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Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights NRL Tips - Phins to continue red-hot form in Perth
- Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Saturday's NRL Round 16 game
- Kick off is at 5.30pm AEST at HBF Park
- Dolphins to continue attacking blitz & record fourth straight win
- Dom Young backed to score in his return for Newcastle
- Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights NRL Tips
Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights, NRL Round 16 - Expert Prediction
The Dolphins are the hottest team in the NRL heading into Round 16 and they are tipped to continue their extraordinary form by toppling the lowly Knights in Perth.
- Dolphins vs Newcastle Knights, NRL Round 16 - Expert Prediction
- Head To Head
- Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Dolphins Team News
- Dolphins Team List
- Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Newcastle Knights Team News
- Newcastle Knights Team List
Who saw this coming, especially after the Dolphins lost their opening four games in the competition? Kristian Woolf has worked his magic and transformed the Dolphins into the most lethal attacking team in the competition, scoring a whopping 158 points in their last three victories, including 10-try hauls over the Dragons and Cowboys.
I'm backing the Phins to make it four wins on the trot and cover a -10.5 line, but I don't think they're in for another points blitz. That's because the Knights are actually amongst the best defensive teams in the competition, despite their dreadful season and being one of the most unwatchable sides in recent memory. The total points is line is set at 47.5 and the Knights have gone under in 11 of their 13 games this season.
The Dolphins winning comfortably with Under 47.5 points are the main plays here, while I'm going to back Dominic Young to cross in his return to Newcastle after enjoying a prolific try-scoring run at the club in his previous stint.
- Dolphins have won seven of their last 10 games
- Dolphins have won their last three games, scoring 158 points combined
- Six of the Dolphins' seven wins this season have come by 18+ points
- Knights have failed to cover a +10.5 line in seven of their nine defeats this season
- Knights have seen Under 47.5 points in 11 of their 13 games this season
- Dominic Young has scored 43 tries in 51 games for the Knights
Head To Head
The Knights have won the last four meetings between the teams, including a 26-12 triumph in Round 3 earlier this season, with James Schiller (who's been dropped for Dom Young for this contest) crossing for a double.
Dolphins Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-1 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
The Dolphins are the form team in the competition right now, scoring points for fun and rising to sixth on the ladder.
This current run has come out of nowhere, with the Dolphins demolishing the Bulldogs 44-8, the Dragons 56-6 and the Cowboys 58-4 in their last three games.
Isaiya Katoa continues to cement himself as the brightest young halfback in the NRL, with his spark and creativity allowing the Phins' outside backs to shine.
Herbie Farnworth is on a club record run of scoring at least one try in eight consecutive games, while winger Jack Bostock crossed for four tries in the demolition of North Queensland last week - and dropped a sitter for five too.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9-5 | 6-8 | 1-6 | 6-1 |
Dolphins Team News
Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow remains in Perth and will back up from Origin, with Jake Averillo moving to the centres and Max Feagai to the reserves.
Felise Kaufusi is out suspended, meaning Mark Nicholls starts the game in the front row and Harrison Graham joins the bench. Katoa will captain the Dolphins for the first time.
Dolphins Team List
1. Hamiso Tabuai-Fidow
2. Jamayne Isaako
3. Jake Averillo
4. Herbie Farnworth
5. Jack Bostock
6. Kodi Nikorima
7. Isaiya Katoa
8. Francis Molo
9. Jeremy Marshall-King
10. Mark Nicholls
11. Kulikefu Finefeuiaki
12. Oryn Keeley
13. Kurt Donoghoe
Interchange
14. Harrison Graham
15. Connelly Lemuelu
16. Ray Stone
17. Josh Kerr
Reserves
18. Sean O’Sullivan
19. Max Feagai
20. Aublix Tawha
21. Trai Fuller
22. Peter Hola
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-3 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
The Knights have been a tough watch all season and their 12-8 loss to a depleted Roosters side last week needs to be erased from history immediately.
Newcastle just can't attack - it's that simple and they remind me of the Bulldogs when they were at their worst a few years ago.
Averaging 13 points per game this season, the Knights simply don't have the firepower to compete with most teams this year - and that's despite having one of the best defences in the competition.
In saying all of that, the Knights have won two of their last four games and sit just two wins outside the top eight - an unlikely win here would restore some confidence and set up and interesting next month.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5-9 | 2-12 | 2-2 | 3-7 |
Newcastle Knights Team News
Big boost to the Knights' backline this week, with Dom Young returning to the club on the wing, while Bradman Best (hamstring) and Kalyn Ponga (Origin) are also back, alongside five-eighth Fletcher Sharpe, who has recovered from a calf injury that sidelined him last week.
Tyson Frizell also returns, so James Schiller, Fletcher Hunt, Kyle McCarthy and Jackson Hastings have dropped to the reserves.
Newcastle Knights Team List
1. Kalyn Ponga
2. Dominic Young
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Fletcher Sharpe
7. Jack Cogger
8. Tyson Frizell
9. Jayden Brailey
10. Mathew Croker
11. Dylan Lucas
12. Kai Pearce-Paul
13. Phoenix Crossland
Interchange
14. Brodie Jones
15. Thomas Cant
16. Jermaine McEwen
17. Elijah Leaumoana
Reserves
18. James Schiller
19. Jackson Hastings
20. Fletcher Hunt
21. Kyle McCarthy
22. Jack Hetherington
Verdict
The Dolphins will have too much firepower for the Knights to handle, but considering Newcastle's excellent defence, I'm tipping Under 47.5 total points.
Dom Young can help ignite the Knights' attack by scoring his 44th try for the club upon his return.
Under 47.5
Total Points
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Dolphins -10.5
Line
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