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Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights Tips - New look Tigers to give big bite in round 1

ryan-tucker
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Last updated: 04 Mar 2025
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Ryan Tucker 04 Mar 2025
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  • Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Friday’s Round 1 NRL game
  • Kick off is at 6:00 PM at Campbelltown Sports Stadium
  • Wests Tigers predicted to win their first Round 1 game in 5 years against Newcastle Knights.
  • Key additions like Sunia Turuva and Jarome Luai expected to boost Tiger's performance.
  • Knights' defense is solid but instability in their halves lineup may impact their scoring.
Top tips for Friday's double header in Round 1 of the NRL.

Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights, Round 1 2025 - Expert Prediction


Wests Tigers will win their first round 1 game in 5 years as they take care of the Newcastle Knights at Campbelltown Stadium on the first Friday night of the season.
  • Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights, Round 1 2025 - Expert Prediction
  • Head to Head 
  • Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Recent Form
  • 2024 Betting Trends
  • Wests Tigers Team News
  • Wests Tigers Team List
  • Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
  • Recent Form
  • 2024 Betting Trends
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List
  • Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 1 FAQ’s

The Tigers have lost their first game of the season the last 4 years in a row (2024 bye, lost round 2) but have a lot of momentum coming into 2025 off the back of key players being added to the lineup. 

Newcastle are a tough team and displayed solid defence all through 2024 but their constant changing of their halves doesn’t instill confidence in me as we saw it hamper their attack throughout the whole of last season.
Wests won’t be winning the comp this year or even next but the wealth of talent they now possess will go a long way in enabling them to convert their chances to score, a problem they have struggled with for 10 years.

My expectation is that this game will start as a defensive battle with Newcastle possibly even getting out to an early lead. Wests will open up their attack once they get comfortable in their game plan and will put some points past the Knights who will struggle to keep scoring pace.

Tigers to win on the Moneyline going Over their Team Total. Sunia Turuva is the best bet for tryscoring with Luai creating space down that side.

  • Based on last season’s scoring stats the Tigers are projected to scored at least 20 pts.  
  • The Knights have allowed 20+ points in their past two round 1 games.
  • Newcastle’s right side defence allowed the highest percentage of tries last season at 41%.
  • Sunia Turuva scored 16 tries in 20 games last season.

Head to Head 


Newcastle have a dominant winning record in this head to head having taken the last 6 games straight as well as 8 of the last 12 played since the beginning of the 2019 season.

5 of the last 8 games have gone Under the Game Total with the winning margin between these teams in the last 6 years being 13+ more often than not.

Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form


The Tigers have a huge weight of expectation on their shoulders coming into 2025 after another off-season of good recruiting. They have won the wooden spoon 3 years in a row and have not played finals since 2011 with the club going through a lot of turmoil both on and off the field.

With winning pedigree now in the lineup through Jarome Luai, Sunia Turuva, Api Koroisau, Terrell May and more the fans are expecting big things from the club that has delivered so little since the merger in 2000.

Wests ranked last in points per game last season with 19.3 scored per outing while they allowed their opponents the most points at 31.3 per game. This coincided with the 3rd highest opposition run metre rate at 1523 m per game.

2024 Betting Trends


ATSOver/Under1-1213+
9-1510-144-72-11

Wests Tigers Team News


Fullback Jahream Bula has not recovered in time to take his place in the starting lineup and is replaced by Heath Mason at the back. Sunia Turuva and Jeral Skelton both make their club debuts on the wings with Brent Naden out injured.

Jarome Luai is the halfback following his move from Penrith while Terrell May slots in at prop alongside Fonua Pole and Tallyn Da Silva with Api Koroisau serving the last game of his suspension. 

Latu Fainu is 18th man with new recruits Jack Bird and Royce Hunt each taking a spot on the pine.

Wests Tigers Team List


1. Heath Mason
2. Sunia Turuva
3. Adam Doueihi
4. Solomona Faataape
5. Jeral Skelton 
6. Lachlan Galvin
7. Jarome Luai
8. Terrell May
9. Tallyn Da Silva 
10. Fonua Pole
11. Samuela Fainu
12. Alex Seyfarth
13. Alex Twal

Interchange
14. Tristan Hope
15. Royce Hunt
16. Jack Bird
17. Sione Fainu

Reserves
18. Latu Fainu
19. Charlie Staines
20. Kit Laulilii
21. Tony Sukkar
22. Reuben Porter

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends


Recent Form


The Knights scraped into the 8 last season on points differential after winning 4 of their last 5 games. They were bundled out in the first round of finals by North QLD 28-16 in Townsville.

They had one of the best ATS records of any club last season going 16-9 thanks mainly to their defence where they ranked 6th in the league in opposition points, giving up just 21.5 per game.

With ball in hand it was apparent how the constantly shifting spine made things difficult as Newcastle ranked 2nd last in the league in average points scored with just 19.4 per game.

2024 Betting Trends


ATSOver/Under1-1213+
16-99-168-84-5

Newcastle Knights Team News


Fletcher Sharpe and Jack Cogger are the starting halves pair for Newcastle this season after much debate. James Schiller comes onto the wing to fill the spot vacated by Sharpe. Jackson Hastings is in the reserves but Tyson Gamble is not even in the 22 after being the frontrunner to secure the 6 jumper. 

Phoenix Crossland will start at hooker with Jayden Brailey coming off the bench.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Kalyn Ponga
2. James Schiller
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Fletcher Sharpe
7. Jack Cogger 
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Dylan Lucas
12. Kai Pearce-Paul
13. Tyson Frizell

Interchange
14. Jayden Brailey 
15. Jack Hetherington 
16. Brodie Jones
17. Mathew Croker

Reserves
18. Thomas Cant
19. Will Pryce
20. Logan Aoake
21. Jackson Hastings
22. Adam Elliott

Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 1 FAQ’s

How to watch Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 1?

You can watch the Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 1 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 1?

To buy tickets to the Wests Tigers vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 1 game check the NRL website or the official Wests Tigers site.

Verdict

Tigers to win on the Moneyline going Over their Team Total. Sunia Turuva is the best bet for tryscoring with Luai creating space down that side.
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