AFL
  • Home
  • AFL

Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers AFL Round 16 Tips- Pies comfortably at the G with big names set for day out

adam-cusworth
Editor
Last updated: Tue 23 Jun 2026 06:45

In Round 16 of the 2026 AFL season, Collingwood is tipped to secure a comfortable victory over the struggling Richmond Tigers at the MCG. Collingwood's midfield dominance, led by Nick Daicos and Jordan de Goey, is expected to prove too much for a young Richmond side that is averaging just 65 points per game and has only two wins for the season. The Magpies have a strong record against lower-ranked teams and key players are in top form. Expert consensus: Collingwood to cover the line.

Adam Cusworth 2 hours ago
Share this article
Or copy link
  • The game will be played at MCG on Saturday, 27th June, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
  • Can the Tigers stop Collingwood or will it be another blowout?
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best be
Jordan De Goey

Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction


Collingwood will take a step towards September with a comfortable win over Richmond at the MCG on Saturday, covering the line with Nick Daicos and Jordan de Goey running rampant in the process. 

The Magpies are in 11th spot on the ladder and just outside the wildcard zone. They enjoy a golden opportunity to advance against a Richmond side that have won just two games for the season and are struggling to find avenues to goal.

The Tigers managed just 48 points in their loss to North Melbourne last weekend and are averaging just 65 points per game this season. They won the inside 50 count against the Kangaroos but their inability to capitalise on opportunities continues to place enormous pressure on a young and inexperienced group

Against a Collingwood side that defend the ground well and conceded just six goals to the Power last weekend in their 26-point win, the line looks well and truly in play for the Pies. 

The key difference between the teams shapes as Collingwood's ability to generate midfield dominance and territory. Nick Daicos is in extraordinary form and appears poised for another huge performance. The star Magpie has had 35+ disposals in his past four matches and comes off 41 disposals, nine clearances and 10 score involvements against Port Adelaide. Against a Richmond midfield that has struggled to contain elite ball winners, another massive accumulation game is firmly in play.

The Tigers allowed North Melbourne to control possession last weekn with 48 uncontested marks in the first quarter. That is a dangerous sign against Daicos, Josh Daicos and Collingwood's outside runners.

Jordan de Goey is playing his best football and his combination of midfield power and forward-half impact gives Collingwood another weapon that Richmond will struggle to contain. The 3+ goals market appeals if the Magpies can establish territorial dominance.

  • Richmond are averaging just 65 points per game this season.
  • Collingwood are unbeaten this season against sides below them on the ladder.
  • Nick Daicos has had 35+ disposals in his past four matches.
  • Jordan de Goey comes off 26 disposals and three goals.

Head to Head Stats


Collingwood have won the past three between the two sides, with those coming by an average margin of 25 points.

Standout player performances in the recent head-to-heads have come from:
  • Nick Daicos (Pies) - 42 disposals in each of his past two against Richmond
  • Jayden Short (Tigers) - 25+ disposals in each of his past four against Collingwood
  • Tom Lynch (Tigers) - 18 goals in his past five matches against the Magpies
  • Tim Membrey (Magpies) - 2+ goals in each of his past two against Richmond

Collingwood Magpies Form Analysis


Collingwood come in with a 6-7-1 win/loss/draw record. Since splitting their Round 8 fixture against Hawthorn at 93 apiece, they have won just two of six, but there were positive signs in the 26-point victory over Port Adelaide last weekend.

Nick Daicos was once again a massive accumulator in that match with 41 disposals and has had 35+ in his past four. Josh Daicos had 30 disposals and has hit that mark in his past two, while Jordan de Goey had a huge night with 26 disposals and three goals. De Goey has kicked 2+ goals in his past two, while Tim Membrey has booted three goals in two of his past three.

Collingwood have a strong record against the weaker sides and are unbeaten in five matches this season against sides ranked below them on the ladder.

Richmond Tigers Form Analysis


Richmond have won just two matches this season - an 11-point win over West Coast in Round 8, as well as an 18-point triumph against Essendon in Round 11.

They were given a brutal reality check by Sydney a fortnight ago when going down by 114 points prior to the bye and returned with a 35-point loss at the hands of Brisbane before going down by 25 points to North Melbourne last weekend.

Richmond won the inside 50 count against North Melbourne (48-46) but could manage just six goals for the match. They are averaging just 65 points per game this season. Noah Balta kicked two against the Kangaroos, while Steely Green and Seth Campbell share the lead in the club's goalkicking table with just 14 goals each for the season.

The Tigers continue to show strong effort through their younger players but are struggling to maintain intensity and execution across four quarters against quality opposition. Their injury-hit list has forced inexperienced players into major roles and they have often been overrun late in games.

Jayden Short is Richmond's leading disposal winner, averaging 25 per game and coming off 29 against North Melbourne. Tom Brown and Sam Banks had 26 against the Kangaroos.

Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers Team List & News


  • to be updated after team selection on Thursday

Collingwood Magpies Team News


There were no injuries for the Magpies to come out of the win against Port Adelaide. Scott Pendlebury is likely to come back in after being managed, but Darcy Moore and Brayden Maynard remain on the sidelines.

Richmond Tigers Team News


There were no injuries for Richmond against North Melbourne. Jacob Hopper missed and a decision on his availability will be made during the week. Hugo Ralphsmith is set to return from suspension, while Harry Armstrong, Tom Lynch, Sam Lalor and Judson Clarke are edging closer to returning from injury.

Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2026 Round 16 FAQ's

How to watch Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2026 Round 16?

You can watch the Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2026 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2026 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Collingwood Magpies vs Richmond Tigers AFL 2026 Round 16 game check the AFL website or the official Collingwood Magpies site.

Verdict

Magpies to cover with Daicos and de Goey enjoying big games
Best Bet1: Collingwood -37.5 Line $1.88 at OnlyBets (MAXBET) - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Jordan De Goey To Score 2+ goals $1.85 at dabble (BETSAU) - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Nick Daicos To Have 35+ disposals $1.68 at dabble (BETSAU) - 1 Unit
Collingwood -37.5
Line
$1.88 - 1 Unit

Bet at OnlyBets (MAXBET)
Jordan De Goey
To Score 2+ goals
$1.85 - 1 Unit

Bet at dabble (BETSAU)
Nick Daicos
To Have 35+ disposals
$1.68 - 1 Unit

Bet at dabble (BETSAU)

Top Betting Sites

Betting offers

Upcoming Events

Betting Slip | 27 Jun 2026

Collingwood Magpies v Richmond Tigers

days

hours

min

Add to Calendar
Hear more from bets.com.au