2026 Canada Open

Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Rybakina vulnerable in Toronto opener

Andrew Hendrie

Editor

Last updated: Wed 05 Aug 2026 02:06

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago

Share this article

Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina predictions for Wednesday's WTA Toronto R2
Rybakina 4-5 in her last nine matches & down on confidence
Kasatkina owns two previous wins over the World No. 2 & is good value in this one
The match is scheduled to start around 2.30am AEST on Thursday August 6

Elena Rybakina v Daria Kasatkina Live StreamWatch live online at bet365 > Tennis > WTA Toronto. T&Cs apply. Watch and bet Starts in To use the Live Streaming service you will need to be logged in and have a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. Note, under Australian law, Live Streaming is exempt from Parts 3 and 4 of the Broadcasting Services (Online Content Service Provider Rules) 2018.

Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Elena Rybakina has been in poor form with a 4-5 record in her last nine matches, opening the door for Australia's Daria Kasatkina to contend for a big upset in the Canadian Open second round in Toronto on Wednesday.

Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina WTA Toronto Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Rybakina vs Kasatkina Stats & Trends
Rybakina vs Kasatkina Head To Head
Elena Rybakina Form Analysis
Daria Kasatkina Form Analysis
Rybakina vs Kasatkina Live Stream

It's been a challenging last couple of months for Rybakina - she's only won back-to-back matches once since Rome and as mentioned, is 4-5 in her last nine matches. Incredibly, Rybakina as a chance to hit the World No. 1 ranking in Toronto, but she needs to win the title and hope Aryna Sabalenka doesn't make it past the R16. So basically impossible on her current form.

Rybakina was stunned by Yulia Starodubtseva at Roland Garros before further upset defeats on grass against Katie Boulter, Alexandra Eala and Elise Mertens. She's a far cry from the level that saw Rybakina start the year by winning the Australian Open title and Kasatkina should fancy her chances of making an impact here.

Newly married after Wimbledon, Kasatkina is in good spirits and produced a fantastic comeback from 1-6 1-4 down in her opening round in Toronto to beat Xinyu Wang 1-6 7-6(5) 7-5. She's won five of her last seven matches and coming off third rounds at both Roland Garros and Wimbledon, which is decent enough form.

Kasatkina has also beaten Rybakina twice before, along with taking a set in what was an incredibly tight quarter-final in Montreal back in 2023. Kasatkina has the ability to lock in from the baseline and get lots of balls back, which could frustrate and grind Rybakina down in her current form, leading to errors. At these prices, Kasatkina is worth a small stake for the upset here - and I'm confident she can cover with a big +5.5 start.

Rybakina vs Kasatkina Stats & Trends

Rybakina has failed to cover a -5.5 line in seven of her last nine matches
Rybakina has dropped 1+ set in seven of her last nine matches
Rybakina has lost five of her last nine matches
Kasatkina has won five of her last seven matches at all levels
Kasatkina has won 1+ set in three of her five previous meetings vs Rybakina, winning twice

Rybakina vs Kasatkina Head To Head

Rybakina leads 3-2, but this will be their first meeting in over two years.

Year	Winner	Event	Round	Surface	Score
2024	Elena Rybakina	Abu Dhabi	Final	Outdoor Hard	6–1, 6–4
2023	Elena Rybakina	Montreal	Quarter-Final	Outdoor Hard	5–7, 7–5, 7–6(8)
2022	Daria Kasatkina	San Jose	Round of 32	Outdoor Hard	1–6, 6–2, 6–0
2021	Elena Rybakina	Abu Dhabi	Round of 16	Outdoor Hard	6–3, 6–4
2020	Daria Kasatkina	Ostrava	Round of 32	Indoor Hard	6–2, 3–6, 6–3

Elena Rybakina Form Analysis

2026 WTA Record: 34-11
WTA Canada Record: 8-4
Current Ranking: No. 2
Career-High Ranking: No. 2 (March 2026)

Rybakina started the year with a bang, winning her second Grand Slam title at the Australian Open and backing it up with a runner-up showing at Indian Wells and semi-final in Miami.

It was also a strong start to the clay swing, with Rybakina winning the Stuttgart title and making the quarter-finals in Rome.

However, things have unravelled since. Rybakina went out in the second round of Roland Garros to Starodubtseva before suffering a third round defeat at Wimbledon to Elise Mertens.

All up, Rybakina has lost five of her last nine matches since Rome and arrives in Toronto desperate for a turnaround in form. She has made the semi-finals in her last two Canada Open appearances, going down to Victoria Mboko last year.

Daria Kasatkina Form Analysis

2026 WTA Record: 14-14
WTA Canada Record: 11-9
Current Ranking: No. 61
Career-High Ranking: No. 8 (2022)

It's been a tough last few years for Kasatkina - she's tumbled down the rankings and doesn't really look like making a run back towards the top of the game.

Kasatkina went 4-9 across the opening four months of the season, but she's since found some okay form, reaching the quarter-finals in Strasbourg and making the third round at both Roland Garros and Wimbledon, where it took Aryna Sabalenka and Naomi Osaka to stop her.

The 29-year-old qualified for the Washington main draw last week, but suffered a straight sets defeat to Anna Kalinskaya in the first round of the main draw.

It was looking like another first round exit for Kasatkina in Toronto, but she managed to stage a miraculous comeback against Xinyu Wang, prevailing 1-6 7-6(5) 7-5 after initially trailing 1-6 1-4.

Kasatkina made the quarter-finals in her Canada Open debut in 2016 and once again in 2023. She made the third round last year, going down in a deciding set tiebreak to Marta Kostyuk.

Rybakina vs Kasatkina Live Stream

Watch and bet on Elena Rybakina vs Daria Kasatkina live tennis from Toronto.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > WTA Toronto with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Elena Rybakina v Daria Kasatkina

Rybakina is well below her best and down on confidence - Kasatkina has a chance for a third win over the Kazakh in Toronto.

Kasatkina +5.5

Games Line

$2.02 - 3 Units

Newest Australian Bookie

Referral Code: MAXBET

The OnlyBets referral code is MAXBET. 18+. T&Cs apply.

Bet at OnlyBets

Kasatkina

To Win A Set

$2.70 - 2 Units

Australia's #1 bookmaker

Use the code "BLACKBOOK"

The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. CHANCES ARE YOU'RE ABOUT TO LOSE. Set a deposit limit.

Bet at Ladbrokes Australia

Kasatkina Win

H2H

$5.75 - 1 Unit

Download the dabble app

with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

Bet at dabble