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Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers NRL Round 19 Tips - Eels form at Commbank enough to keep it close

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Tue. 08 Jul. 2025 20:28

Jeremy Darke 08 Jul. 2025

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Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 19 NRL game
Kick off is at 4:05 PM (AEST) at CommBank Stadium
Parramatta Eels strong at Commbank Stadium recently.
Tom Jenkins anticipated to score

Jez's Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers NRL Round 19 Tips

Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction

Going against the grain and tipping a 1-12 victory for the Penrith Panthers, following some key head to head and venue trends.

Eels vs Panthers Rd19 Cheat Sheet

Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers, Round 19 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis
Parramatta Eels Team News
Parramatta Eels Team List
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis
Penrith Panthers Team News
Penrith Panthers Team List
Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

Most punters will be backing the Panthers to run away with this one and of course I can see why. However, diving into the stats for the one it appears that these matchups are traditionally closer, since the Grand Final battle in 2022. The Eels won the next two matches after the loss in the GF and have since then lost the last 3 games but by 8 points or less.

With Penrith finding their feet again and also a lot of uncertainty around their squad after Origin and the possibility of resting their players throughout the match if they are named, I am picking the Eels to minimise the loss to a 1-12 margin.

Also, Parra have been good at Commbank, winning 3 of their last 4 there and also losing by just two converted tries or less in the previous 3 losses at their home stadium.

Tom Jenkins was held tryless for just the second time in his last 7 matches in the stalemate against the Bulldogs last week, but expect the Penrith winning to get back on the try scoring horse and cross against the Eels.

Penrith have won their last 3 matches against Parramatta by a 1-12 margin.
Parramatta have won 4 of 8 games at Commbank this season, with 3 of 4 losses by a margin of 1-12.
6 of 8 Parramatta games played at Commbank Stadium have hit the under on the game total.
Thomas Jenkins has scored 5 tries in his last 4 matches.

Head to Head

Penrith have won the last 3 matches against Parramatta, however, they haven’t had it their own way with their victories coming by 8 points or less.

These two teams have met each other staggering 16 times since 2019 with Penrith winning the head to head battle 10-6.

3 of the last 4 matches have gone over the game total.

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis

Parramatta couldn’t overcome the Saints a couple of weeks ago, taking a 34 to 20 loss into the bye after trailing 26-4 at halftime. The Eels couldn’t build any momentum after beating the Gold Coast at Commbank Stadium 26-20 the week prior.

If there is a positive to take out of the Eels season it is that they have been good at Commbank recently, winning 4 of their last 6 matches on their home field.

Otherwise, it once again has looked very glum and gloomy for the Eels with just 5 victories. Defence is the issue for the Eels, ranked 15th by conceding 26 points per match. Their goal line defence has been especially poor without Gutho saving them, allowing a try on every 8.6 tackles registered inside their 20m (14th in NRL).

Parramatta Eels Team News

Tallyn Da Silva comes straight onto the bench after his midseason move from the Tigers.

Zac Lomax is expected to back up after Origin 3.

Kelma Tuilagi will miss 3 matches for a crusher tackle in Round 17 and will be replaced by Charlie Guymer in the starting side and Sam Tuivaiti comes onto the bench.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Isaiah Iongi

2. Zac Lomax

3. Jordan Samrani

4. Sean Russell

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Dylan Brown

7. Dean Hawkins

8. Jack Williams

9. Joey Lussick

10. Junior Paulo

11. Charlie Guymer

12. Kitione Kautoga

13. J'maine Hopgood

Interchange

14. Tallyn Da Silva

15. Dylan Walker

16. Matt Doorey

17. Sam Tuivaiti

Reserves

18. Dan Keir

19. Toni Mataele

20. Ronald Volkman

21. Bailey Simonsson

22. Joash Papalii

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis

Penrith are on a 4-0 run and have dragged themselves from the bottom of the ladder to currently sit sixth with just 7 wins this season. It is incredible really that a team with a 7-9 record can still be in the hunt for a top four finish with a third of the season to play.

So, what has been the difference for Penrith over the last month, it is simple, their defence. The Panthers have held their opponents to an average of just 12 points over the last 4 matches, however, three of 4 opposition teams rank 11th or worse in points scored per game. It is still a major improvement.

Statistically not a lot has changed with the the Panthers key indicators all relatively the same besides allowing 1.2 linebreaks less than their season average over their last 4 matches. The improvement has been their goal line defence, allowing less tries while still giving up the same amount of tackles inside their 20m. That and also not given up long-range tries like they were earlier in the year.

Penrith Panthers Team News

Ivan Cleary is giving away nothing with Dylan Edwards, Brian To'o, Nathan Cleary, Liam Martin and Isaah Yeo all being named in the reserves and it is unknown if they will back up from Origin.

Daine Laurie, Isaiah Papali'i, Matt Eisenhuth Mavrik Geyer and Jack Cole have all been named to play if Penrith’s Origin stars take a week’s rest.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Daine Laurie

2. Thomas Jenkins

3. Izack Tago

4. Casey McLean

5. Paul Alamoti

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Brad Schneider

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Luke Garner

12. Isaiah Papalii

13. Matthew Eisenhuth

Interchange

14. Jack Cole

15. Liam Henry

16. Luron Patea

17. Mavrik Geyer

Reserves

18. Luke Sommerton

19. Nathan Cleary

20. Dylan Edwards

21. Brian To'o

22. Liam Martin

23. Isaah Yeo

24. Preston Riki

Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 19 FAQ’s

How to watch Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 19?

You can watch the Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 19 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 19?

To buy tickets to the Parramatta Eels vs Penrith Panthers NRL 2025 Round 19 game check the NRL website or the official Parramatta Eels site.

Verdict

Parramatta Eels v Penrith Panthers

Tom Jenkins will score and the Panthers will win by a 1-12 margin with this match staying under 45.5 points.

Penrith Panthers

1-12 Winning Margin

$3.10 - 2 Units

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Game Total

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