North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles AFL Round 14 Tips - North Tipped to Win Cellar Fight

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Tue 09 Jun 2026 14:27

Ryan Tucker 1 hour ago

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Model gives strong edge to North Melbourne at -6.5 vs West Coast.
North expected to exceed 85.5 points; Sheezel backed for 30+ disposals.
Eagles hit by Ginbey injury; Simpkin tipped to goal.
The game will be played at Optus Stadium on Saturday, 13th June, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles, Round 14 2026 - Expert Prediction

North Melbourne to cover -6.5, Roos over 85.5 team total, Harry Sheezel 30+ Disposals and Jy Simpkin to score a goal are the four plays for Saturday afternoon at Optus Stadium.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles, Round 14 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis
West Coast Eagles Form Analysis
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles Team List & News
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 14 FAQ’s

The model has North Melbourne by 16.9 pts against a market line of -6.5, a flagged value bet with an 11.7% edge. That is a significant gap and the context makes it even more compelling. West Coast just lost Reuben Ginbey to a quad injury against Port Adelaide, their best defender and an All-Australian contender who had been their most important player this season. North Melbourne were humiliated by Fremantle last week and Alastair Clarkson would have left nothing unsaid after conceding 19 straight goals. Rockets have been launched.

The Totals number is extraordinary again. The model has an implied total of 199.5 against a market line of 165.5 with an 87.9% Over probability and a 38.0% edge. Both teams are averaging around 78-89 pts in attack but both are also leaking over 100 pts on defence. The Over 85.5 team total for the Roos is the targeted play from that broader picture, North getting right with the ball in hand against a West Coast defence missing Ginbey.

Sheezel at 30+ Disposals is the standout individual play. He had 39 in the Round 2 meeting this season, 31, 30 and 28 in the last three head-to-head clashes. He accumulates against West Coast. Simpkin to score is the value multi leg, he kicked two goals in both the Round 2 2026 and Round 13 2025 matchups.

Take North Melbourne to cover -6.5, Roos over 85.5 team total, Harry Sheezel 30+ Disposals and Jy Simpkin to score a goal.

The model has North Melbourne by 16.9 pts, with West Coast missing Reuben Ginbey and North coming off a humbling loss Clarkson will have used as serious motivation.
North are averaging 89.0 pts per game in attack against a West Coast side allowing 102.5, directly supporting the Roos clearing 85.5.
Harry Sheezel has had 39, 31, 30 and 28 Disposals in his last four head-to-head meetings with the Eagles.
Jy Simpkin kicked two goals in both the Round 2 2026 and Round 13 2025 matchups with West Coast, making the goalscorer leg a well-supported addition to the multi.

Head to Head Stats

The series is locked 5-5 in the last 10 meetings with West Coast holding a 3-2 advantage at Optus Stadium. The last five clashes have been decided by 17 pts, 10 pts, 5 pts, 9 pts and 5 pts, a remarkably tight series averaging just 9.2 pts per game. The most recent result was a West Coast 17 pt win at Optus Stadium in Round 2 2026.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis

North Melbourne were demolished by Fremantle in Bunbury, conceding the last 19 goals of the game in a 124 pt loss that was the biggest in Alastair Clarkson's coaching tenure. They led by six points midway through the second quarter before the Dockers kicked eight consecutive goals to close the half and the Roos went goalless for the entire second half.

Harry Sheezel fought hard with 27 Disposals and Luke Parker added 26, but the structural problems were exposed brutally. North have now conceded 75 or more points by half-time in three consecutive games and their defence allowing 101.5 pts per game on the season remains the core concern. The bye comes next week and Clarkson will want a performance before it.

West Coast Eagles Form Analysis

West Coast led Port Adelaide by 22 points in the third quarter before letting the game slip, eventually going down by six points in a frustrating loss at Optus Stadium. Jake Waterman booted three goals and was their best forward but missed a set shot late that could have won the game. Reuben Ginbey suffered a quad injury in the third quarter and is likely to miss multiple weeks, a massive blow to a defence that had been their biggest strength this season.

The Eagles have now won four of thirteen games but have been competitive in most of them. Brandon Starcevich made his club debut against Port and will likely step into Ginbey's role, while Harry Edwards is also working through concussion protocols. Their backline that was shaping as a genuine strength is now depleted at the worst possible time.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles Team List & News

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News: Riley Hardeman is in concussion protocols after leaving the Fremantle game. The Roos come out of their worst performance of the season with Clarkson expected to make changes ahead of the bye.

West Coast Eagles Team News: Reuben Ginbey (quad) is out and faces several weeks on the sidelines. Harry Edwards remains in concussion protocols.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 14 FAQ’s

How to watch North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 14?

You can watch the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 14 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 14?

To buy tickets to the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 14 game check the AFL website or the official North Melbourne Kangaroos site.