Manly Sea Eagles vs North QLD Cowboys, Round 1 2025 - Expert Prediction
The Sea Eagles will continue their strong home form from the 2024 season, beating the North Queensland Cowboys at 4 Pines Park on Saturday, covering the line as the 6.5-point favourites.
- Manly Sea Eagles vs North QLD Cowboys, Round 1 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Manly Sea Eagles Team News
- Manly Sea Eagles Team List
- North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- North QLD Cowboys Team News
- North QLD Cowboys Team List
- Manly Sea Eagles vs North QLD Cowboys NRL 2025 Round 1 FAQ’s
Manly were a force at Brookvale in 2024, basically 14 points better, comparing their attacking and defensive statistics as the home team compared to the away team last season.
Tom Trbojevic is the key to their success (no real secret) and their fullback has an incredible record at 4 Pines, scoring 19 tries in 23 games. With a settled backline for Manly and North Queensland working out their identity with the departure of Val Holmes, Kyle Feldt and Chad Towsend, it is expected to be a comfortable win for the Sea Eagles.
They will put their foot on the gas in the end and run up the score on the Cows with Turbo featuring heavily on the match sheet.
- Manly won 8 of 11 home games in 2024, covering the line in 7 of 8 victories.
- The Sea Eagles had an average winning margin of 17.37 points at 4 Pines Park in 2024.
- Manly scored 24 points or more in 9 of 12 matches as the home team in 2024.
- Tom Trbojevic has scored 19 tries in 23 games at 4 Pines Park, including at least one try in his last six games at the venue.
Head to Head
Manly won the only match between these two clubs in 2024, beating the Cows in a 1-point thriller at QCB Stadium, in round 18. Daly Cherry-Evans kicked the game winning field goal in the third minute of golden point, after Scott Drinkwater tied up the match with a two-point field goal inside the final 4 minutes of the match.
Manly lead the recent head-to-head stats over North Queensland, winning 5 of the last 7 matches.
Manly Sea Eagles Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
Manly were a good side in patches last season and have the potential to be in the finals mix again in 2025.
Nine of their 13 wins in 2024 came at Brookvale, which is a positive and a concern. The Sea Eagles were a different team at 4 Pines Park, averaging 28.5 points in attack and just 17.58 opposition points as the home team. Compared with season averages, that would have made them the third-best attacking team in the comp and the second-best defensive side.
The problem for Manly was the contrast away from the Northern Beaches, averaging just under 5 points less in attack, while conceding 9 more points per game in defence.
2024 Betting Trends
ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
---|
15-11 | 17-9 | 7-8 | 7-3 |
Manly Sea Eagles Team News
New recruit Jazz Tevaga will start at hooker for the injured Lachlan Crocker who has been ruled out for a month with a knee injury.
Siosiua Taukeiaho will return to the NRL after a stint overseas and will slot right into the frontrow for the Sea Eagles.
Manly Sea Eagles Team List
1. Tom Trbojevic
2. Jason Saab
3. Tolutau Koula
4. Reuben Garrick
5. Lehi Hopoate
6. Luke Brooks
7. Daly Cherry-Evans
8. Taniela Paseka
9. Jazz Tevaga
10. Siosiua Taukeiaho
11. Haumole Olakau’atu
12. Ben Trbojevic
13. Jake Trbojevic
Interchange
14. Jake Simpkin
15. Corey Waddell
16. Ethan Bullemor
17. Tof Sipley
Reserves
18. Clayton Faulalo
19. Dean Matterson
20. Gordon Chan Kum Tong
21. Jake Arthur
22. Josh Aloiai
North QLD Cowboys Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
Who are the Cowboys in 2025? When you think of the Cowboys you think of Thurston, Scott and Bowen, then Val Holmes and Kyle Feldt. With now all five moving on, who will become the identity of the North Queensland Cowboys?
The Cows did well to finish fifth last season, considering the way they could simply drop out of matches, especially defensively, conceding a flurry of tries, often in the second half. With some real firepower missing in the backline in 2025, discipline in defence is going to have to lift.
A huge addition is John Batemon in the second row, giving the Cowboys one of the most dangerous backrows in the NRL with Jeremiah Nanai and Rueben Cotter.
2024 Betting Trends
ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
---|
11-15 | 16-10 | 8-6 | 8-4 |
North QLD Cowboys Team News
Kyle Feldt, Val Holmes and Chad Townsend have all exited the club with the Cowboys facing the challenge of filling the big shoes left by a couple of their stalwarts over the past seasons.
Braidon Burns takes over for Feldt on the Wing while Jaxon Purdue claims the centre spot of Holmes. Tom Duffy has won the first crack at the halfback spot, being picked of Jake Clifford, who was impressive last season when given a chance in the halves.
John Bateman is probably the biggest addition for the Cowboys and will look to lead his new club in the backrow. Karl Lawton will start his career in the North from the bench, trading the Northern beaches for Townsville.
North QLD Cowboys Team List
1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Braidon Burns
3. Jaxon Purdue
4. Viliami Vailea
5. Murray Taulagi
6. Tom Dearden
7. Thomas Duffy
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Sam McIntyre
11. John Bateman
12. Jeremiah Nanai
13. Reuben Cotter
Interchange
14. Karl Lawton
15. Harrison Edwards
16. Griffin Neame
17. Coen Hess
Reserves
18. Kai O'Donnell
19. Jake Clifford
20. Thomas Mikaele
21. Jaxson Paulo
22. Jason Taumalolo