- Wednesday 9
- Thursday 10
- Friday 11
- Saturday 12
- Sunday 13
- Monday 14
- Tuesday 15
- Wednesday 16
- Thursday 17
- Friday 18
- Saturday 19
New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers NRL Tips - Warriors to conquer depleted Panthers
- New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 16 game
- Kick off is at 3.00pm AEST at Go Media Stadium
- Warriors backed for their 11th win this season, with Panthers resting their Origin stars
- Low-scoring game expected between top defensive sides
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers NRL Tips
New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers, NRL Round 16 - Expert Prediction
The Warriors are set to keep the pressure on the Raiders and Bulldogs at the top of the ladder and secure another two points when they face an understrength Panthers side to launch Super Saturday across the Tasman.
- New Zealand Warriors vs Penrith Panthers, NRL Round 16 - Expert Prediction
- Head To Head
- New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- New Zealand Warriors Team News
- New Zealand Warriors Team List
- Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Penrith Panthers Team News
- Penrith Panthers Team List
What a season it's been for the Warriors - and although I keep declaring they've been very fortunate at various stages throughout the year, you have to give credit where credit's due. Their third spot on the ladder is no accident and Andrew Webster - one of the most underrated coaches in the competition - has done a great job shaping this Warriors side into a premiership force.
The Warriors have only lost to the Raiders and Storm this season and they're not about to add another team to that short list in Round 16. The Panthers are poised to make a late charge for the finals, but it's unlikely to start here, with Ivan Cleary making the decision to rest all of his Origin players - meaning Dylan Edwards, Nathan Cleary, Isaah Yeo, Brian To'o and Liam Martin are all missing for this clash.
As a result, this will prove too big a test for the Panthers, but I still think they can keep this relatively close, with the Warriors finding themselves in lots of close contests this season. I'm also backing Under 45.5 total points, with the Warriors ranking top three in defence and Penrith improving in this area over the last month. Tom Jenkins looks good value for a try as a winger, scoring a hat-trick last week and crossing at least once in four of his last five games.
- Warriors have won 10 of their 13 games this season
- Warriors have only lost to Storm & Raiders this season
- Warriors have won four of their five games in NZ this season
- Seven of the Warriors' last nine wins have been by a 1-12 margin
- Four of the Panthers' last seven defeats have been by a 1-12 margin
- Two of the last three meetings have bee decided by a 1-12 margin
- The last three meetings have seen Under 45.5 points
- Five of the Panthers' last six games have seen Under 45.5 points
- Five of the Warriors' last eight games have seen Under 45.5 points
- Thomas Jenkins has scored seven tries in his last five games
Head To Head
The Warriors are aiming for consecutive wins over Penrith for the first time since 2011-12 after prevailing 22-20 in Round 9 last season, with Dylan Edwards missing a penalty goal after the siren to level the scores. Penrith will be playing in New Zealand for the first time since 2019.
New Zealand Warriors Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
It's been a brilliant season for the Warriors, who are strongly positioned to finish inside the top four and give themselves a second chance in the finals.
Indeed, the Warriors enjoy a six-point buffer over the fifth-placed Sharks, who they demolished in their most-recent performance, which was easily their most impressive of the year.
The Warriors crushed Cronulla 40-10 on the road, with Luke Metcalf continues his sensational season at halfback, crossing for an eighth try of the season, while he's also registered seven try assists. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad continues to be a metre eater, running for 242m in that victory, with the fullback making the third-most metres in the competition this season.
Andrew Webster's side have now won seven of their last eight games and have piled on the points lately, also recording a 36-30 triumph over the Rabbitohs the previous round.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9-4 | 6-7 | 7-1 | 3-2 |
New Zealand Warriors Team News
Wayde Egan returns from a hip injury at hooker, with Sam Healey dropping to 18th man, but centres Rocco Berry (hamstring) and Ali Leiataua (ankle) remain sidelined.
Moala Graham-Taufa comes into the centres, while Kurt Capewell is being rested after Origin.
New Zealand Warriors Team List
1. Charnze Nicoll-Klokstad
2. Dallin Watene-Zelezniak
3. Adam Pompey
4. Moala Graham-Taufa
5. Roger Tuivasa-Sheck
6. Chanel Harris-Tavita
7. Luke Metcalf
8. James Fisher-Harris
9. Wayde Egan
10. Marata Niukore
11. Leka Halasima
12. Jacob Laban
13. Erin Clark
Interchange
14. Te Maire Martin
15. Jackson Ford
16. Demitric Vaimauga
17. Tanner Stowers-Smith
Reserves
18. Samuel Healey
20. Bunty Afoa
21. Tanah Boyd
22. Edward Kosi
23. Eddie Ieremia
Penrith Panthers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-2 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
It's obviously been a tough season for the Panthers, which is understandable following four consecutive premierships.
After going 1-5 to begin the season, the Panthers have began to make their move, coming into this encounter having won three and drawn one of their last five games.
Currently ninth on the ladder, the Panthers will remain confident of finishing inside the top eight this season and timing their run to perfection in order to make an impact in the finals.
However, it's still been a real grind, with the Panthers edging out the lowly Eels and Tigers by eight and four points respectively in their last two games before the bye.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | 5-8 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
Penrith Panthers Team News
As mentioned, Origin stars Dylan Edwards, Nathan Cleary, Isaah Yeo, Brian To'o and Liam Martin are all being rested for this clash.
Daine Laurie starts at fullback, Paul Alamoti lines up on the wing, Brad Schneider at halfback, Isaiah Papali'i starts in the back row and Matt Eisenhuth comes in at lock. Liam Henry returns from suspension on the bench alongside Trent Toelau, Luron Patea and Luke Garner.
Penrith Panthers Team List
1. Daine Laurie
2. Thomas Jenkins
3. Izack Tago
4. Casey McLean
5. Paul Alamoti
6. Blaize Talagi
7. Brad Schneider
8. Moses Leota
9. Mitch Kenny
10. Lindsay Smith
11. Scott Sorensen
12. Isaiah Papali’i
13. Matt Eisenhuth
Interchange
14. Trent Toelau
15. Liam Henry
16. Luron Patea
17. Luke Garner
Reserves
18. Luke Sommerton
19. Jack Cole
20. Mavrik Geyer
21. Preston Riki
22. Austin Dias
23. Harrison Hassett
24. Jaxen Edgar
Verdict
The Warriors are tipped for another 1-12 win this season over a depleted Panthers outfit.
Under 45.5 points is also backed, with Tom Jenkins decent value to cross for another meat pie.
Under 45.5
Total Points
$1.91 - 3 Units
Lightning fast betting
Join with code BETSAU
18+. T&Cs apply
Warriors 1-12
Margin
$3.30 - 1 Unit
Fastest Betting App
For Racing Fans
Join Australia's newest online bookmaker with code BETSAU and enjoy exciting new ways to bet. The app is among the fastest in the market. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.
Tom Jenkins
Anytime Tryscorer
$2.45 - 1 Unit
Australia's #1 bookmaker
Use the code "BLACKBOOK"
The Ladbrokes.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you're about to lose. Set a deposit limit.
Tom Jenkins
First Tryscorer
$12.00 - 1 Unit
Take it to the Neds Level
Register with code BLACKBOOK
The Neds.com.au code is BLACKBOOK. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you’re about to lose. Set a deposit limit.
Related
Top Betting Sites
Betting offers
Upcoming Events
09 July 2025
10 July 2025
11 July 2025
Load More
