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Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders NRL Tips - Raiders backed for fifth win on the trot

Andrew Hendrie

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Last updated: Wed 18 Jun 2025 07:40

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Andrew Hendrie 18 Jun 2025

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Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders expert predictions for Friday's NRL Round 16 game
Kick off is at 8.00pm AEST at Campbelltown Sports Stadium
Tigers on a four-game losing streak; Raiders on a four-game winning streak
Tigers can keep this game close, with the Raiders tipped for another 1-12 win
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets

Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders NRL Tips

Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders, NRL Round 16 - Expert Prediction

The Raiders are set to keep rolling and condemn the free-falling Tigers to a fifth consecutive defeat to launch NRL Round 16 action in Campbelltown on Friday night.

Wests Tigers vs Canberra Raiders, NRL Round 16 - Expert Prediction
Head To Head
Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Wests Tigers Team News
Wests Tigers Team List
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Canberra Raiders Team News
Canberra Raiders Team List

It's been an incredible season for the Raiders and they're showing no signs of slowing down, coming into this clash having won nine of their last 10 games - and their lone defeat in that period was against the table-topping Bulldogs after they were leading by 20 points at half-time.

Rising stars Kaeo Weekes and Ethan Strange have stepped up, while experienced leaders like Josh Papalii, Joseph Tapine and Jamal Fogarty are doing their thing. Ricky Stuart has put together a perfectly balanced side and with games against the Knights and the Dragons before another bye in Round 19, the Raiders are well-positioned to contend for the minor premiership.

The Tigers meanwhile are in all sorts, just one win above the Titans at the foot of the ladder and heading into this showdown on a four-match losing streak. The Lachlan Galvin saga derailed their promising start to the season and now they face a big test to haul themselves back up the ladder.

I can't go past the Raiders here, but I don't think this will be a blowout - they love the grind and the Tigers' last three defeats have been by 10 points or less. Sunia Turuva is also a decent shout to cross for his 11th try of the season.

Raiders have won eight of the last nine meetings between the teams
Raiders have won nine of their last 10 games & their last five consecutive road outings
Tigers are on a four-game losing streak
Sixteen of the Raiders' last 21 wins have been by a 1-12 margin
Tigers' last three defeats have been by 10 points or less
Raiders have seen 40+ points in 11 of their last 13 games
Tigers have seen 40+ points in three of their last five games
The last three meetings have seen 40+ points
Sunia Turuva has scored 10 tries in his last 12 games
Canberra has allowed a try to their opposing right winger in five of their last six away games

Head To Head

Canberra have dominated the Tigers in recent seasons, winning eight of the last nine encounters between the sides. However, it was the Tigers who emerged triumphant in the most-recent clash in Round 16 last year, with departed halfback Lachlan Galvin scoring a double in a punishing 48-24 triumph.

Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	3-2	3-2

An encouraging start to the season is now a distant memory for the Tigers, who come into Round 16 on a four-game losing streak and just one win above the last-placed Titans at the bottom of the ladder.

There's no doubt the additions of Jarome Luai, Sunia Turuva and Terrell May have made the Tigers a more competitive outfit, but at the end of the day, they will be closer to the wooden spoon than the top eight if they lose this game - and with away matches against the Sea Eagles, Roosters and Warriors to come, they could be in real trouble.

Before last week's bye, the Tigers were last seen in action against the Panthers, putting up a brave fight before going down 18-14. Turuva was once again lethal on the wing, crossing for his 10th try of the season, while Luai was highly involved, running the ball on a whopping 26 occasions as he tried to make an impact against his former club.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
8-5	7-6	3-5	2-3

Wests Tigers Team News

Fonua Pole and Alex Twal return from layoffs, meaning Charlie Murray and Kit Laulilii drop back to reserve grade.

Wests Tigers Team List

1. Jahream Bula

2. Sunia Turuva

3. Adam Doueihi

4. Starford To’a

5. Jeral Skelton

6. Heath Mason

7. Jarome Luai

8. Terrell May

9. Apisai Koroisau

10. Fonua Pole

11. Samuela Fainu

12. Alex Seyfarth

13. Alex Twal

Interchange

14. Tallyn Da Silva

15. Sione Fainu

16. Latu Fainu

17. Jack Bird

Reserves

18. Tony Sukkar

19. Charlie Murray

20. Charlie Staines

21. Kit Laulilii

22. Izaac Tu’itupou

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	4-1

Raiders fans couldn't have dreamed for a better season heading into Round 16, with the club looking a genuine chance of lifting a first premiership since 1994.

Canberra kicked off their season in style in Vegas and have gone from strength to strength, heading into this clash with nine wins from their last 10 games.

Kaeo Weekes has developed into one of the most electric fullbacks in the game and ranks second for kick return metres in the NRL, consistently helping the Raiders to start their sets on the front foot.

Hudson Young is becoming one of the most prolific try-scoring second-rowers in recent memory and Jamal Fogarty's kicking game is as strong as ever.

Canberra were last season easing past the Rabbitohs 36-12 before last week's bye, with Ethan Strange and Josh Papalii (in his record-breaking appearance for the club) scoring doubles.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
11-3	9-5	7-2	4-1

Canberra Raiders Team News

A blow for the Green Machine with Savelio Tamale ruled out for up to three months with a dislocated knee, meaning Jed Stuart makes his NRL debut on the wing.

Hudson Young is expected to back up from Origin duty in Perth on Wednesday night.

Canberra Raiders Team List

1. Kaeo Weekes

2. Jed Stuart

3. Matthew Timoko

4. Sebastian Kris

5. Xavier Savage

6. Ethan Strange

7. Jamal Fogarty

8. Josh Papali’i

9. Tom Starling

10. Joseph Tapine

11. Hudson Young

12. Zac Hosking

13. Corey Horsburgh

Interchange

14. Owen Pattie

15. Simi Sasagi

16. Morgan Smithies

17. Ata Mariota

Reserves

18. Noah Martin

19. Chevy Stewart

20. Danny Levi

21. Ethan Sanders

22. Pasami Saulo

Verdict

Wests Tigers v Canberra Raiders

The Tigers will put up a fight for the fifth game in a row, but the Raiders are masters of the grind and their class should shine through in the end.

Sunia Turuva continues to be prolific in a losing side and can cross for a 11th four-pointer of the season.

Tigers +15.5/Over 39.5

Alternative Line/Alternative Total Points

$2.05 - 3 Units

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Raiders 1-12

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Sunia Turuva

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