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Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Big Bash League Tips - Runs on the board

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Sun 11 Jan 2026 10:04

Jeremy Darke 11 Jan 2026

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Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades tips
Match start is 7:15 PM AEDT on Monday, January 12th at ENGIE Stadium
Sydney Thunder and Melbourne Renegades compete to avoid last place.
David Warner and Josh Brown expected to perform well with over 335.5 total runs.

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Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Big Bash League Tips

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Big Bash League Expert Tips

The Thunder will take a step closer to avoiding last place in a battle for the wooden spoon between the two worst records in the BBL when they host the Renegades at ENGIE Stadium.

Sydney Thunder vs Melbourne Renegades Big Bash League Expert Tips
Sydney Thunder Form
Melbourne Renegades Form
Head to Head Stats
Last 5 Matches
Last 5 Averages
Sydney Thunder Home Stats
Melbourne Renegades Away Stats

Amazingly the Thunder have only won once this season, despite the efforts of David Warner who has scored the second-most runs in the BBL this season, after scoring 279 runs over three games before losing his wicket.

The Renegades also haven’t had any run in BBL15 unable to find any sort of rhythm or consistency through their batting order besides Josh Brown.

Matches at ENGIE and Thunder matches in general see a lot of batting so that is where the props lie in this one. David Warner 30+ for Sydney and Brown over 24.5 for the ‘Gades with the match total going over 335.5.

The winner is a flip of the coin but it feels that the Thunder are due here and can take advantage of the lack of batting depth of the ‘Gades.

The Thunder have a 3-1-1 record against the Renegades in their last 5 matches.

David Warner has an average of 64.6 runs

Josh Brown has scored over 24.5 runs in 4 of his last 5 games.

The Thunder have a home match average game total of 341.2.

Sydney Thunder Form

Another massive 82-run performance from David Warner wasn’t enough to get the Thunder home in Brisbane as the Thunder have now lost 5 straight and are sitting all the way down the bottom of the ladder with a 1-7 record.

It is wild to think that David Warner’s 323 runs and 64.6 avg has not been enough to get the Thunder more victories but the bowling attack of Sydney has let them down.

The Thunder match totals are averaging 336.2 runs because Warner is posting scores and the bowlers are bleeding. Daniel Sams has taken 12 wickets this series, however it has cost the Thunder with an economy of 10.49 per over.

Melbourne Renegades Form

The Renegades were unable to fire in the Melbourne Derby as they watch their BBL season slowly start to slip away with a 3-4 record.

Getting sent into bat by the Stars, Josh Brown did all he could with 80 runs from 50 balls, however the Renegades couldn’t find anyone else in the batting order to hang with him long enough to put up a defendable total, finishing their overs with a score of 166/7.

It became a simple routine chase for the Stars with the bowling attack of the ‘Gades unable to get a breakthrough until 84 runs were already on the board and just 7.3 overs bowled.

Melbourne’s season isn’t over yet but they will likely need to win-out to stay in the hunt for a finals berth.

Head to Head Stats

Last 5 Matches

30-Dec-2024: Thunder won by 8 runs

17-Jan-2024: Match abandoned without a ball bowled

19-Jan-2023: Thunder won by 8 wickets (with 9 balls remaining)

18-Dec-2022: Renegades won by 4 wickets (with 1 ball remaining)

19-Jan-2022: Thunder won by 1 run

Last 5 Averages

BBL Last 5 Betting Trends

Sydney Thunder	Stats	Melbourne Renegades
1-4	W-L	2-3
336.2	Avg Match Total	311.6
2-3	Bat Flip	2-3
1-2	Bat First W-L	0-3

BBL Last 5 Stats

Thunder Batting	Stats	Renegades Fielding
11.8	Fours	10.4
6.6	Sixes	7.4

Thunder Fielding	Stats	Renegades Batting
17.4	Fours	13.2
6.4	Sixes	5.4

Sydney Thunder Home Stats

Thunder Batting	Stats	Thunder Fielding
11.6	Fours	16
6.4	Sixes	7.4

Melbourne Renegades Away Stats

Renegades Batting	Stats	Renegades Fielding
13	Fours	10.3
5.7	Sixes	7.3

Verdict

Sydney Thunder v Melbourne Renegades

David Warner will score 30+ and Josh Brown over 24.5 with the match total going over 335.5 in a rare Thunder victory.

Sydney Thunder

Money Line

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Over 335.5

Game Total

$1.83 - 3 Units

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David Warner

30+ Batting Runs

$2.00 - 2 Units

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J. Brown Over 24.5

Batter Match Runs

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