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North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights NRL Tips - Knights winless in Townsville since 2015

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Fri 15 Aug 2025 10:01

The North Queensland Cowboys are poised to maintain their dominance over the Newcastle Knights as both teams face off in NRL Round 24. With the Knights on a nine-game losing streak in Townsville and the Cowboys winning their last four matchups, the home team holds a psychological advantage. The Cowboys, despite their defensive woes, are expected to exploit the Knights' ineffective offense. Jaxon Purdue, in excellent form, is likely to deliver on the scoreline. Key to the Cowboys' success will be maximizing their attack while maintaining defensive resilience.

Andrew Hendrie 15 Aug 2025
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  • North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Sunday's NRL Round 24 game
  • Kick off is at 4.05pm AEST at Queensland Country Bank Stadium
  • Cowboys set for 10th straight win over the Knights in Townsville
  • Jaxon Purdue is back at centre & can continue his great tryscoring form in that position
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bets
North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights NRL Tips


North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights, NRL Round 24 - Expert Prediction


The Cowboys are set to extend their dominant record over the Knights in Townsville when the two struggling sides square off to conclude NRL Round 24 action on Sunday.
  • North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights, NRL Round 24 - Expert Prediction
  • North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights Round 24 Cheat Sheet
  • Head To Head
  • North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis
  • North Queensland Cowboys Team News
  • North Queensland Cowboys Team List
  • Newcastle Knights Form Analysis
  • Newcastle Knights Team News
  • Newcastle Knights Team List

It's been a bludger of a season for both these teams and the loser of this game will be battling to avoid the wooden spoon alongside the likes of the Rabbitohs and Titans.

Neither side is exactly exuding confidence right now, but I've got to lean with the Cowboys at home - if only for the fact that Newcastle have lost their last nine consecutive games in Townsville dating back to 2015.

It's the competitions worst defence (Cowboys) up against the worst offence (Knights), so take your pick with the Over/Under here. Going on recent trends involving these sides and H2H history, I'm going to say Newcastle won't have enough points in them to contribute much to the total, so Under 47.5 is the play. Jaxon Purdue is back at centre and scoring tries for fun again, so he's good value for a meat pie.

  • Cowboys have won the last four meetings between the teams
  • Knights have lost their last nine games in Townsville back to 2015
  • Knights are on a league-worst five-game losing streak
  • Three of the Knights' last four defeats have been by 16+ points
  • Under 47.5 points has landed in four of the last five meetings between the teams
  • Under 47.5 points has landed in four of the Cowboys' last six games
  • Under 47.5 points has landed in 17 of the Knights' last 20 games
  • Jaxon Purdue has scored 11 tries from 13 games playing at centre this season

North Queensland Cowboys vs Newcastle Knights Round 24 Cheat Sheet


Cowboys vs Knights Rd 24 Cheat Sheet
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Head To Head


This will be the first meeting between the two teams in 2025 and it also serves as a preview for next season's showdown in Vegas. The Cowboys were victorious 28-16 and 21-20 in the 2024 encounters.

North Queensland Cowboys Form Analysis


When the Cowboys went on a four-game winning streak between Rounds 4-8, beating the Raiders and Panthers along the way, you were thinking they were genuine premiership contenders.

However, heading into Round 24 they are languishing 14th spot on the ladder and in danger of picking up the wooden spoon.

Defence is the primary issue at North Queensland - they are conceding 29.2 points per game, which is the worst in the competition.

Surprisingly, the Cowboys did actually aim up last week against Parramatta at CommBank, fighting until the death before suffering a heartbreaking 19-18 defeat courtesy of a Mitch Moses field goal.

North Queensland Cowboys Team News


Coen Hess is out suspended for the remainder of the season, but Jordan McLean (calf), Karl Lawton (suspension),Thomas Mikaele (knee) and Harrison Edwards all return.

Marly Bitungane, Nicholas Lenaz and Kaiden Lahrs are the players to make way.

North Queensland Cowboys Team List


1. Scott Drinkwater
2. Semi Valemei
3. Jaxon Purdue
4. Zac Laybutt
5. Braidon Burns
6. Jake Clifford
7. Tom Dearden
8. Jordan McLean
9. Reece Robson
10. Jason Taumalolo
11. John Bateman
12. Jeremiah Nanai
13. Reuben Cotter

Interchange
14. Karl Lawton
15. Harrison Edwards
16. Kai O’Donnell
17. Thomas Mikaele

Reserves
18. Viliami Vailea
19. Marly Bitungane
20. Nicholas Lenaz
21. Jaxson Paulo
22. Kaiden Lahrs

Newcastle Knights Form Analysis


It's been a nightmare season for the Knights and they come into this clash on a five-game losing streak and down in 15th spot on the ladder.

The only saving grace for Newcastle this year has been their above average defence, but even that's come crashing down over the last fortnight, with the team conceding 92 combined points in heavy defeats to the Panthers and Raiders.

Where do you even begin to address the problems at Newcastle - all I know is that $10 million man Dylan Brown isn't going to magically unlock this team's attack just because you put a ridiculous price tag on him, especially if Kalyn Ponga wants out too.

Newcastle Knights Team News


Connor Votano makes his NRL debut at fullback, with Dane Gagai returning to centre and Fletcher Hunt dropping out.

Tyson Frizell comes into the starting side at lock in the absence of Phoenix Crossland (concussion). Brodie Jones and Matt Arthur are the new faces on the bench.

Newcastle Knights Team List


1. Connor Votano
2. Dominic Young
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Jakob Arthur
7. Jack Cogger
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Jayden Brailey
10. Leo Thompson
11. Jermaine McEwen
12. Kai Pearce-Paul
13. Tyson Frizell

Interchange
14. Matthew Arthur
15. Mathew Croker
16. Thomas Cant
17. Brodie Jones

Reserves
18. Jackson Hastings
19. James Schiller
20. Elijah Leaumoana
21. Fletcher Hunt
22. Jack Hetherington

Verdict

The Cowboys should have too much firepower in attack for the Knights and make it 10 straight wins over their opponents in Townsville.

Back Jaxon Purdue to score another try at centre.

Best Bet1: Cowboys -6.5 Line $1.89 at Pandabet - 3 Units
Best Bet2: Under 47.5 Total Points $1.90 at betr - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Jaxon Purdue Anytime Tryscorer $2.45 at dabble - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: Jaxon Purdue First Tryscorer $13.00 at dabble - 1 Unit
Cowboys -6.5
Line
$1.89 - 3 Units
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Under 47.5
Total Points
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Jaxon Purdue
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Download the dabble app, enter referral code BETSAU to enjoy Dabble, the betting app with a difference! Bet as normal with & also be part of Australia's betting community where you can follow punters and sports stars, copy their bets, have banter with your mates & watch Sky Racing channels. 18+. T&Cs apply. What are you prepared to lose today? Set a deposit limit.

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