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Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners A-League Round 3 Tips & Prediction - Victory under pressure

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Fri. 30 Oct. 2026 01:43

Melbourne Victory take on Central Coast Mariners in A-League Round 3, with both teams tipped to score. Victory have conceded at least once in five of their last six matches, and the Mariners have scored against Victory in nine of the last twelve meetings. Player props highlight Matt Grimaldi and Oli Lavale for shots on target, reflecting their early season performances. While Victory's form is inconsistent and the Mariners field a youthful squad, the main expectation is for both sides to find the net at AAMI Park.

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago
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  • Melbourne Victory vs CC Mariners predictions for Sunday's A-League R3 game
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Victory Mariners


Melbourne Victory vs Central Coast Mariners A-League Round 3 Tips & Prediction


Both teams are tipped to score as Melbourne Victory welcome Central Coast Mariners to AAMI Park for A-League Round 3 action on Sunday afternoon.

It's tough to trust Victory at the moment given their current form, but this Mariners squad is literally a bunch of kids, so if they can't win this game at home new manager Giovanni Savarese will be under immense pressure.

Can't take Victory at $1.40 odds H2H, but a smaller stake on a 2-1 correct score appeals, with Oli Lavale and Matt Grimaldi also backed in player props.

Melbourne Victory vs CC Mariners Predictions & Best Bets


Bet
Odds
Reasoning
BTTS - Yes$1.70 @ CrownBetVictory have conceded 1+ goal in five of their last six games in all comps & lost vs Persib in ACL 2 mid-week. Mariners have scored vs Victory in nine of the last 12 meetings
Matt Grimaldi 1+ Shots On Target$1.62 @ UnibetGrimaldi has registered 1 shot on target in both games so far this season
Oli Lavale 1+ Shots On Target$2.20 @ bet365Lavale has been lively with six total shots in his first two appearances, hitting the target in both games (four in total)
Victory 2-1$8.50 @ DabbleMariners have conceded exactly two goals in their opening two games vs Jets & Phoenix - surely Victory win this at home, so scoring twice with Mariners getting on the scoresheet looks the most likely option

Melbourne Victory vs CC Mariners Head To Head

Victory hold a 21-10 H2H advantage over the Mariners, with 14 draws.

Last 5 Meetings

DateCompetitionHome TeamAway TeamScore
21 March 2026A-League MenMelbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners4–1
1 February 2026A-League MenCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory1–0
8 March 2025A-League MenMelbourne VictoryCentral Coast Mariners3–0
18 October 2024A-League MenCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory0–0
25 May 2024A-League Men PlayoffCentral Coast MarinersMelbourne Victory3–1

Melbourne Victory Form Analysis

Tough period at the moment for Victory.

They were stunned in the Australia Cup final by South Melbourne and lost their A-League opener to Wellington Phoenix 2-1.

Victory couldn't hold on to their early advantage in the derby last week vs City as they settled for a 1-1 draw before a hugely disappointing mid-week defeat in the AFC Champions League 2 against Persib, falling 2-0 to the Indonesian champions.

Central Coast Mariners Form Analysis

It's expected to be a challenging season for the Mariners, who's average squad age is less than 22.

Central Coast capitalised on two penalties to earn an opening round 2-2 draw at home with rivals Newcastle.

However, the Mariners were outclassed in all aspects as they went down 2-0 across the Tasman to Wellington last week.

Melbourne Victory vs CC Mariners Team News

Josh Inserra is out indefinitely following an injury picked up last week in the derby.

Keegan Jelacic and Charles Nduka combined brilliantly for the opening goal vs City and Victory fans need the pair to maintain a high level, with the team struggling to create in the final third.

Melbourne Victory Possible Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Jack Warshawsky, Harrison Shillington, Philipp Ziereis, Tom Lockyer, Franco Lino, Xavier Stella, Denis Genreau, Matthew Grimaldi, Keegan Jelacic, Clarismario Santos, Charles Nduka.

Meanwhile, Max Naylor and Callum McCaskey have been left out of the Mariners squad this week.

Central Coast Mariners Possible Starting XI (4-1-4-1): Andrew Redmayne, Ty McKibbin, Diesel Herrington, Noah McCann, Lucas Mauragis, Chris Donnell, Ali Auglah, Bailey Brandtman, Haine Eames, Alexander Jesse Bolton, Oliver Lavale.

Verdict

Both teams are tipped to score, with Grimaldi & Lavale featuring in player props.

Best Bet1: BTTS - Yes Both Teams To Score $1.70 at CrownBet - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Matthew Grimaldi 1+ Total Shots On Target $1.62 at Unibet Australia - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Oli Lavale 1+ Total Shots On Target $2.20 at bet365 - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Victory 2-1 Correct Score $8.50 at dabble - 1 Unit
BTTS - Yes
Both Teams To Score
$1.70 - 2 Units
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Bet at CrownBet
Matthew Grimaldi 1+
Total Shots On Target
$1.62 - 1 Unit
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Bet at Unibet Australia
Oli Lavale 1+
Total Shots On Target
$2.20 - 1 Unit
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Bet at bet365
Victory 2-1
Correct Score
$8.50 - 1 Unit
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