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Australian Federal Elections Odds 2025
The Australian federal election is set for 3 May 2025, kicking off a five-week campaign. Prime Minister Anthony Albanese aims for re-election against Opposition Leader Peter Dutton. Key election issues, such as the cost of living, housing affordability, and economic management, are likely to shape voter preferences. Rising expenses and housing challenges are crucial concerns, with both parties outlining strategies to address these. The election also highlights critical marginal divisions, like Higgins, North Sydney, and Hasluck, which could significantly sway the election outcome.
- Election set for 3 May 2025, five-week campaign begins.
- Key issues: cost of living, housing affordability, economic management.
- Labor firming each day this week, currently into $1.06 to regain power
- Coalition have drifted out to $9.00
- Betting odds available at Ladbrokes Australia
Expired
Prime Minister of Australia, Anthony Albanese addresses the media at Parliament House on March 28, 2025 in Canberra, Australia.
The Australian federal election has been officially scheduled for Saturday, 3 May 2025, initiating a five-week campaign period.
Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, leader of the Labor Party, seeks re-election, while Opposition Leader Peter Dutton heads the Liberal-National Coalition's bid to regain power.
Betting Markets and Odds
Betting agencies are offering odds on the election outcome. As of Friday May 2, 2025, online bookmaker Ladbrokes Australia lists the following odds:
| 2025 Australian Federal Election Winner | Odds |
|---|---|
| Labor | $1.06 |
| Coalition | $9.00 |
| Any Other Party | $201 |
Labor have firmed into unbackable $1.06 favourites over the last week to remain in power, while the Coalition have drifted out to $9.00 following a monster plunge in support from punters.
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Ladbrokes are also offering odds on the Type of Government formed, which can be seen in the table below (odds correct from May 2, 2025).
*Pays on the type of government formed at the next federal election (48th Parliament of Australia) as per seats won in the Australian House of Reps. Majority counted as the party who wins 76 or more seats that provides the Prime Minister.
| Type of Government Formed (48th Parliament) | Odds |
|---|---|
| Labor Minority | $3.00 |
| Labor Majority | $1.60 |
| Coalition Minority | $10 |
| Coalition Majority | $26 |
| Any Other | $201 |
Betting Tip: Labor Majority @ $1.60 with Ladbrokes
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Key Issues Influencing the Election
Several critical issues are poised to influence voter decisions:
Cost of Living: Rising expenses remain a primary concern for many Australians. The Albanese government has introduced measures such as tax cuts and support for bulk billing to alleviate financial pressures.
Housing Affordability: The housing crisis continues to impact various demographics. Experts advocate for increased investment in social and affordable housing, nationwide rental protections, and tax system reforms to address structural barriers.
Economic Management: Both major parties emphasize their capacity to navigate global economic uncertainties and manage domestic financial stability. The Coalition critiques Labor's economic strategies, while Labor highlights its initiatives to support Australians during challenging times.
Marginal Divisions to Watch
Several electorates are considered marginal and could significantly influence the election outcome:
Higgins (VIC): Traditionally a Liberal stronghold, Higgins was won by Labor's Michelle Ananda-Rajah in 2022. The seat's abolition and redistribution may impact neighboring electorates.
North Sydney (NSW): Held by independent Kylea Tink, this seat's abolition due to redistribution could affect adjacent divisions and the overall balance of power.
Hasluck (WA): With boundary changes and the creation of the new seat of Bullwinkel, Hasluck's political landscape may shift, making it a key seat to monitor.
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