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Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans AFL Round 14 Tips - Swans power past Port

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 11 Jun 2026 12:18

Jeremy Darke 59 minutes ago

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Sydney Swans are favored to cover a 17.5-point line against Port Adelaide.
Swans average 108 points/game over last 5; Port only 71.
Total points likely to exceed 165.5 if Swans' attack fires.
The game will be played at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, 13th June, with the bounce at 7:35 PM (AEST)

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans AFL Round 14 Tips

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans Tips & Predictions Round 14 2026

Sydney are the clear play on Saturday night, with the Swans backed to cover the 17.5-point line against a Port Adelaide side that has struggled to sustain scoreboard pressure.

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans Tips & Predictions Round 14 2026
Head to Head
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis
Sydney Swans Form Analysis
Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans Team Lists & News
Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans AFL 2026 Round 14 FAQ’s

The Power snapped a four-game losing streak with a gritty six-point win over West Coast, but they still allowed the Eagles to dominate the final term and almost coughed up a 22-point lead. That is not the profile I want against Sydney, who are 11-2 and averaging 108 points across their last five games.

The Swans escaped against St Kilda last week, but the bigger picture is still strong. They are producing far more ball, territory and scoring chances than Port, with a clear edge in disposals, inside 50s and shots at goal.

The Over 165.5 is also in play. Sydney’s attack is humming, and Logan McDonald is a big part of that, kicking 10 goals in his last 5 matches. The model projects 181 total points, and Port should be forced to chase the game at home will will push the total over 165.5 as predicted by the data.

Sydney are averaging 108 points across their last five games.
Port Adelaide are averaging just 71 points across their last five matches.
The Swans hold a major territory edge, averaging 60.8 inside 50s to Port’s 45.0 across the last five.
Logan McDonald has 10 goals in his last 5 games.

Head to Head

Port Adelaide have had some strong recent moments in this matchup, including their famous 112-point win over Sydney in 2024 and an eight-point victory in Round 6 last season.

Sydney hit back later in 2025 with a 71-52 win at Adelaide Oval, and they also beat Port by 36 points in the 2024 preliminary final.

Across the last five meetings, Port hold a 3-2 edge, but the Swans have won two of the last three and look the more reliable side heading into this clash.

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis

Port Adelaide finally got a result last week, beating West Coast by six points in Perth to end a four-game losing run.

It was a brave win, but not a clean one. The Power led by 22 points late in the third quarter and still had to survive a heavy West Coast finish, losing the final-quarter inside 50 count 19-8. Aliir Aliir and Esava Ratugolea were excellent behind the ball, while Jason Horne-Francis kicked three goals in a decisive performance.

The issue remains scoring. Port are averaging only 71 points across their last five games and have not looked capable of consistently putting sides away. Their midfield still has quality through Zak Butters and Horne-Francis, but the Power are not generating enough repeat entries or high-quality shots.

Against Sydney, that is a major problem.

Sydney Swans Form Analysis

Sydney found a way against St Kilda last week, coming from behind to win by two points after Jai Serong kicked the match-winner in the dying seconds.

It was not their most controlled performance, but it showed their resilience. The Swans were challenged for almost the entire match, lost Justin McInerney and Tom McCartin to injury, and still found a way to finish over the top.

The forward mix continues to look dangerous. Isaac Heeney, Charlie Curnow, Hayden McLean, Logan McDonald, Malcolm Rosas Jnr and Tom Papley give Sydney several scoring routes, while their midfield and half-back drive keeps giving them territory.

Across their last five games, the Swans are averaging 108 points and have wins by 114, eight, six and two points in that stretch. They are not flawless, but their ceiling is much higher than Port’s.

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans Team Lists & News

Port Adelaide Power Team News

Xavier Bamert debuts, while Kane Farrell returns.

Sydney Swans Team News

Joel Hamling and Harry Cunningham replace injured stars Tom McCartin and Justin McInerney.

Port Adelaide	POS	Sydney Swans
L. Evans, E. Ratugolea, T. Marshall	B	C. Mills, J. Hamling, W. Edwards
D. Byrne-Jones, A. Aliir, L. Jones	HB	M. Roberts, N. Blakey, S. Wicks
E. Mackinlay, J. Horne-Francis, J. Burgoyne	C	J. Serong, C. Warner, J. Jordon
T. Cochrane, M. Georgiades, J. Berry	HF	J. Lloyd, J. Rowbottom, M. Rosas
C. Durdin, J. Whitlock, J. Richards	F	J. Amartey, C. Curnow, L. McDonald
J. Sweet, Z. Butters, W. Drew	FOLL	B. Grundy, I. Heeney, A. Sheldrick
K. Farrell, O. Wines, X. Bamert, J. Mead, H. Ramm	I/C	R. Bice, H. Kyle, H. Cunningham, C. Cleary, H. McLean

Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans AFL 2026 Round 14 FAQ’s

How to watch Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans AFL 2026 Round 14?

You can watch the Port Adelaide Power vs Sydney Swans AFL 2026 Round 14 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.