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Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Lehecka to cover in Madrid R16
The Madrid Masters will witness a thrilling encounter as sixth seed Lorenzo Musetti takes on 11th seed Jiri Lehecka for a spot in the quarter-finals. Musetti faces the challenge of defending his points during the European clay swing, while Lehecka is in stellar form, recently reaching the Miami Masters final. With Musetti working his way back from injury, Lehecka's form makes him a slight favorite, especially with a +2.5 games start. Expect a close match, potentially featuring a tiebreak, as Lehecka has shown an impressive serving game.
- Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka predictions for Tuesday's ATP Madrid R16 match
- Clash of former Madrid semi-finalists - close contest tipped
- Lehecka has covered a +2.5 games line in all three previous meetings between the pair
- The match is scheduled to start around 9.00pm AEST on Tuesday April 28
Expired
Jiri Lehecka (Photo by Getty Images)
Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
It's shaping as a close contest when sixth seed Lorenzo Musetti and 11th seed Jiri Lehecka square off for a place in the Madrid Masters quarter-finals on Tuesday.
Musetti is defending a truckload of points this European clay swing after making at least the semi-finals of all four big tournaments last year - a task that has been made all the more challenging with his injury-disrupted start to the year.
Lehecka meanwhile has been in great form over the last month or so, advancing to the Miami Masters final and pushing towards a top 10 debut.
I think this will be a tight encounter, which means Lehecka with a +2.5 games start appeals. The Czech has been serving out of a tree so far in Madrid, firing down 10 aces and with 75 per cent of first serves in his straight set demolition of Alex Michelsen in the previous round. Lehecka didn't face a break point throughout, so I also don't mind at least one tiebreak to be played at plus money.
Musetti has lost the majority of his recent meetings with top 20 opponents and is still working his way back to his best level after injury, so Lehecka with a +2.5 start and Over 22.5 total games are the main plays.
Musetti vs Lehecka Stats & Trends
- Musetti has lost nine of his last 12 matches vs top 20 players
- Lehecka has won nine of his last 11 matches
- Lehecka has won two of the three previous meetings, covering a +2.5 games line in the one defeat
- Lehecka has seen 1+ tiebreak in six of his last 10 matches
- Musetti has seen 1+ tiebreak in four of his last seven matches in Madrid
- Lehecka has seen Over 22.5 games in three of his last four matches vs top 10 players
Musetti vs Lehecka Head To Head
Lehecka leads 2-1, but Musetti prevailed in three sets in their only previous meeting on clay.
| Year | Winner | Event | Round | Surface | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Lorenzo Musetti | ATP Masters 1000 Monte-Carlo | Round of 32 | Outdoor Clay | 1–6, 7–5, 6–2 |
| 2023 | Jiří Lehečka | ATP Masters 1000 Miami | Round of 64 | Outdoor Hard | 6–4, 6–4 |
| 2022 | Jiří Lehečka | Rotterdam | Quarterfinal | Indoor Hard | 6–3, 1–6, 7–5 |
Lorenzo Musetti Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 11-5
- ATP Madrid Record: 8-4
- Current Ranking: No. 9
- Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (Jan 2026)
Musetti enjoyed a bright start to the year when he made the Hong Kong final and the Australian Open quarter-finals, where he was dominating Novak Djokovic before being forced to retire with a leg injury.
The Italian was sidelined until Indian Wells and also missed Miami with an arm problem, only claiming his first win again in Barcelona after an opening exit in Monte Carlo to Valentin Vacherot.
Musetti reached the quarter-finals in Barcelona before going down to eventual champion Arthur Fils and is hoping to return to the last eight in Madrid.
It's been a solid tournament so far, with Musetti moving past Hubert Hurkacz and Tallon Griekspoor in straight sets - but this will be his toughest test by far.
Jiri Lehecka Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 15-7
- ATP Madrid Record: 6-3
- Current Ranking: No. 14
- Career-High Ranking: No. 13 (April 2026)
It was a slow start to the season for Lehecka, who was once again battling various niggling injury issues.
However, once Lehecka gets his body right, he's proved before that he's a top 10 talent - and he's surging towards that bracket for the first time after a prolific last month or so.
The Czech defeated Taylor Fritz on his way to a maiden Masters 1000 final in Miami before making the R16 in Monte Carlo.
A former semi-finalist in Madrid in 2024, Lehecka is once again looking good in the Spanish capital, beating Alejandro Tabilo before a dominant 6-4 6-2 victory over Alex Michelsen, where he didn't face a single break point and fired down 10 aces.
Musetti vs Lehecka Live Stream
Watch and bet on Lorenzo Musetti vs Jiri Lehecka live tennis from Madrid.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Madrid with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Close contest expected between two former Madrid semi-finalists - backing Lehecka with a +2.5 start and 1+ tiebreak.
Lehecka +2.5
Games Line
$1.83 - 3 Units
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