Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Medvedev remains vulnerable

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Tue 25 Aug 2026 07:14

Andrew Hendrie 1 hour ago

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Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Damm predictions for Tuesday's ATP Winston-Salem R1
Medvedev has struggled vs lower-ranked players lately
Damm tipped to win a set, with Medvedev prevailing in three
The match is scheduled to start around 8.30am AEST on Wednesday August 26

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Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

Daniil Medvedev has dropped 1+ set in four of his last five matches against players outside the top 90 - the World No. 8 remains vulnerable as he begins his Winston-Salem Open campaign on Tuesday against the big-serving Martin Damm.

Daniil Medvedev vs Martin Damm ATP Winston-Salem Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Medvedev vs Damm Stats & Trends
Medvedev vs Damm Head To Head
Daniil Medvedev Form Analysis
Martin Damm Form Analysis
Medvedev vs Damm Live Stream

Medvedev has a solid 9-2 record against players outside the top 90 this season, but it hasn't been easy for him, with the Russian dropping at least one set in four of his last five such meetings.

He's taken a wildcard into Winston-Salem and decided to play the week before a slam, which says all you need to know - Medvedev is struggling and desperate to restore some confidence and winning momentum ahead of the US Open.

Which means Medvedev should be taking this match fairly seriously. I don't think he'll want to stay in Winston-Salem until the weekend, but a couple of match wins is definitely needed at the moment.

Damm isn't the best matchup for Medvedev if he wants to find some rhythm. The American has a thunderous serve and won't offer much in terms of long baseline exchanges.

At the end of the day, Medvedev remains one of the most volatile and hot-headed players on tour, prone to a massive outburst at any moment. If Damm serves well, he can win at least a set, but I'm going to tentatively side with the top seed in three.

Medvedev vs Damm Stats & Trends

Medvedev has lost 1+ set in four of his last five matches vs players outside the top 90
Medvedev has won nine of his 11 matches vs players outside the top 90 this season (5-0 on hard)
Medvedev has a 20-7 record on hardcourt this season
Medvedev has won his last six matches in Winston-Salem
Damm is 0-3 vs top 10 players, but won a set in his most-recent meeting vs Shelton in Washington

Medvedev vs Damm Head To Head

This will be the first career meeting between the pair.

Daniil Medvedev Form Analysis

2026 ATP Record: 31-14
ATP Winston-Salem Record: 6-1
Current Ranking: No. 8
Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2022)

It seems like a lifetime ago when Medvedev won the US Open and hit the No. 1 ranking.

It's been a wild last few years for the Russian and while he's got back inside the top 10, he's still nowhere near his best - at least not consistently.

There were some encouraging signs at the start of the year, with Medvedev winning the Brisbane and Dubai titles, along with beating Carlos Alcaraz on his way to the Indian Wells final.

However, since then, Medvedev has struggled with a 14-10 record and failing to make another final - although he did reach the semi-finals on the clay of Rome.

Medvedev hasn't had an enjoyable summer so far in North America - he lost his opening match in Canada to Botic Van De Zandschulp in straight sets before losing his second match in Cincinnati to the in-form Brandon Nakashima.

The 30-year-old is playing Winston-Salem for the first time since winning the title back in 2018.

Martin Damm Form Analysis

2026 ATP Record: 7-11
ATP Winston-Salem Record: 0-0
Current Ranking: No. 92
Career-High Ranking: No. 92 (August 2026)

It's been a decent season for Damm - he's propelled himself into the top 100 for the first time, but regular tour-level wins are still a bit hard to come by.

Damm made the semi-finals of Montpellier at the start of the season, but he's only won four more matches in ATP main draws for the season.

The 22-year-old did earn a first Wimbledon main draw win before impressing in a three-set defeat to Ben Shelton in the first round of Washington to launch his summer.

Damm lost to Stefanos Tsitsipas in the first round of Canada and went out in straight sets to World No. 157 Stefanos Sakellaridis in Cincinnati qualifying, so he doesn't arrive in Winston-Salem in great form.