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Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 24 Tips - Panthers to stake claim as Premiership Favourites

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Tue 12 Aug 2025 10:31

Ryan Tucker 12 Aug 2025

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Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm expert predictions for Thursday’s Round 24 NRL game
Kick off is at 7:50 PM (AEST) at CommBank Stadium
Penrith Panthers tipped to win Round 24, extending their streak to 10 wins.
Expect a defensive game with Penrith limiting Storm's key players, Wishart and Munster.
Key match predictions: Penrith to win 1-12; Tom Jenkins favored for first tryscorer.

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL Round 24 Tips

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm, Round 24 2025 - Expert Prediction

Penrith do not have a strong recent regular season record against Melbourne but they will pull one back as they are tipped to win this game at home extending their streak to 10 straight victories.

The Panthers are on another level at the moment, they have completely locked down defensively keeping opposition teams to just 12 pts per game over their last 5 all while averaging 35.2 points in attack, Nathan Cleary steering the ship almost better than he has in the past 4 premiership years.

Melbourne have won 9 of their last 10 but have been far from convincing, especially since losing Jahrome Hughes. They were beaten by Manly in Rd 20, just got past the Roosters the week after before escaping by 6 pts against a young Eels team the following game. Last week they played the majority of the game with the Broncos missing their halves but only won 22-2, a couple of the tries a bounce of the ball the difference.

The expectation is that Penrith will grind out defensively, restricting Melbourne’s opportunities and putting pressure on Wishart and Munster to make big plays to try and put points on the board. The Panthers wingers are the best tryscoring options with the Storm edge defence a little shaky.

Take Penrith to win 1-12 with the Game Total going Under, defence being paramount in this affair. Tom Jenkins is almost a lock to score on the wing, book him in for first tryscorer too.

The last 4 games between these teams have been decided by 8 pts or less.
Penrith are the number 1 ranked defence over the last 5 games, Melbourne are 3rd.
The Storm edge defence has allowed 18 tries to wingers over their last 11 games.
Tom Jenkins has scored in 3 straight games for Penrith.

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm Round 24 Cheat Sheet

Panthers vs Stom Rd 24 Cheat Sheet

Head to Head

The Storm edged out the Panthers 30-24 back in Round 3 in the first Grand Final replay. They have also won 3 straight regular season matchups. The last two Penrith wins have been finals, including the big dance last year 14-6.

Since 2019 the ledger stands at 6-5 to the Storm in regular season games and 3-1 to Penrith in Finals.

The Over has hit in 2 straight and 6 of 11 regular season matchups while the winning margin has been 1-12 also in the last 3 but in only 5 of 11.

Penrith Panthers Form Analysis

The Panthers put the sword to Newcastle last weekend, getting revenge for their loss against the Knights earlier in the season. The 48-12 victory was their 9th in a row and has propelled them up to 4th on the ladder.

Penrith dominated Possession and Territory against Newcastle, something they have been impressive with over the second half of the season. They rank 1st in Run Metres, 2nd in Territory and 2nd in Linebreaks.

What has been the standout though from Penrith in recent weeks is the return of their defensive structures. They have allowed just 12 pts per game to opponents over their last 5 and are 3rd in restricting opponents from reaching the 20m Red Zone.

Penrith Panthers Team News

The Panthers are unchanged from the team that demolished the Knights last weekend.

Penrith Panthers Team List

1. Dylan Edwards

2. Thomas Jenkins

3. Izack Tago

4. Casey McLean

5. Brian To'o

6. Blaize Talagi

7. Nathan Cleary

8. Moses Leota

9. Mitch Kenny

10. Lindsay Smith

11. Luke Garner

12. Liam Martin

13. Isaiah Papali'i

Interchange

14. Brad Schneider

15. Liam Henry

16. Matthew Eisenhuth

17. Scott Sorensen

Reserves

18. Paul Alamoti

19. Jack Cole

20. Daine Laurie

21. Mavrik Geyer

22. Trent Toelau

Melbourne Storm Form Analysis

Melbourne took a 22-2 victory over the Broncos last weekend keeping them 2nd on the table and almost guaranteeing them a top 4 finish for the 6th time in the last 7 seasons dating back to 2019.

It wasn’t all smooth sailing though and the Storm are still having problems without Jahrome Hughes. Luckily it has been masked by their opponents running into problems like the Broncos losing both their halves to injuries early in the game.

The Storm have the 2nd best defensive numbers on the season, allowing an average of 17.9 pts per game to opponents. They rank 2nd in opposition Run Metres, opposition Line Breaks and 3rd in opposition Possession.

Melbourne Storm Team News

Ryan Papenhuyzen is out with concussion protocol so Nick Meaney shifts to fullback and Marion Seve joins the backline.

Nelson Asofa-Solomona is in the reserves and could be a late in as he tries to reclaim his spot in the top grade following suspension.

Melbourne Storm Team List

1. Nick Meaney

2. Grant Anderson

3. Joe Chan

4. Marion Seve

5. Xavier Coates

6. Cameron Munster

7. Tyran Wishart

8. Stefano Utoikamanu

9. Harry Grant

10. Josh King

11. Shawn Blore

12. Eli Katoa

13. Trent Loiero

Interchange

14. Jonah Pezet

15. Alec MacDonald

16. Tui Kamikamica

17. Ativalu Lisati

Reserves

18. Bronson Garlick

19. Kane Bradley

20. Siulagi Tuimalatu-Brown

21. Lazarus Vaalepu

22. Nelson Asofa-Solomona

Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2025 Round 24 FAQ’s

How to watch Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2025 Round 24?

You can watch the Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2025 Round 24 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2025 Round 24?

To buy tickets to the Penrith Panthers vs Melbourne Storm NRL 2025 Round 24 game check the NRL website or the official Penrith Panthers site.

Verdict

Penrith Panthers v Melbourne Storm

Take Penrith to win 1-12 with the Game Total going Under, defence being paramount in this affair. Tom Jenkins is almost a lock to score on the wing, book him in for first tryscorer too.

Penrith 1-12

Winning Margin

$3.10 - 2 Units

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Game Total

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Tom Jenkins

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