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Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL Round 23 Tips - Green Machine to Power Through Manly

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Tue 05 Aug 2025 13:26

Ryan Tucker 05 Aug 2025

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Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles expert predictions for Friday’s Round 23 NRL game
Kick off is at 8:00 PM (AEST) at GIO Stadium
Raiders favored to win at home, impressive 9-1 record this season.
Manly's offense struggling, only 2 tries in last 2 games.
Hudson Young a key player, frequently scores against Manly.

Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL Round 23 Tips

Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction

Canberra will rebound from a shock loss last weekend to secure another victory at home and edge closer to their first minor premiership since 1994.

Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction
Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles Round 23 Cheat Sheet
Head to Head
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis
Canberra Raiders Team News
Canberra Raiders Team List
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

The Raiders were ill-disciplined last weekend and it was just an overall bad spot for a team that has been extremely successful this season. Despite below average numbers in Errors, Penalties Conceded, Run Metres, Efficiency Inside 20m they still only lost by 6 points and their opponent scored just 18 points.

Manly have scored a combined 2 tries in their last 2 games with their attack falling off the face of the earth. Their Run Metres have been significantly down and now face a defence that ranks 4th in restricting metres and is 6th overall in points conceded.

Canberra are a different beast at home, they are ranked 3rd in Points Scored, averaging 33.4 pts per game, are 9-1 straight up and 8-2 ATS all while averaging a 15.8 win margin.

Take the Raiders to have another big win with Manly set to go Under their Team Total for the 3rd straight week. Hudson Young crossed against Manly earlier in the year, take him for a 4-pointer here aswell.

Canberra have the best home record of any team in the NRL at 9-1. Manly are 3-6 on the road and 4-5 against current Top 8 teams this year.
The Sea Eagles have scored a 8 points total in their past 2 games, heavily restricted in Run Metres. Canberra are the 4th best defensive team for Run Metres.
Forwards have scored against Manly at a high rate this season, 8 tries in their last 6 games.
Hudson Young has scored 5 tries in his last 6 games against Manly

Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles Round 23 Cheat Sheet

Raiders vs Sea Eagles Rd23 Cheat Sheet

Head to Head

Manly hold a dominant 8-3 head to head record over Canberra since the start of the 2019 season. The game earlier this year finished 40-12 in favour of the Sea Eagles and it was also Canberra’s first loss of the season.

Manly have won 2 of the last 3 at GIO Stadium. The Game Total has gone Over in 5 straight matchups which broke a 5 game streak of Unders. The Winning Margin has been 13+ in 5 of the last 6 and in 8 of the last 11.

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis

The Raiders’ chances at first Minor Premiership since 1994 took a hit last weekend with a demoralising 18-12 loss on the road to the Dragons.

We predicted that the spot was going to be difficult for the Raiders who are leading the comp and had dropped just 1 of their 15 games prior to the matchup. Canberra were unable to capitalise on the pressure they built up on the Dragons goal line with just the 2 tries from 36 Tackles Inside 20m.

It was the 2nd fewest Total Run Metres by Canberra in a game this season, they also committed 15 errors and gave away 7 penalties on the day, both highly uncharacteristic for a team that has been extremely disciplined all season.

Canberra Raiders Team News

No changes to the Raiders team that went down to the Dragons last weekend.

Canberra Raiders Team List

1. Kaeo Weekes

2. Jed Stuart

3. Matthew Timoko

4. Seb Kris

5. Xavier Savage

6. Ethan Strange

7. Jamal Fogarty

8. Josh Papali’i

9. Tom Starling

10. Joseph Tapine

11. Hudson Young

12. Zac Hosking

13. Corey Horsburgh

Interchange

14. Owen Pattie

15. Simi Sasagi

16. Morgan Smithies

17. Ata Mariota

Reserves

18. Noah Martin

19. Danny Levi

20. Manaia Waitere

21. Trey Mooney

22. Ethan Sanders

Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis

Manly managed just the 4 points for the second week in a row losing 20-4 against the Roosters last weekend. They have been leapfrogged by their opponent on points differential and see themselves in 10th spot, 2 points off the pace of the Dolphins in 8th.

The Sea Eagles led the league in Run Metres for a good chunk of the season averaging 1505 up until just 2 weeks ago. They have now had consecutive games of 1173m and 1075m, both losses and managed an average of 23 tackles in opposition 20m zone.

5 straight games for Manly have gone Over the Game Total while 4 of 5 have finished with 13+ margins.

Manly Sea Eagles Team News

Tom Trbojevic returns to fullback with Lehi Hopoate out due to injury. Tommy Talau comes into the centres to provide depth.

Michael Chee Kam comes into the starting second row, replacing Ben Trbojevic who is out with concussion.

Aaron Schoupp is the new face on the interchange.

Manly Sea Eagles Team List

1. Tom Trbojevic

2. Jason Saab

3. Tolutau Koula

4. Tommy Talau

5. Reuben Garrick

6. Luke Brooks

7. Daly Cherry-Evans

8. Matthew Lodge

9. Jazz Tevaga

10. Siosiua Taukeiaho

11. Corey Waddell

12. Michael Chee Kam

13. Jake Trbojevic

Interchange

14. Jake Simpkin

15. Aaron Schoupp

16. Ethan Bullemor

17. Toafofoa Sipley

Reserves

18. Caleb Navale

19. Clayton Faulalo

20. Simione Laiafi

21. Joey Walsh

22. Gordon Chan Kum Tong

Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

How to watch Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 23?

You can watch the Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 23 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 23?

To buy tickets to the Canberra Raiders vs Manly Sea Eagles NRL 2025 Round 23 game check the NRL website or the official Canberra Raiders site.

Verdict

Canberra Raiders v Manly Sea Eagles

Canberra 13+

Winning Margin

$2.25 - 3 Units

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Manly Under 16.5

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Hudson Young

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$2.25 - 1 Unit

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Hudson Young

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