Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks NRL Round 4 Tips - The 1-12 won’t let us down

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Thu 26 Mar 2026 12:03

Jeremy Darke 26 Mar 2026

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Kick off is at 4:05 PM (AEDT) at GIO Stadium
Canberra is favored slightly with a 1-12 point win margin.
Both teams have struggled offensively; expect a low-total game under 46.5.
Savelio Tamale is anticipated to have a strong performance for the Raiders.

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Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks Tips

Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks, Round 4 2026 - Expert Prediction

Sticking with the trend that only fails when I back it and that is Canberra Raiders games 1-12.

Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks, Round 4 2026 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Canberra Raiders Form Analysis
Cronulla Sharks Form Analysis
Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks Team List & Team News
Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2026 Round 4 FAQ’s

Seventeen Canberra games over the 2025 and 2026 season have ended in the closer margin; it failed me when the Raiders went down heavily to New Zealand despite them leading 6-4 at halftime. So this is just maybe the last time I give this tip if it doesn’t pay dividends.

Cronulla have not been flash to start the year, going down 13+ over the last two weeks after pumping the Titans in Round 1. Defensively they have by alright, but in attack they have really struggled to build any aggressive pressure the results in meat pies.

Canberra have been much the same in attack and that is why I have warmed to the under in this match. A decent total of 46.5 is also well above our model read of 41.5 points in this match which it does give to the Raiders by 3.5 points.

Savelio Tamale scored a double last week in a losing side and also scored for the Raiders in their loss to Cronulla that knocked them out of the 2025 finals. Averillo tormented the Sharks last week on the right and I expect Tamale to get some space early in the tackle count.

15 Raiders games in 2025 and 2 of 3 in 2026 have finished with a 1-12 margin.
Cronulla have scored just 16 points in their last 2 matches.
Canberra have scored just 16 points in their last 2 games.
Savelio Tamale scored a double last week against Canterbury

NRL PREMIERSHIP ODDS & BLOG 2026

Head to Head

Cronulla have had the upper hand in this head to head battle in recent years winning 4 of the last 5 matches including a 32-12 victory in the finals last season. The Raiders did have a 9-game stranglehold on the Sharks prior to the last 5.

4 of the last 5 matches have gone under the game total.

2026 Stat Rankings

Raiders Atk Rank	Sharks Def Rank	Stat	Sharks Atk Rank	Raiders Def Rank
15	9	Points	9	11
12	4	Run Mts	14	8
9	9	Linebreaks	9	3
9	12	Compl %	6	17

Canberra Raiders Form Analysis

After taking out the minor premiership in 2025 the Raiders have had some sort of hangover you could suggest. Is it time for Canberra fans to be worried, not just yet.

The 40-6 drubbing by the Warriors in New Zealand wasn’t ideal, but Canberra led 6-4 at halftime and simply fell to pieces in the wet. The slim 16-14 loss to Canterbury was respectable, but there are some early concerns about their attack and the young halves without Jamal Fogarty steering them around the park in 2026.

The Ethan’s Strange and Sanders do need to take a step and will need to prove themselves as controllers and creators if Canberra are going to be a force as they have the pieces around them with a strong young squad with potential flair.

Cronulla Sharks Form Analysis

There were high hopes in the Shire to start the 2026 season, and after putting 50 on the Titans in Round 1 the Sharks looked dangerous, but that apparently is not the case and now Craig Fitzgibbon might find himself under pressure if he can’t get his attack in order.

Since crushing the Gold Coast, Cronulla have scored just 16 points in two games scoring once against the Panthers but more of a concern was the poor performance against the Dolphins last week were they scored just twice in a 38-10 loss at Shark Park.

Both teams were pretty even for most of the match but the Cronulla halves in Nicho Hynes and Braydon Trindall were unable to build any real attacking territory or pressure with just 22 tackles inside the Dolphins 20m.

The Dolphins defensive line looked tired in the second half and opened up the flood gates allowing the Dolphins three late tries to blow the game out.

Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks Team List & Team News

Team News and Lists are in our dedicated Round 4 Team List Article.

Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2026 Round 4 FAQ’s

How to livestream Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2026 Round 4?

You can livestream the Canberra Raiders vs Cronulla Sharks NRL 2026 Round 4 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.