 20+ ranked players in 2026, winning 18 in straight sets, while Paolini is 0-5 vs top 20 opponents for the season, losing all five in straights

Osaka vs Paolini Head To Head

Paolini leads 1-0, prevailing in three sets in Miami last year.

Year	Tournament	Round	Surface	Winner	Loser	Score
2025	Miami Open	Round of 16	Hardcourt	Jasmine Paolini	Naomi Osaka	3–6, 6–4, 6–4

Naomi Osaka Form Analysis

WTA 2026 Record: 30-13
WTA Tokyo Record: 8-6
Current Ranking: No. 18
Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2018)

It's been an extremely consistent season for Osaka, who comes into this clash having won 21 of her last 28 matches. Eight of her last nine defeats have come against players ranked No. 11 or higher, illustrating that it's taking the best players in the world to beat her at the moment.

Karolina Muchova has proven a thorn in Osaka's side - she's contributed to three of those eight defeats, including in the R16 of Beijing, while the four-time major champion lost to current No. 1 Elena Rybakina in the Toronto quarter-finals and US Open fourth round.

This will be just the second tournament Osaka has played this Asian swing as she looks to end the year on a high - she's a two-time runner-up in Tokyo, but is making her first appearance at the tournament since 2022.

Jasmine Paolini Form Analysis

WTA 2026 Record: 22-18
WTA Tokyo Record: 0-0
Current Ranking: No. 35
Career-High Ranking: No. 4 (2024)

It's been a tough season for Paolini - she's dropped from the top 10 to outside the top 30 and as it stands, won't be seed for next year's Australian Open.

The Italian has only made two quarter-finals for the season and as mentioned, has gone 0-5 vs top 20 opponents, showcasing just how far off the pace she is.

Paolini has gone 3-3 across the Asian swing, losing in the first round of Beijing, R16 of Wuhan and the second round of Ningbo last week, going down 6-3 6-4 to Iva Jovic.