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Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Round 10 Tips - Crows cover at home

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 15 May 2026 09:10

Jeremy Darke 15 May 2026

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The game will be played at Adelaide Oval on Saturday, 16th May, with the bounce at 1:15 PM (AEST)
Adelaide Crows are strong favorites, having dominated last 4 matchups.
Crows expected to cover the line in a high-scoring home game.
Josh Rachele & Luke Parker tipped for big performances.

Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL Round 10 Tips

Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 10 2026 - Expert Prediction

The Crows will find their scoring form again at Adelaide Oval on Saturday afternoon covering the 15.5 points against the Roos in a high-scoring contest.

Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos, Round 10 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head Stats
Adelaide Crows Form Analysis
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis
Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List & News
Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 10 FAQ’s

Adelaide look well placed to continue their dominance over North Melbourne after winning the last four meetings by an average margin of 43 points. The Crows have consistently exposed the Roos defensively in this matchup, scoring 113 points or more in each of the past four clashes.

The model projects Adelaide by 38 points, making the current -18.5 line look very manageable at Adelaide Oval. The Crows remain one of the stronger contested teams in the competition, holding clear advantages in tackles, intercepts and defensive pressure.

North Melbourne’s midfield continues to generate plenty of ball, but their defensive structure remains vulnerable against efficient attacking teams. Adelaide should be able to control territory and create repeat forward entries through Dawson, Rankine and Soligo. Expect the secondary scorers like Izak Rankine and Josh Rachele to step up and find themselves ticking over the score.

Luke Parker put in another big performance for the Roos against Sydney with 29 disposals, the veteran is getting his hands on the ball through the middle and will have another 25+ disposals against Adelaide.

Adelaide have won the last four meetings against North Melbourne by an average margin of 43 points.
The Crows have scored 113+ points in all four of those wins.
Josh Rachele has kicked 2+ goals in each of his last 2 games.
Luke Parker has had 25+ disposals in 4 of his last 5 matches this season

Head to Head Stats

This has been a heavily one-sided matchup in recent seasons, with Adelaide repeatedly piling on scores against North Melbourne. The Crows have won four straight meetings by 13, 36, 57 and 66 points.

Adelaide Crows Form Analysis

Adelaide enter this clash with four wins from their last five matches after another strong second-half performance against Richmond. Jordan Dawson’s move into the midfield completely shifted momentum, while Izak Rankine and Wayne Milera also played major roles.

The Crows continue to look dangerous when their pressure game is working. They rank strongly around contested possessions and tackles, and their ability to generate intercept scoring remains a major strength.

Their scoring has been slightly inconsistent week-to-week, but Adelaide have now kicked 98, 103 and 114 points in three of their last five matches and should again create plenty of opportunities at home.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis

North Melbourne pushed Sydney all the way last round in one of their better performances of the season. Luke Davies-Uniacke, Harry Sheezel and George Wardlaw were outstanding through the middle, while the Roos generated 67 inside 50s and 27 scoring shots.

The issue remains consistency and defensive execution. North continue to allow opposition sides to score too easily in transition, particularly once games open up late.

There are still positive signs around the young midfield core, but the Roos have now lost four of their last five matches and continue to struggle against top-eight calibre sides.

Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List & News

Adelaide Crows Team News

Jordon Butts and Darcy Fogarty both return for the Crows, with Nick Murray and Hugh Bond omitted.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News

The Kangaroos go in unchanged after last week’s loss to Sydney.

Kuwarna	POS	North Melbourne
J. Worrell, J. Borlase, M. Michalanney	B	W. Dawson, G. Logue, C. Comben
R. Laird, J. Butts, W. Milera	HB	C. McKercher, C. Daniel, L. Parker
I. Cumming, J. Dawson, B. Cook	C	J. Simpkin, F. O’Sullivan, D. Stephens
I. Rankine, R. Thilthorpe, D. Curtin	HF	P. Curtis, C. Trembath, C. Spargo
A. Neal-Bullen, D. Fogarty, B. Keays	F	C. Zurhaar, N. Larkey, Z. Duursma
L. McAndrew, J. Rachele, J. Peatling	FOLL	T. Xerri, L. Davies-Uniacke, H. Sheezel
L. Pedlar, T. Murray, S. Berry, J. Soligo, Z. Taylor	I/C	G. Wardlaw, L. McDonald, J. Darling, T. Blamires, J. Konstanty

Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 10 FAQ’s

How to watch Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 10?

You can watch the Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 10 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 10?

To buy tickets to the Adelaide Crows vs North Melbourne Kangaroos AFL 2026 Round 10 game check the AFL website or the official Adelaide Crows site.

Verdict

Adelaide Crows v North Melbourne Kangaroos

The Crows will kick on and cover the line as the home favourite in a high scoring match that goes over 177.5 with Josh Rachele kicking a double. Luke Parker will continue his strong form for the Roos with 25+ disposals.

Adelaide -15.5

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