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Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks NRL Round 16 Tips - Bronx within attacking range

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 19 Jun 2025 16:22

Ryan Tucker 19 Jun 2025

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Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 16 NRL game
Kick off is at 2:00 PM (AEST) at Suncorp Stadium
Brisbane slightly favored, but Sharks won 2 of last 3 at Suncorp.
Match may be low-scoring; expect a tight game based on trends.
Jesse Arthars a key player to watch for potentially decisive try.

Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks NRL Round 16 Tips

Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks, Round 16 2025 - Expert Prediction

If the boppers back up - Brisbane are likely to win. No Payne Haas or Patty Carrigan gives the Sharks a major advantage. Keep an eye on team late mail throughout the weekend to keep up to date on changes.

Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks, Round 16 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brisbane Broncos Team List
Cronulla Sharks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Cronulla Sharks Team News
Cronulla Sharks Team List
Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2025 Round 16 FAQ’s

Brisbane are favoured and have more points in the predictive modelling. They hold an advantage in the head to head against Cronulla but the Sharks have won 2 of the last 3 at Suncorp which cannot be understated.

These matchups are usually tight which also points to small margins of error or difference. That is why it is important for Brisbane to have Haas and Carrigan in the team to work on those Run Metres.

The Sharks are ranked 7th in Opposition Run Metres giving up 1380m per game, slightly above the league average of 1434m per game. They also have to defend against the fewest Tackles Inside 20m from opponents at just 23.1 per game but scratch a little deeper and you see they leak points. 8th in Points Conceded (21.9 per game) and 17th in Opposition Tryscoring Efficiency - giving up a four pointer for every 7.6 tackles Inside that 20m zone.

If Brisbane can get up the other end they will be able to score points, even with the lacklustre attack they have shown over the past few months of footy. The Broncos goalline defence is strong enough to put pressure on Cronulla and force them into mistakes.

Take the Broncos on the line, Game Total Under which is in line with H2H trends and Jesse Arthars to cross for a 4 pointer.

3 of the 4 Sharks losses away from home this season have been 1-12 margins and the Broncos are 3-2 straight up as Home Favourites this season.
The Game Total has gone Under in 5 straight between these teams.
Jesse Arthars is 2nd on the Tryscorer rankings this season with 11 tries from 13 games.
Brisbane have scored the first try in 6 of their last 7 games while Cronulla have allowed the first try in 3 of their last 4.

Head to Head

Brisbane hold a slight advantage in the head to head battle with a 5-3 record in games played since the start of the 2019 season. Two of those Sharks wins have come at Suncorp Stadium.

The Game Total has gone Under in 5 straight and 6 of 8 games while the Winning Margin has stayed between 1-12 in 7 straight matchups.

Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	2-3

The Broncos are coming off their second bye of the season and the question will be if it has stunted the little bit of momentum they had gathered or if it was a perfect opportunity to refocus the playing group.

Prior to the break the Broncos had a 44-14 victory over the Titans which snapped a 4 game losing streak where they averaged just 13.5 pts per game. The poor form stretched back even further with Brisbane having now won only 2 of their last 8 games.

Although they are 1st in the league in Linebreaks with 5.9 per game they are 13th in Run Metres (1382) and 10th in Tackles Inside 20m (27.5).

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
4-9	6-7	2-5	4-2

Brisbane Broncos Team News

All eyes are on Payne Haas and Pat Carrigan to see whether they back up from Origin. At this stage they are named. Jack Gosiewski comes in for the injured Ben Te Kura

Brisbane Broncos Team List

1. Reece Walsh

2. Josiah Karapani

3. Kotoni Staggs

4. Gehamat Shibasaki

5. Jesse Arthars

6. Ezra Mam

7. Adam Reynolds

8. Corey Jensen

9. Cory Paix

10. Payne Haas

11. Brendan Piakura

12. Jordan Riki

13. Patrick Carrigan

Interchange

14. Billy Walters

15. Kobe Hetherington

16. Xavier Willison

17. Jack Gosiewski

Reserves

18. Tyson Smoothy

19. Selwyn Cobbo

20. Jaiyden Hunt

21. Deine Mariner

22. Blake Mozer

23. Ben Talty

Cronulla Sharks Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	3-2	4-1

The Sharks snapped a 2 game losing streak last weekend with a dominant second half performance in their 30-18 victory over the Dragons.

Cronulla enjoyed 53% of Territory in the first half but found themselves behind 18-6 at the break. Nicho Hynes and Brayden Trindall then took control of the game as they put the Sharks in scoring positions with 65% of Possession and 81% of Territory in the 2nd half.

They had 5 Linebreaks and were Tackled 17 times in opposition 20m in the second 40 min with the Dragons unable to do anything to stop the onslaught. The Sharks are ranked 2nd in the league in Tackles Inside 20m with 36.7 per game.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
7-7	7-7	4-3	4-3

Cronulla Sharks Team News

The injury toll to the backline continues with Mawene Hiroti the latest casualty. Sifa Talakai moves to the centres as a replacement.

On the interchange, Daniel Atkinson is joined by Jesse Colquhoun and Toby Rudolf.

Cronulla Sharks Team List

1. Will Kennedy

2. Sione Katoa

3. Jesse Ramien

4. Sifa Talakai

5. Ronaldo Mulitalo

6. Braydon Trindall

7. Nicho Hynes

8. Addin Fonua-Blake

9. Blayke Brailey

10. Oregon Kaufusi

11. Briton Nikora

12. Teig Wilton

13. Cameron McInnes

Interchange

14. Daniel Atkinson

15. Jesse Colquhoun

16. Toby Rudolf

17. Braden Hamlin-Uele

Reserves

18. Billy Burns

19. Hohepa Puru

20. Niwhai Puru

21. Jayden Berrell

22. Chris Vea'ila

Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2025 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2025 Round 16?

You can watch the Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2025 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2025 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Brisbane Broncos vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2025 Round 16 game check the NRL website or the official Brisbane Broncos site.

Verdict

Brisbane Broncos v Cronulla Sharks

Take the Broncos on the line, Game Total Under which is in line with H2H trends and Jesse Arthars to cross for a 4 pointer.

Broncos -4.5

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