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Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Big Bash League Tips - Derby decider at Docklands

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Fri 09 Jan 2026 08:13

Adam Cusworth 09 Jan 2026

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Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars tips
Match start is 7:15 PM AEDT on Saturday, January 10th at Marvel Stadium
Renegades are 3–3 with three matches left; Stars are 4–3 with two matches left — finals spots on the line
The Stars are backed to respond after recent setbacks, with Maxwell tipped to bounce back

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Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Big Bash League Tips

Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Big Bash League Expert Tips

Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Big Bash League Expert Tips
Melbourne Renegades Form
Melbourne Stars Form
Head to Head Stats
Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Frequently Asked Questions

The Melbourne Stars will bounce back with a key win when they take on The Melbourne Renegades in what shapes as a local blockbuster.

With three matches left for the 3-3 Renegades and two to go for the 4-3 Stars, this will be a pivotal clash in the race for the top four.

The Stars arrive needing to halt a confidence dip after recent losses, while the Renegades know a win here puts them firmly back in control of their finals destiny.

The lean is Melbourne Stars to respond. They have more avenues to control the game across both innings: Peter Siddle and Haris Rauf can apply immediate Powerplay pressure, while Tom Curran gives flexibility at the death if Glenn Maxwell wants to shuffle his overs.

The Renegades’ clearest path is explosive starts from Josh Brown and Jake Fraser-McGurk before Mohammad Rizwan anchors the middle, but that plan becomes far harder if Jason Behrendorff or Gurinder Sandhu doesn’t strike early and the Stars’ top order gets set.

Expect the Stars to attack the Renegades’ middle overs with hard lengths and pace-off options. Consider backing Maxwell to bounce back at Marvel Stadium, where he has previously produced match-defining innings, while Sam Harper continues to get off to starts and can be instrumental early.

That shapes the main prediction: Melbourne Stars to win. Harper is tipped to play a key hand with the bat, while Sandhu profiles as the Renegades’ best wicket-taking option with the new ball against an aggressive Stars top order.

Sam Harper has hit 20+ in each of his last five matches
The Stars won by 42 runs the last time the two sides clashed at Marvel Stadium
Gurinder Sandhu has taken 14 wickets in six matches this season
The Stars are 3rd on the ladder, the Renegades are 6th

Melbourne Renegades Form

The Renegades’ campaign has been built on momentum swings. At their best, they overwhelm attacks through Seifert, Brown and emerging teenager Ollie Peake, but when early wickets fall the middle order has occasionally been exposed. Their strongest performance came early when Tim Seifert smashed a century to headline a massive total, giving the bowlers freedom to attack.

More recently, they have shown resilience as well as volatility — competitive in defeat against strong opposition, then steadying their season with a gritty win over Perth where their bowlers controlled the chase and Peake sealed the match with a last-ball six.

In the latest derby win over the Stars, Brown’s aggressive 80-plus set the tone, Rizwan absorbed pressure through the middle overs, and Sutherland’s late hitting proved decisive. That balance between power and composure remains the Renegades’ biggest weapon heading into this rematch.

Melbourne Stars Form

The Stars’ season has been defined by a high ceiling when their bowlers dictate tempo. Early wins were built on Peter Siddle leading the attack and giving the batting manageable chases, while Marcus Stoinis and Hilton Cartwright have consistently finished innings with authority.

Their Boxing Day performance was the clearest example of their upside, with Sam Harper’s unbeaten century underpinning a dominant chase after the bowlers restricted the opposition. That match showcased the Stars’ depth — multiple contributors with both bat and ball rather than reliance on one individual.

The concern is recency: their latest outing ended in a collapse after early wickets, reinforcing the view that the Stars are a confidence-driven side. The upside is just as obvious — with Maxwell, Stoinis, Siddle and Rauf all capable of swinging a game inside a few overs, one strong Powerplay can quickly reset their campaign.

Head to Head Stats

Last 5 Matches

12-Jan-2025: Stars won by 42 runs

04-Jan-2025: Stars won by 5 wickets (with 2 balls remaining)

13-Jan-2024: Renegades won by 6 wickets (with 16 balls remaining)

02-Jan-2024: Stars won by 8 wickets (with 12 balls remaining)

03-Jan-2023: Renegades won by 33 runs

Last 5 Averages

BBL Last 5 betting trends

Melbourne Renegades Stats Melbourne Stars
2-3 W-L 3-2
342.2 Avg Match Total 321.8
1-4 Bat Flip 3-2
1-3 Bat First W-L 0-2

Melbourne Renegades	Stats	Melbourne Stars
2-3	W-L	3-2
342.2	Avg Match Total	321.8
1-4	Bat Flip	3-2
1-3	Bat First W-L	0-2

BBL Last 5 Stats

Renegades Batting Stats Stars Fielding
15 Fours 13.4
6.8 Sixes 4.6

Renegades Batting	Stats	Stars Fielding
15	Fours	13.4
6.8	Sixes	4.6

Renegades Fielding Stats Stars Batting
12.2 Fours 16.2
8.4 Sixes 5

Renegades Fielding	Stats	Stars Batting
12.2	Fours	16.2
8.4	Sixes	5

Melbourne Renegades Home Stats

Renegades Batting	Stats	Renegades Fielding
15	Fours	12
7	Sixes	8.7

Melbourne Stars Away Stats

Stars Batting	Stats	Stars Fielding
16.5	Fours	12.8
4.8	Sixes	4

Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars Frequently Asked Questions

What time does Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars start?

First ball between Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars is at 7:15 PM AEDT on Saturday, January 10th at Marvel Stadium.

What channel is Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars on?

You can watch Melbourne Renegades vs Melbourne Stars on Fox Cricket and Kayo Sports.

Verdict

Melbourne Renegades v Melbourne Stars

Melbourne Stars to bounce back in a high-stakes derby, with Maxwell expected to respond with the bat and Sandhu the key wicket threat for the Renegades.

Melbourne Stars

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