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Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettini Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Long match in prospect in Madrid opener
Matteo Berrettini, a former finalist, begins his campaign at the Madrid Masters against rising star Dino Prizmic. Despite recent struggles with injuries, Berrettini is expected to excel in the fast-paced conditions of Madrid. Prizmic, a promising young player, is in good form, adding to the anticipation of a close match. The recommendation is to expect over 23.5 games and at least one tiebreak due to both players' recent match history. The encounter promises to be a thrilling battle as both aim for victory.
- Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettini predictions for Wednesday's ATP Madrid R1 match
- Berrettini a Madrid finalist in 2021, but has barely featured since due to injury
- Prizmic looking to continue perfect record in Masters 1000 completed matches
- Close match expected with at least one tiebreak
- The match is scheduled to start around 9.00pm AEST on Wednesday April 22
Expired
Matteo Berrettini (Photo by Getty Images)
Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettini Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
Former finalist Matteo Berrettini gets his Madrid Masters campaign up and running on Wednesday when he comes up against rising young gun Dino Prizmic in the opening round.
Amazingly, Berrettini has only ever lost one completed match in Madrid - the Italian made the final all the way back in 2021 and didn't play the tournament again until 2025 due to injury, where he was forced to retire in the third round.
Unfortunately, injuries continue to hold Berrettini back from reclaiming his spot near the upper echelons of the rankings and he comes into this clash barely holding onto a top 100 ranking. However, it doesn't come as any surprise why Berrettini would enjoy the conditions in Madrid, where there's a bit of altitude and the ball flys through the air quickly, favouring big servers.
Prizmic is in some good form and is a bright young prospect, so I do find it tough to predict a winner here - which is why I'm leaning towards the overs and a tiebreak. Berrettini has seen a tiebreak in his last three Madrid matches, while Prizmic was involved in a 7-6 6-7 7-6 win in qualifying over Chris O'Connell. Backing a close match with 1+ tiebreak and Over 23.5 games.
Prizmic vs Berrettini Stats & Trends
- Prizmic has seen five tiebreaks in his last four matches
- Prizmic has seen 1+ tiebreak in three of his last four matches
- Prizmic is 3-0 in his last three ATP R1 matches
- Prizmic is 5-0 in Masters 1000 completed matches (includes qualifying)
- Berrettini has seen four tiebreaks in his last three Madrid matches
- Berrettini is 5-1 in completed Madrid matches
- Berrettini is 8-1 in his last nine Masters 1000 opening matches
Prizmic vs Berrettini Head To Head
This will be the first career meeting between the pair.
Dino Prizmic Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 5-5
- ATP Madrid Record: 0-0
- Current Ranking: No. 87
- Career-High Ranking: No. 87 (April 2026)
It took perhaps a year or so longer than initially expected due to injuries, but Prizmic has made his top 100 breakthrough during the first quarter of 2026 and I'm backing him to push towards the top 50 over the next few months.
The 20-year-old is an extremely talented baseliner that I think will prove very tough to break down on clay and slow hardcourt over the course of his career.
All up, Prizmic has won 15 of his last 20 matches at all levels, most recently making the final of the strong Monza Challenger, where he went down to Raphael Collignon.
Prizmic improved his record in completed Masters 1000 matches to 5-0 in successfully qualifying for Madrid. The Croatian edged out Chris O'Connell 7-6(9) 6-7(5) 7-6(3) before easing past Zsombor Piros 6-3 6-2 to enter the main draw.
Matteo Berrettini Form Analysis
- 2026 Record: 8-7
- ATP Madrid Record: 5-2
- Current Ranking: No. 92
- Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (2022)
After making the Wimbledon final and hitting a career-high ranking of No. 6, Berrettini's career has taken a downward spiral due to injuries.
The Italian just can't seem to stay fully fit for more than a couple of months at a time and remains in danger of dropping out of the top 100.
Berrettini's best result by round so far in 2026 was a quarter-final run in Rio de Janeiro, but he did have a promising most recent tournament in Monte Carlo.
Indeed, the 30-year-old dropped a shocking double bagel on Daniil Medvedev in a 6-0 6-0 thrashing, but was no match in the R16 as he went down 6-3 6-2 to Joao Fonseca.
As mentioned, Berrettini made the final of Madrid back in 2021, going down to Alexander Zverev in three sets.
Prizmic vs Berrettini Live Stream
Watch and bet on Dino Prizmic vs Matteo Berrettini live tennis from Madrid.
You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Madrid with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.
Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.
Verdict
A close match is expected in this Madrid first round, with Over 23.5 games and 1+ tiebreak.
Over 0.5
Total Tiebreaks
$1.90 - 2 Units
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Over 23.5
Total Games
$1.95 - 1 Unit
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