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Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoor Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Rublev to reach third Dubai final

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Thu 26 Feb 2026 23:19

Andrey Rublev is poised to face Tallon Griekspoor in the Dubai Tennis Championships semi-finals. Rublev, a former champion, is back in form, boasting a 20-5 record in Dubai. He has consistently outperformed players ranked outside the top 20, with a H2H lead of 3-0 over Griekspoor. Meanwhile, Griekspoor, ranked 19-45 against top 20 players, has never beaten three top 20 players consecutively. This match-up highlights Rublev's strong track record and sets him as the favorite to advance to a third Dubai final.

Andrew Hendrie 26 Feb 2026
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  • Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoor predictions for Friday's ATP Dubai semi-final
  • Rublev 20-5 in Dubai & 3-0 vs Griekspoor in his career
  • The Russian is tipped to cover and make a third final in Dubai
  • The match is scheduled to start around 2.30am AEDT on Saturday February 28
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Andrey Rublev
Andrey Rublev (Photo by Getty Images)


Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoor Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


Former champion Andrey Rublev targets a third Dubai Tennis Championships final when he squares off against Tallon Griekspoor on Friday.

Rublev has put together a strong 20-5 record in Dubai throughout the course of his career and he's once again producing some of his best tennis at the 500-level tournament. Rublev was a top 10 mainstay for the better part of half a decade, but he's struggled over the last couple of years, with his ranking dropping to a current mark of No. 18. However, he's back to some good form in Dubai, coming off a dominant 6-2 6-4 victory over Arthur Rinderknech in the quarter-finals. Griekspoor meanwhile has advanced to the semi-finals in Dubai for the second straight year, taking the big scalps of Alexander Bublik and Jakub Mensik along the way.

Griekspoor obviously has the talent and level to beat these types of players, but doing it consistently over and over again is a bit of an issue. He's only beaten top 20 players back-to-back at the same tournament twice in his career - but on both occasions it has been in Dubai (2025 and now 2026).

He's never done it three times on the trot, while Rublev consistently plays his best tennis at this tournament and has a good 30-20 record in semi-finals. Rublev is also unbeaten against Griekspoor, so he's favoured to cover and win in straights here.
  • Rublev has won 20 of his 25 previous Dubai matches
  • Rublev has won 12 of his last 13 matches vs players outside the top 20
  • Ten of those 12 victories have come in straight sets
  • Rublev is 3-0 vs Griekspoor in their H2H
  • Griekspoor is 19-45 lifetime vs top 20 players
  • Griekspoor has never defeated three top 20 players in a row
  • Griekspoor's last four defeats vs top 20 players were in straight sets

Rublev vs Griekspoor Head To Head

Rublev leads 3-0, notching up a win on all three surfaces.

YearWinnerEventRoundSurfaceScore
2024Andrey RublevATP Masters 1000 MadridRound of 16Outdoor Clay62 64
2023Andrey RublevHalleQuarterfinalOutdoor Grass36 63 64
2023Andrey RublevDohaRound of 16Outdoor Hard16 61 76(6)

Andrey Rublev Form Analysis

  • 2026 Record: 10-3
  • ATP Dubai Record: 20-5
  • Current Ranking: No. 18
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 5 (2021)

It's been a fairly consistent start to the season for Rublev as he looks to his ranking back towards the top 10 after a tough couple of years.

Rublev made the semi-finals of Hong Kong and the third round of the Australian Open in January before returning to action in Doha last week, where he made the semi-finals.

It took Carlos Alcaraz to stop him in what was a quality contest and now Rublev has made it back-to-back semi-finals in the Middle East this week in Dubai.

Rublev launched his bid for a second Dubai title by beating Valentin Royer 6-3 6-4 before edging out Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-7(5) 6-3. The Russian then made it three straight wins over Frenchman by easing past Arthur Rinderknech 6-2 6-4.

Tallon Griekspoor Form Analysis

  • 2026 Record: 6-6
  • ATP Dubai Record: 8-3
  • Current Ranking: No. 25
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 21 (2023)

It was a difficult start to the year for Griekspoor as he went 1-5 across his first four tournaments.

The Dutchman lost both his matches at the United Cup and suffered first round exits in Adelaide and the Australian Open to Ugo Humbert and Ethan Quinn respectively.

However, Griekspoor has now found his footing on the year, reaching quarter-finals in Montpellier and Rotterdam before this week's semi-final run in Dubai.

It's the second straight year Griekspoor has made the Dubai final four - he's played some of his best tennis again at this tournament, taking out second seed Alexander Bublik 6-3 7-6 before a 6-3 3-6 6-2 victory over Jakub Mensik, who of course beat Jannik Sinner last week.

Rublev vs Griekspoor Live Stream

Watch and bet on Andrey Rublev vs Tallon Griekspoor live tennis from Dubai.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Dubai with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Rublev is tipped to make it 4-0 vs Griekspoor, covering on his way to a third Dubai final.

Best Bet1: Rublev -2.5 Games Line $1.75 at Teambet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Rublev 2-0 Set Betting $2.22 at dabble - 1 Unit
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