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Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats AFL Round 23 Tips - Swans to test high-flying Cats in SCG blockbuster

Adam Cusworth

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Last updated: Thu 14 Aug 2025 10:36

Adam Cusworth 14 Aug 2025

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Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 23 AFL game
The game will be played at SCG, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
Will Sydney’s midfield firepower be enough to halt Geelong’s scoring machine?
Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet

Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats AFL Round 23 Tips

Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction

Sydney and Geelong square off at the SCG in what could be a finals-shaping battle between two in-form sides.

The Swans have won five of their past six and continue to defy injury setbacks with gritty, high-pressure footy and midfield depth. They edged out Brisbane by two points at the GABBA last weekend.

Geelong come into this red hot, having won 10 of their last 12 and averaging over 100 points a game during that stretch. But a number of those have come against weaker sides, including their past four. Last week, it was an unconvincing 44-point win over Essendon at GMHBA Stadium.

Sydney at the SCG will be a different beast. The Swans continue to lack tall forward options but Errol Gulden, Isaac Heeney, and Chad Warner are all finishing the season off in style. That trio can trouble the Cats

Geelong have the obvious firepower — Jeremy Cameron is up to 79 goals for the season and the elusive 100 is in sight, while Shannon Neale and Tyson Stengle are among other forward threats.

But with the home ground, combined with the way they are finishing off, back the Swans to stay within the line. Errol Gulden will find plenty of the footy for the Swans, while Tyson Stengle can bob up with a couple of goals for the Cats.

Sydney have won five of their past six.
The Swans were 30 point winners the last time the two sides met
Errol Gulden has had 30 disposals in two of his past three matches, he had 29 in the other
Tyson Stengle has kicked 2+ goals in three of his past four matches

Head to Head

The two sides have not met this season. Sydney were 30 point winners the last time the two sides met, which was back in Round 13 last season. Errol Gulden had 37 disposals in that match, while Tom Papley booted four goals. Tyson Stengle snagged three goals for the Cats.

Papley has booted nine from his past five for Sydney, while Jeremy Cameron has kicked nine from his past three for Geelong. Sydney’s Chad Warner has had 25+ disposals in three of his past four against Geelong, while Gulden has hit that mark in his past two.

Sydney Swans Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	1-4	2-3

Sydney have won five of their past six matches with the only loss coming against GWS three weeks ago when blowing a 28-point half-time lead. Eight of their past nine matches have landed in the 1-39 point margin.

With their key forwards, Logan McDonald and Joel Amartey, out of action for the majority of this season, Sydney have had to find alternative ways to goal. Isaac Heeney produced another brilliant match last weekend with five goals and leads the Swans goal-kicking with 35 majors for the season.

Heeney had 23 disposals against Brisbane, while Errol Gulden (29), Angus Sheldrick (26) and Chad Warner (26) all hit the 25+. Gulden has had 30 disposals in two of his past three matches.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
10-11	8-13	9-7	2-3

Sydney Swans Team News

Justin McInerney pulled up with a knee injury from the Brisbane match and will be assessed at training. Will Hayward is expected to be available to return from a calf injury. Brodie Grundy has been ruled out with concussion.

Sydney Swans Team List

B: L.Melican, H.Cunningham, T.McCartin

HB: C.Mills - C, N.Blakey, S.Wicks

C: O.Florent, Ch.Warner, J.Lloyd

HF: T.Papley, J.Buller, J.Jordon

F: W.Hayward, H.McLean, B.Campbell

FOLL: P.Ladhams, I.Heeney, E.Gulden

I/C: D.Rampe, A.Sheldrick, J.Dattoli, J.Rowbottom, C.Cleary, W.Green, M.Roberts, Co.Warner

In: - W.Hayward, P.Ladhams, W.Green, M.Roberts, Co.Warner

Out: - J.McInerney (Injured), B.Grundy (Injured)

Geelong Cats Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	2-3	4-1

Geelong have won 10 of their past 12 matches and have beaten up on sides in the bottom half of the ladder in recent times, defeating North Melbourne by 101 points and Port Adelaide by 88 a fortnight ago before their victory over the Bombers. Their past three wins have been by over the 39.5 point margin.

The Cats have kicked over 100 points in 10 of their past 13 matches and have broken the 150 point barrier in two of their past three. Jeremy Cameron booted four goals last weekend to take his season tally to 79. He has hit 4+ goals in seven of his past eight.

Bailey Smith had 31 disposals against Essendon, while Max Holmes had 29. Holmes has had 30+ in five of his past nine, while Smith has gone 30+ in nine of his past 12.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
13-8	12-9	7-5	8-1

Geelong Cats Team News

Jack Henry came off with hamstring tightness against Essendon and will be assessed at training, while Jack Martin was a late withdrawal. Patrick Dangerfield is available after being managed last weekend.

Geelong Cats Team List

B: J.Henry, S.De Koning, C.O’Sullivan

HB: L.Humphries, T.Stewart, Z.Guthrie

C: O.Dempsey, M.Holmes, M.Blicavs

HF: T.Stengle, S.Mannagh, B.Close

F: P.Dangerfield - C, J.Cameron, S.Neale

FOLL: R.Stanley, B.Smith, T.Atkins

I/C: O.Mullin, J.Clark, J.Bews, G.Miers, J.Bowes, M.Knevitt, M.O’Connor, J.Martin

In: - P.Dangerfield, J.Bews, J.Martin

Out: -

Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

How to watch Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 23?

You can watch the Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 23 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 23?

To buy tickets to the Sydney Swans vs Geelong Cats AFL 2025 Round 23 game check the AFL website or the official Sydney Swans site.

Verdict

Sydney Swans v Geelong Cats

Sydney to push the Cats. Gulden will be pivotal, while Tyson Stengle shapes as value for 2+ goals for the Cats.

Sydney Swans +17.5

Handicap +17.5

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