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Carlton vs West Coast Eagles AFL Round 16 Tips - Blues run continues against the Eagles

jeremy-darke
Jeremy Darke
Editor
Last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026 12:14

Carlton are heavily favored to defeat West Coast Eagles in AFL 2026 Round 16, thanks to a dominant five-game winning streak and strong defensive performance. Carlton have won the last five encounters against West Coast by an average margin of nearly 70 points, making a 40+ point victory likely if recent history continues. George Hewett is expected to shine in disposals, making him a strong prop bet. Analysts recommend backing Carlton with a handicap and playing the Hewett disposals line for value.

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Jeremy Darke 25 Jun 2026
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  • Carlton have won their last five matches, controlling games defensively.
  • Blues have beaten West Coast by large margins in recent meetings.
  • George Hewett projected for strong disposals; Carlton by 40+ tipped.
  • The game will be played at Marvel Stadium on Saturday, 27th June, with the bounce at 1:15 PM (AEST)
Carlton vs West Coast Eagles AFL Round 16 Tips

Carlton vs West Coast Eagles, Round 16 2026 - Expert Prediction


Carlton are backed to keep their winning streak rolling with another comfortable victory over West Coast at Marvel Stadium.
The Blues have won five straight under Josh Fraser and the confidence in this side is obvious. They have beaten the Giants, Bombers, Cats, Power and Bulldogs across that run, while holding opponents to just 67.2 points per game across their last five.

West Coast have been competitive lately, but this is a different type of assignment. Carlton have owned this matchup, winning the last five meetings by an average margin of 69.8 points, including wins by 34, 71 and 65 points in the last three.

The model over at footybets.com.au has Carlton winning by 34.7 points and the external projection is almost identical at 34.5, so the line sits right in the danger zone. Rather than getting too aggressive with the spread, the cleaner angle is Carlton to win by 40+ if the price is right, with the Blues’ midfield and territory game looking far too strong.

Carlton’s disposal advantage is also hard to ignore. The Blues are averaging 397.6 disposals across their last five, while West Coast are at 352.0, and that control should allow Carlton to dictate the tempo.

George Hewett is the player prop lean. He has cleared 30 disposals in three of his last five meetings with West Coast and the model has him projected at 30.3 against a 24.5 line. His current five-game average is at 23.8 so play the 25+ as a safer option or risk for value at 30+ disposals.

  • Carlton have won their last five matches.
  • Carlton have won the last six meetings with West Coast by an average margin of 68.6 points.
  • Carlton have conceded an average of just 67.2 points in their last 5 matches.
  • George Hewett had 35, 39, 35, 31 and 32 disposals in the last five head-to-head meetings listed.

Head to Head Stats


Carlton have dominated this matchup, winning the last five meetings by margins of 34, 71, 65, 71 and 108 points.

The Blues have repeatedly found ways to turn this fixture into a blowout, with their midfield depth and forward pressure overwhelming West Coast across multiple seasons.

Carlton Blues Form Analysis


Carlton are suddenly one of the form teams in the competition.

The Blues have won five straight and are coming off an impressive 88-65 win over GWS at ENGIE Stadium. That win was built on pressure, territory and midfield control, with Carlton winning the inside-50 count 61-46 and restricting the Giants’ key forwards.

Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh were outstanding, while George Hewett, Nic Newman and Blake Acres all had big influence. The most important part of the run is that Carlton are now defending at a high level, conceding only 67.2 points per game across their last five.

West Coast Eagles Form Analysis


West Coast are playing some of their best football in recent seasons despite sitting near the bottom of the ladder.

The Eagles have won two of their last five matches, including impressive victories over Essendon and GWS, while pushing North Melbourne to the brink in a one-point loss before the bye. Across their last five games they are averaging 79.8 points per game while conceding 73.8, showing significant improvement at both ends of the ground.

Tim Kelly continues to drive the midfield, Harley Reid remains one of the competition's most influential young stars, and key forwards Jake Waterman and Jobe Shanahan have provided a consistent scoring threat. While consistency remains an issue, West Coast are far more competitive than their overall record suggests.

Carlton vs West Coast Team List & News


Carlton: Jacob Weitering failed his fitness test, but the Blues remain unchanged as they chase a sixth straight win.

West Coast: Tim Kelly is out injured, while Willem Duursma, Jack Graham, Tom McCarthy and Jack Hutchinson return.

CarltonPOSWest Coast Eagles
O. Florent, W. Derksen, N. HaynesBL. Duggan, R. Bazzo, B. Starcevich
L. Cowan, H. Dean, B. WilsonHBM. Herbert, T. Young, L. Baker
A. Cerra, S. Walsh, B. AcresCW. Duursma, E. Yeo, B. Allan
M. Cottrell, M. McGovern, B. AinsworthHFT. Cole, J. Shanahan, R. Maric
B. Kemp, H. McKay, T. ByrneFM. Murdock, J. Waterman, C. Duff-Tytler
M. Pittonet, P. Cripps, J. SmithFOLLB. Williams, H. Reid, E. Hewett
W. Hayward, N. Newman, G. Hewett, J. Ison, F. EvansI/CJ. Graham, T. McCarthy, B. Hough, H. Davis, J. Hutchinson

Carlton vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 16 FAQ’s

How to watch Carlton vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 16?

You can watch the Carlton vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 16 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Carlton vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 16?

To buy tickets to the Carlton vs West Coast Eagles AFL 2026 Round 16 game check the AFL website or the official Carlton site.

Verdict

Carlton will restrict the attack of the Eagles keeping them under 69.5 points. Chase the value in the 40+ considering recent head-to-head margins and take George Hewett for at least 25+ disposals.
Best Bet1: Carlton Blues 40+ Winning Margin $2.25 at OnlyBets - 2 Units
Best Bet2: West Coast Under 69.5 Team Total $1.90 at Betfocus - 2 Units
Best Bet3: George Hewett 25+ Disposals $1.65 at dabble - 4 Units
Best Bet4: George Hewett 30+ Disposals $3.60 at dabble - 2 Units
Carlton Blues
40+ Winning Margin
$2.25 - 2 Units
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West Coast Under 69.5
Team Total
$1.90 - 2 Units
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The Betfocus.com.au code is BETS. 18+ only. T&Cs apply. Chances are you’re about to lose.

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George Hewett
25+ Disposals
$1.65 - 4 Units
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with referral code BETSAU

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George Hewett
30+ Disposals
$3.60 - 2 Units
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with referral code BETSAU

Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

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