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Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Home hope Vacherot targets upset
In a highly anticipated match, Lorenzo Musetti faces Valentin Vacherot at the Monte Carlo Masters. Musetti, the previous year's runner-up, is under pressure with recent injuries affecting his performance. He hasn't won a match since the Australian Open, which raises concerns about his fitness and form. Meanwhile, Vacherot, supported by local fans, enters the match in strong form, having maintained a high level since winning the Shanghai Masters last year. The article suggests backing Vacherot to win due to Musetti's struggles with fitness and confidence.
- Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot predictions for Wednesday's ATP Monte Carlo R2
- Musetti is without a win since January after suffering leg & arm injuries
- Vacherot has won 16 of his last 19 Masters 1000 matches - tipped for the upset in front of his home fans in Monaco
- The match is scheduled to start around 1.00am AEDT on Thursday April 9
Expired
Valentin Vacherot (Photo by Getty Images)
Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Last year's Monte Carlo runner-up Lorenzo Musetti is under a lot of pressure as he begins his clay court swing against local hope Valentin Vacherot in the second round on Wednesday.
Musetti has endured a rough start to the season and hasn't won a match since the Australian Open, suffering leg and arm injuries. As a result, he comes into this tournament severely underdone and with a truckload of points to defend over the coming months, Musetti could crash out of the top 10 if he doesn't find his fitness and form fast.
With this in mind, it's an excellent opportunity for Vacherot to make another statement at Masters 1000 level. The Monégasque made headlines when he won the Shanghai Masters last year and he's more or less maintained that sort of form to start the season, coming into this clash on the cusp of the top 20.
Down on confidence with fitness concerns and immense pressure, I don't think I can back Musetti against a quality opponent in front of his home fans. This is one of those matches where stats and trends go out the window - going with the vibe and backing Vacherot to catch the Italian cold by winning the first set, along with the match.
Musetti vs Vacherot Stats & Trends
- Musetti hasn't won a match since the Australian Open on January 19
- Vacherot has won 16 of his last 19 matches at Masters 1000 level
- Vacherot is 2-3 in his last five matches vs top 10 players
Musetti vs Vacherot Head To Head
This will be the first career meeting between the pair.
Lorenzo Musetti Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 7-3
- ATP Monte Carlo Record: 12-5
- Current Ranking: No. 5
- Career-High Ranking: No. 5
It will take some special performances from Musetti if he's going to improve on his current career-high ranking, with the Italian defending lots of points over this clay swing.
Musetti made at least the semi-finals of all four clay events he entered at this swing last year, including the final in Monte Carlo and semis at Roland Garros.
The 24-year-old started 2026 strongly with a final in Hong Kong and quarter-final at the Australian Open, where he led Novak Djokovic by two sets before a leg injury cruelly forced his retirement.
Musetti suffered further setbacks as an arm problem also caused him to withdraw from Miami, meaning a straight sets loss to Marton Fucsovics in Indian Wells remains his only match since January.
Valentin Vacherot Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 11-7
- ATP Monte Carlo Record: 2-3
- Current Ranking: No. 23
- Career-High Ranking: No. 23
Vacherot put together one of the biggest runs in tennis history to win the Shanghai Masters last year and for the most part, he's remained at a very high level, coming into his home tournament at a career-high ranking of No. 23.
The 27-year-old has been quite consistent this season, reaching quarter-finals at Adelaide and Acapulco, along with the third round of the Australian Open and fourth round at Miami.
The Monégasque obviously has immense support in Monte Carlo and the home crowd rallied behind their man as Vacherot came from behind to defeat Juan Manuel Cerundolo in his opening round.
Vacherot finished strongly, dropping just three games in the final two sets for a 5-7 6-2 6-1 victory.
Musetti vs Vacherot Live Stream
Watch and bet on Lorenzo Musetti vs Valentin Vacherot live tennis from Monte Carlo.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Monte Carlo with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
Vacherot is backed for the upset over an underdone Musetti, who hasn't won a match since January.
Vacherot
1st Set Winner
$2.43 - 1 Unit
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Vacherot Win
H2H
$2.63 - 1 Unit
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