Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory A-League Round 4 Tips & Prediction - Struggling sides desperate in Original Derby clash
Adelaide United host Melbourne Victory in A-League Round 4, with Under 2.5 goals the main tip due to both teams' poor attacking form. Adelaide have failed to score in their last three matches, while Melbourne Victory are winless in five and have drawn their last two league games. Both sides suffered heavy defeats in the ACL 2 mid-week, further denting confidence. A low-scoring draw is also considered, with Charles Nduka posing the main threat for Victory and Brody Burkitt offering potential for shots on target for Adelaide.
- Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory predictions for Sunday's A-League R4 game
- Both teams in poor form - Adelaide lost four straight; Victory winless in five
- Under 2.5 goals & a draw tipped as both teams look to avoid another defeat
- The game is scheduled for kick off at 5.00pm AEDT on Sunday November 8
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory A-League Round 4 Tips & Prediction
Adelaide United and Melbourne Victory are in shocking form - expect a cagey Original Derby that features Under 2.5 goals as A-League Round 4 action comes to a close on Sunday at Coopers.
Both teams are enduring a nightmare start to the season - domestically and in the ACL 2, where they each suffered more demoralising defeats mid-week.
Adelaide haven't scored in three games, while Victory are winless in five straight - take a low-scoring draw as the best bet. Charles Nduka remains the most likely for the visitors, while Brody Burkitt has shown a willingness to shoot and offers value for two shots on target.
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Predictions & Best Bets
| Bet | Odds | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 Goals | $2.30 @ Picklebet | Adelaide are struggling in the final third - they've failed to score in their last three games, while Victory have seen Under 2.5 goals in three of their last four games in all comps |
| Draw | $3.60 @ CrownBet | The most-recent meeting between the teams was a 1-1 draw. Victory have drawn their last two A-League outings. Both sides down on confidence, tough to have faith in anyone winning here |
| Charles Nduka 1+ Goal | $2.90 @ Dabble | Nduka has scored or assisted in all three A-League games this term - the striker remains Victory's most likely threat up front & should get his chances vs an Adelaide side who have leaked nine goals in their last two defeats |
| Brody Burkitt 2+ Shots On Target | $4.00 @ bet365 | Burkitt is having a crack up front for the Reds - he had two shots on target vs Sydney in Adelaide's A-League opener, while he also had two total shots vs Perth in last week's heavy defeat. The striker had two shots on target vs Lion City at home last week - he will be looking to work the keeper at every opportunity here |
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Head To Head
Victory lead the Original Rivalry 22-18, alongside 12 draws. Adelaide have won the last two encounters at Coopers.
Last 5 Meetings
| Date | Competition | Home Team | Away Team | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | A-League Men | Melbourne Victory | Adelaide United | 1–1 |
| 17 Jan 2026 | A-League Men | Adelaide United | Melbourne Victory | 2–1 |
| 13 Dec 2025 | A-League Men | Melbourne Victory | Adelaide United | 2–1 |
| 29 Mar 2025 | A-League Men | Melbourne Victory | Adelaide United | 5–3 |
| 18 Jan 2025 | A-League Men | Adelaide United | Melbourne Victory | 3–2 |
Adelaide United Form Analysis
Absolutely shocking start to the season for Adelaide.
They blew a 1-0 lead against Sydney FC in their opening A-League game of the campaign and haven't scored since.
Indeed, the Reds went on to lose that game 2-1 before suffering a crushing 4-0 defeat on the road to Perth last week.
It hasn't been any better in the ACL 2, with Adelaide losing by a combined 7-0 home and away score against Singapore champions Lion City Sailors over the last week.
Melbourne Victory Form Analysis
Victory haven't been much better.
Giovanni Savarese is having a tough time to start his tenure at Victory, with his side failing to win their last five games in all comps.
It all started with that shock defeat to South Melbourne in the Australia Cup final and snowballed from there.
Victory actually did okay to salvage a point against the Mariners last week after playing 80 minutes with 10 men, but they were embarrassed by Indonesian side Persib in the ACL 2 mid-week, suffering a 2-1 loss at home, conceding two goals in the final five minutes.
Adelaide United vs Melbourne Victory Team News
Veteran Craig Goodwin could come back into the starting side after missing the loss vs Perth.
Adelaide United Possible Starting XI (4-3-3): Joshua Smits, Jay Barnett, Feyzo Kasumovic, Panagiotis Kikianis, Fabian Talladira, Joey Garuccio, Luke Đuzel, Ethan Alagich, Amlani Tatu, Brody Burkitt, Craig Goodwin
Harry Shillington is suspended for this clash after being sent off after just 11 minutes vs Mariners last week.
Melbourne Victory Possible Starting XI (4-2-3-1): Jack Duncan, Brendan Hamill, Tom Lockyer, Jason Davidson, Franco Lino, Louis D’Arrigo, Jordi Valadon, Keegan Jelacic, Guillermo May, Clarismario Santos, Charles Nduka
Verdict
Under 2.5 goals and a draw are the two main plays between these struggling teams.
Under 2.5
Total Goals
$2.30 - 2 Units
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Draw
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Charles Nduka
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$2.90 - 1 Unit
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Brody Burkitt 2+
Total Shots On Target
$4.00 - 1 Unit
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