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Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys NRL Tips - Eels to blitz hapless Cowboys at CommBank

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Fri. 08 Aug. 2025 08:05

Andrew Hendrie 08 Aug. 2025

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Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys expert predictions for Sunday's NRL Round 23 game
Kick off is at 4.05pm AEST at CommBank Stadium
Eels set to improve to 4-0 vs Cowboys at CommBank; big 13+ win predicted
Josh Addo-Carr has scored 11 tries in 11 games vs Cowboys - good value for a double here
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets

Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys NRL Tips

Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys, NRL Round 23 - Expert Prediction

The Eels will be looking to remain unbeaten at CommBank Stadium against the struggling Cowboys when the two teams clash to conclude NRL Round 23 action on Sunday.

Parramatta Eels vs North Queensland Cowboys, NRL Round 23 - Expert Prediction
Parramatta Eels vs North QLD Cowboys NRL Round 23 Cheat Sheet
Head To Head
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis
Parramatta Eels Team News
Parramatta Eels Team List
North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis
North Queensland Cowboys Team News
North Queensland Cowboys Team List

Parramatta have won all three previous meetings with the Cowboys at CommBank, and with Mitch Moses back and North Queensland seemingly having run their race for 2025, I'm backing the hosts to rack up the points and put on a show in front of their home fans here.

The Cowboys have been horrendous this season and produced an extremely poor performance in their most-recent loss to the Sharks. They have the worst defence in the NRL, leaking an average of 29.75 points per game, while from the outside looking in, it looks as if some of their players have thrown in the towel for this season. For the amount of talent and Origin star-power in their ranks, the Cowboys should be doing far better, but apart from Tom Dearden, none of them are stepping up right now.

The Eels have been alright lately - they beat the Broncos at Suncorp and pushed Melbourne all the way last week. With Moses firing, I expect Parra to cruise to victory in a high-scoring affair. Josh Addo-Carr is also great value for 2+ tries - he's got a great record in this matchup and the Cowboys have been leaking doubles to opposition wingers in their recent games.

Eels have won five of the last seven meetings between the teams
Eels are 3-0 vs Cowboys at CommBank
Cowboys have lost three of their four games in Sydney this season
Cowboys have lost seven of their last nine games overall
Six of the Cowboys' last eight defeats have been by 13+ margins
Three of the Eels' last four wins have been by 13+ margins
Cowboys have seen Over 46.5 points in seven of their last 10 games
Josh Addo-Carr has scored 11 tries in his last 11 games vs Cowboys
Cowboys have allowed 2+ tries to opposition wingers in their last three games

Parramatta Eels vs North QLD Cowboys NRL Round 23 Cheat Sheet

Eels vs Cowboys NRL Rd23 Cheat Sheet

Head To Head

This will be the first meeting between the teams this season. The Eels won their most-recent clash 27-20 in Round 6 of 2024 - and that was without Moses.

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis

Without doubt the unavailability of Mitch Moses for large chunks of the season has derailed Parramatta's year - the superstar halfback is instrumental to his team's success and fans will be hoping he has a clean bill of health in 2026.

But, as for right now, the Eels can play spoiler to many sides heading into the finals, and in this encounter, they have the opportunity to register just their seventh win of the year and move themselves out of wooden spoon territory.

The Eels have been in solid form over the last fortnight - they stunned the Broncos at Suncorp in a brilliant 22-20 victory before pushing the Storm all the way last week in a narrow 16-10 defeat.

Parramatta Eels Team News

Kelma Tuilagi joins the bench after returning from suspension through NSW Cup last week, but Sam Tuivaiti is out for the remainder of the year with a knee injury.

Jordan Samrani comes into the centres in place of Sean Russell (broken hand), while Dylan Walker has been named to start at lock, pushing Luca Moretti to the pine.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Joash Papali’i

2. Zac Lomax

3. Viliami Penisini

4. Jordan Samrani

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Dean Hawkins

7. Mitchell Moses

8. J’maine Hopgood

9. Ryley Smith

10. Junior Paulo

11. Charlie Guymer

12. Jack Williams

13. Dylan Walker

Interchange

14. Tallyn Da Silva

15. Luca Moretti

16. Matt Doorey

17. Kelma Tuilagi

Reserves

18. Ronald Volkman

19. Dan Keir

20. Haze Dunster

21. Toni Mataele

22. Dylan Brown

North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis

What on earth has happened to the Cowboys? They went on a four-game winning streak at the start of the season, beating the likes of Canberra and Penrith. However, their form has fallen off a cliff and they are out of the finals race and could easily pick up the wooden spoon if they don't get their act straight soon.

North Queensland have lost seven of their last nine games and have the worst defence in the competition, leaking 30+ points in six of their last nine games - including a last-start 32-12 loss to the Sharks.

The Cowboys were down 26-0 at half-time in that game and were lucky Cronulla decided to take their foot off the gas, because it could have gotten very ugly. Todd Payten will be under immense pressure to retain his job at season's end if the Cowboys don't turn their fortunes around over the next month.

North Queensland Cowboys Team News

Jason Taumalolo (calf), Jake Clifford (quad), Viliami Vailea (foot) and Thomas Mikaele (knee) all return for the Cowboys this week.

Robert Derby and Griffin Neame are out with knee and shoulder injuries respectively.

North Queensland Cowboys Team List

1. Scott Drinkwater

2. Zac Laybutt

3. Jaxon Purdue

4. Viliami Vailea

5. Braidon Burns

6. Jake Clifford

7. Tom Dearden

8. Harrison Edwards

9. Reece Robson

10. Jason Taumalolo

11. John Bateman

12. Jeremiah Nanai

13. Reuben Cotter

Interchange

14. Marly Bitungane

15. Thomas Mikaele

16. Kai O’Donnell

17. Coen Hess

Reserves

18. Jaxson Paulo

19. Semi Valemei

20. Nicholas Lenaz

21. Jamal Shibasaki

22. Kaiden Lahrs

Verdict

Parramatta Eels v North Queensland Cowboys

The Cowboys were atrocious last week and they're 0-3 vs the Eels at CommBank - this could get ugly.

Backing Parra for a big 13+ victory in a game with plenty of points, while the Fox offers great value to cross for a double.

Over 46.5

Total Points

$1.90 - 3 Units

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Eels 13+

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Josh Addo-Carr

2+ Tries

$3.80 - 1 Unit

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