Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Demon 1-11 vs Greek rival

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Fri 20 Mar 2026 03:14

Andrew Hendrie 20 Mar 2026

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Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas predictions for Friday's ATP Miami R2 match
Tsitsipas has a dominant 11-1 record over De Minaur
De Minaur not in great form, losing two of last three matches - value in the upset here
The match is scheduled to start around 8.00am AEDT on Saturday March 21

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Stefanos Tsitsipas (Photo by Getty Images)

Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Tips, Prediction & Live Stream

An intriguing second round clash awaits in the second round of the Miami Masters as Aussie star Alex de Minaur comes up against a slumping Stefanos Tsitsipas.

Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas Tips, Prediction & Live Stream
De Minaur vs Tsitsipas Stats & Trends
De Minaur vs Tsitsipas Head To Head
Alex de Minaur Form Analysis
Stefanos Tsitsipas Form Analysis
De Minaur vs Tsitsipas Live Stream

Tsitsipas has endured a horror period of form that has seen him tumble outside of the world's top 50. It's been a tumultuous time for the Greek, but perhaps - just maybe - this favourable matchup could spark a change in fortunes?

Tsitsipas has won 11 of the 12 previous meetings with de Minaur - that's about as dominant as it gets on the main tour. De Minaur also isn't in great form heading into this tournament, losing in the opening round of Acapulco to Patrick Kypson and the third round of Indian Wells to Cameron Norrie. The Demon has never really produced his best tennis over the Sunshine Swing and has never been beyond the R16 in Miami.

Despite Tsitsipas' horrible form, I can't ignore that H2H and the $3.00 on offer for the upset. If de Minaur was in better form, I'd reconsider, but the Aussie hasn't played well since the Rotterdam title in early February. Tsitsipas was a dominant straight sets winner in his opening round and he should be hyped for this - I'll back him at the line and outright.

De Minaur vs Tsitsipas Stats & Trends

Tsitsipas leads the H2H with de Minaur 11-1
De Minaur has lost two of his last three matches
De Minaur has a negative 5-6 record in Miami
Tsitsipas is 1-0 vs top 10 players in 2026

De Minaur vs Tsitsipas Head To Head

As mentioned, Tsitsipas has won 11 of the 12 previous encounters - but this will be their first meeting since 2024.

Year	Winner	Event	Round	Surface	Score
2024	Stefanos Tsitsipas	ATP Masters 1000 Rome	Round of 16	Outdoor Clay	6–1, 6–2
2024	Alex de Minaur	Acapulco	Quarterfinal	Outdoor Hard	1–6, 6–3, 6–3
2023	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Los Cabos	Final	Outdoor Hard	6–3, 6–4
2023	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Barcelona	Quarterfinal	Outdoor Clay	6–4, 6–2
2022	Stefanos Tsitsipas	ATP Masters 1000 Miami	Round of 32	Outdoor Hard	6–4, 6–3
2022	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Rotterdam	Quarterfinal	Indoor Hard	6–4, 6–4
2021	Stefanos Tsitsipas	ATP Masters 1000 Indian Wells	Round of 16	Outdoor Hard	6–7(3), 7–6(3), 6–2
2021	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Barcelona	Round of 16	Outdoor Clay	7–5, 6–3
2021	Stefanos Tsitsipas	ATP Cup	Round Robin	Outdoor Hard	6–3, 7–5
2019	Stefanos Tsitsipas	ATP Masters 1000 Paris	Round of 16	Indoor Hard	6–3, 6–4
2018	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Next Gen ATP Finals	Final	Indoor Hard	2–4, 4–1, 4–3(3), 4–3(3)
2018	Stefanos Tsitsipas	Tokyo	Round of 16	Indoor Hard	6–3, 5–7, 6–1

Alex de Minaur Form Analysis

2026 Record: 12-4
ATP Miami Record: 5-6
Current Ranking: No. 6
Career-High Ranking: No. 6 (2024)

It was a nice start to the season for De Minaur as he made another Australian Open quarter-final and secured an 11th ATP title at the 500 event in Rotterdam.

However, the Aussie hasn't been able to sustain that winning momentum since heading over to North America.

De Minaur was bounced in the opening round of Acapulco by World No. 103 Patrick Kypson and didn't fare much better in Indian Wells, claiming a good win over Seb Korda before a straight sets defeat to Cameron Norrie.

The 27-year-old has never been past the R16 in Miami and went down to Matteo Berrettini at that stage in straight sets last year.

Stefanos Tsitsipas Form Analysis

2026 Record: 10-6
ATP Miami Record: 10-7
Current Ranking: No. 51
Career-High Ranking: No. 3 (2021)

It's been a rough couple of years for Tsitsipas and things haven't really looked like improving so far in 2026.

The Greek has dropped outside of the top 50 and continues to look lost on the court. It's a far cry from the man who peaked at No. 3 in the world and made multiple Grand Slam finals just a few years ago.

Tsitsipas looked like he turned his form around at the start of the season when he beat Taylor Fritz at the United Cup, but he's failed to turn that triumph into any sort of positive momentum.

The 27-year-old's best result was making the quarter-finals of Doha, but he was then knocked out in the opening round of Dubai and Indian Wells by Ugo Humbert and Denis Shapovalov respectively.

Tsitsipas' best result in Miami was a quarter-final run in 2021. He had a nice 6-1 7-6 win over qualifier Arthur Fery in the first round earlier in the week.

De Minaur vs Tsitsipas Live Stream

Watch and bet on Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipas live tennis from Miami.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Miami with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Alex de Minaur v Stefanos Tsitsipas

Can't ignore the $3.00 odds on offer for someone who has an 11-1 record over the favourite. Not hugely confident, but Tsitsipas can claim the upset here.