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Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers AFL Round 10 Tips - Freo continue to surge

jeremy-darke
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Last updated: Fri 15 May 2026 09:12

The Fremantle Dockers are tipped to dominate the Essendon Bombers in AFL 2026 Round 10, with predictions of a 100+ point performance and a comfortable win covering the betting line. Fremantle bring an 8-game winning streak and have proven themselves a premiership threat, while Essendon continue to struggle defensively, conceding high scores. Dockers forwards, led by Jye Amiss, are expected to take advantage, with Amiss forecast for 3+ goals. The Bombers' injuries and leaky defence make them vulnerable against one of the AFL’s most balanced teams.

Jeremy Darke 15 May 2026
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  • The game will be played at MCG on Sunday, 17th May, with the bounce at 1:10 PM (AEST)
  • Fremantle Dockers expected to dominate and cover the betting line.
  • Essendon’s defence continues to struggle against high-scoring teams.
  • Jye Amiss is tipped to kick 3+ goals as Freo pushes past 100 points.
Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers AFL Round 10 Tips

Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers, Round 10 2026 - Expert Prediction


Freo will turn their defence into attack against the Bombers on Sunday putting up a 100+ score and covering the large line.
Fremantle look like the real deal right now and there is no reason to jump off them against an Essendon side sitting 1-8. The Dockers have now won eight straight games and continue to find different ways to beat quality opposition, including last week’s comeback win over Hawthorn.

Essendon have been more competitive than recent scorelines suggest, especially in patches against GWS, but they are still leaking far too many easy scores defensively. The Bombers are conceding 114 points per game across their last five matches and now run into one of the most balanced teams in the competition.

The Essendon back half has been their real concern this season and Fremantle will look to attack through their multiple goal scoring options they have found in 2026. Jye Amiss, Josh Traecy and Patrick Voss have all been consistent inside 50 for the Dockers, something that is making them as dangerous as they have ever been for a premiership push. 

Jye Amiss shapes as the best goal kicking prop, presenting the best value. Essendon’s key defensive stocks remain unsettled and Fremantle’s ball movement inside 50 continues to create quality looks for their forwards.

  • Fremantle have won eight straight matches.
  • Essendon has conceded 125.5 points per game in their last 4 matches.
  • The Dockers have conceded an average of 68.8 points in their last 8 matches.
  • Jye Amiss has kicked 13 goals in his last 5 matches.

Head to Head Stats


The Dockers won comfortably in their 2025 matchup against the Bombers, powering to a 41-point victory at Optus Stadium. 

Fremantle have won 3 of the last 4 matches against Essendon by a minimum of 32 points. 

Essendon Bombers Form Analysis


Essendon showed genuine fight against GWS last week and actually controlled large parts of the game through midfield pressure and inside 50 dominance before fading late. Peter Wright, Nate Caddy and Archer May all looked dangerous forward of centre, while Darcy Parish and Mason Redman made successful returns to the senior side.

The problem remains defence. The Bombers have conceded 103, 143 and 137 points across their last three losses and continue to struggle once opposition teams gain momentum through the corridor. Brad Scott’s side is competing harder than the ladder suggests, but the lack of defensive stability is costing them badly.

Fremantle Dockers Form Analysis


Fremantle are playing with enormous confidence and last week’s comeback win over Hawthorn only strengthened their premiership credentials. The Dockers kicked the final five goals of the match and dominated territory late as their pressure completely overwhelmed the Hawks.

Caleb Serong, Andrew Brayshaw and Luke Jackson continue to drive the midfield, while the forward line is finally clicking with Josh Treacy, Jye Amiss and Michael Frederick all in strong form. 

Justin Longmuir’s side has now won eight straight games and looks one of the most complete teams in the AFL right now.

Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers Team List & News


Essendon Bombers Team News
Jye Caldwell returns, while Elijah Tsatas, Jade Gresham, Will Setterfield and Ben McKay have all been added to the extended squad.

Fremantle Dockers Team News
The Dockers have suffered a brutal injury blow, losing Alex Pearce, Hayden Young and Corey Wagner for the trip east.

EssendonPOSFremantle
J. Prior, Z. Reid, A. McGrathBK. Worner, B. Cox, H. Chapman
A. Roberts, M. Redman, J. FarrowHBJ. Clark, L. Ryan, J. McVee
X. Duursma, D. Parish, A. Day-WicksCM. Frederick, A. Brayshaw, M. Johnson
J. Caldwell, N. Caddy, S. RobeyHFM. Reid, J. Treacy, S. Switkowski
A. May, K. Langford, A. PerkinsFP. Voss, J. Amiss, I. Dudley
P. Wright, Z. Merrett, S. DurhamFOLLL. Jackson, S. Bolton, C. Serong
E. Tsatas, J. Gresham, W. Setterfield, N. Cox, J. NguyenI/CM. Cox, N. Erasmus, O. McDonald, C. Scerri, B. Banfield


Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2026 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2026 Round 10?

You can watch the Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2026 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2026 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Essendon Bombers vs Fremantle Dockers AFL 2026 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official Essendon Bombers site.

Verdict

Fremantle will cover as the away favourite on the back of their attack inside the Bombers depleted 50. Jye Amiss will kick 3+ as the Dockers score over 105.5 points.
Best Bet1: Fremantle -34.5 Handicap/Line $1.91 at OnlyBets - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Fremantle Over 105.5 Team Total $1.91 at Elitebet - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Jye Amiss 3+ Goals $1.95 at dabble - 2 Units
Fremantle -34.5
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$1.91 - 3 Units
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Betting Slip | 17 May 2026

Essendon Bombers v Fremantle Dockers

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