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Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors NRL Round 6 Tips & Prediction - Storm set to bounce back

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Thu 09 Apr 2026 12:29

Andrew Hendrie 09 Apr 2026

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Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 6 game
Storm bring dominant 17-match winning streak over Warriors into this clash - the hosts are tipped to cover a -9.5 line & return to winners circle
Value on second-rowers Chan & Laban to cross
The game is scheduled for kick off at 7.30pm AEDT on Saturday April 11

Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors

Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors NRL Round 6 Tips & Prediction

The Storm have never started a season 2-4 under Craig Bellamy and that's not going to change as the men in purple return to AAMI Park preparing for another dominant win over the Warriors.

Melbourne Storm vs New Zealand Warriors NRL Round 6 Tips & Prediction
Storm vs Warriors Stats & Trends
Storm vs Warriors Head To Head
Melbourne Storm Form Analysis
Melbourne Storm Team News
New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis
New Zealand Warriors Team News

Melbourne couldn't ask for a better spot to return to the winners circle on the back of suffering three straight defeats for the first time since 2022. The Storm bring a 17-game winning streak over the Warriors into this clash, with the Kiwi club's last win at AAMI Park coming back in 2014. If they don't win this match, Bellamy will go absolutely ballistic with one of the great all-time sprays.

As much as I'd like to see that, the Storm aren't losing this one. The Warriors have cooled off after their impressive start, leaking 68 points in their last two defeats to the Tigers and Sharks. Luke Metcalf is also out again, this time with a hamstring problem. Tannah Boyd has been great to start the season, but can he do it against a genuine heavyweight side at a bogey venue? Doubt it.

Not going to overthink this one - give me the Storm to cover a -9.5 line and for the game total to exceed 46.5 points.

Joe Chan has crossed in his last two home games and represents decent value on the Storm right edge. Chasing a bit more value, the Storm left-edge defence has been woeful this season - Warriors second-rower Jacob Laban looks a good price at $6.00 for a small stake.

Storm vs Warriors Stats & Trends

Storm have won the last 17 meetings between the teams
Nine of their last 11 wins over the Warriors have been by 10+ points
Warriors have lost their last 10 games at AAMI Park
The last four meetings have seen Over 46.5 points
Four of the Storm's five games this season have seen Over 46.5 points
Warriors have seen Over 46.5 points in all five games this season
Joe Chan has scored a try in his last two games at AAMI Park
Storm have conceded 1+ try to opposition starting second-rowers in their last three games - Jacob Laban also scored two weeks ago vs Tigers

Storm vs Warriors Head To Head

As mentioned, the Storm have been absolutely dominant in this matchup, winning the last 17 encounters - scoring 30+ points in the last four.

Year	Winner	Score	Venue
2025	Melbourne	42–14	AAMI
2024	Melbourne	38–24	Go Media
2024	Melbourne	30–26	AAMI
2023	Melbourne	30–22	AAMI
2022	Melbourne	24–12	Mt Smart

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis

As always, it was an impressive start to the season for the Storm - they dismantled the Eels and Dragons, scoring a combined 96 points.

However, it's been slim pickings ever since.

Melbourne blew a big half-time lead to lose at home to Brisbane before suffering a four-point loss on the road to the Cowboys.

The Storm hit a new low in last week's 50-10 thrashing at the hands of Penrith, but to be fair, the Panthers are crushing every side in their path at the moment, so I'm not sure it's too concerning a defeat.

Time for the Munster, Hughes & Grant combination to step up at home for this one.

Melbourne Storm Team News

Jack Howarth (hip) and Moses Leo (concussion) return in the Storm backline, pushing Manaia Waitere to the interchange and Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown out of the side.

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Sualauvi Faalogo

2. William Warbrick

3. Jack Howarth

4. Nick Meaney

5. Moses Leo

6. Cameron Munster

7. Jahrome Hughes

8. Stefano Utoikamanu

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Joe Chan

12. Cooper Clarke

13. Trent Loiero

Interchange

14. Tyran Wishart

15. Alec MacDonald

16. Jack Hetherington

17. Davvy Moale

Reserves

18. Lazarus Vaalepu

19. Manaia Waitere

20. Preston Conn

21. Hugo Peel

22. Trent Toelau

New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis

Similar sort of season as the Storm for the Warriors.

The Kiwi club exploded out of the gates with a 42-18 thrashing of the Roosters before piling on the points in victories over the Raiders (40-6) and Knights (38-12).

Tanah Boyd was a revelation at halfback and Leka Halasima was a menace on the edges.

However, the Wahs have been disappointing over the last fortnight, suffering a surprise 32-14 loss at home to the Tigers before a 36-22 defeat to the Sharks on the road last week.

It was a good day at the office for winger Dallin Watene-Zelezniak despite the loss as he crossed for a hat-trick.

New Zealand Warriors Team News

Chanel Harris-Tavita comes back in at five-eighth for Luke Metcalf.

Adam Pompey has also been suspended, so a reshuffle of the backline will be needed ahead of kick-off.

New Zealand Warriors Team List

1. Taine Tuaupiki

2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak

3. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad

4. TBA

5. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck

6. Chanel Harris-Tavita

7. Tanah Boyd

8. James Fisher-Harris

9. Wayde Egan

10. Jackson Ford

11. Leka Halasima

12. Jacob Laban

13. Erin Clark

Interchange

14. Samuel Healey

15. Marata Niukore

16. Demitric Vaimauga

17. Tanner Stowers-Smith

Reserves

18. Eddie Ieremia-Toeava

20. Alofiana Khan-Pereira

21. Morgan Gannon

22. Luke Hanson

23. Ali Leiataua

Verdict

Melbourne Storm v New Zealand Warriors

Time for the Storm to return to the winners circle as they target an 18th straight win over the Wahs. Back the overs, with value on Chan & Laban to cross on the edges.

Storm -9.5

Line

$1.90 - 3 Units

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Over 46.5

Total Points

$1.90 - 2 Units

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