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Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants AFL Round 23 Tips - Giants fly too close to the Suns

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 14 Aug 2025 10:34

Ryan Tucker 14 Aug 2025

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Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 23 AFL game
The game will be played at People First Stadium, with the bounce at 12:35 PM (AEST)
Suns aim to upset Giants' finals chances with strengthened defensive strategies.
Key players include Matt Rowell, Noah Anderson, and Ben King.

Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants AFL Round 23 Tips

Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Suns will put a big dent in the finals hopes of the Giants with a rare win against their expansion cup rivals.

Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Gold Coast Suns Team List
GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
GWS Giants Team News
GWS Giants Team List
Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

Gold Coast have won just 1 of the last 15 games against the Giants and haven’t played them on the Gold Coast since August of 2020. This time around though they are a vastly different team with Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson top 5 contenders for the Brownlow and Ben King in extreme goal kicking form.

The Giants have won 9 of their last 11 games and have looked like a team that can beat anyone on their day. Despite being rattled with injuries and suspensions throughout the season they have remained competitive in their quest for an 8th finals appearance over the last 10 years of competition.

The defensive matchups will be what decides this game, the Suns rank 1st in restricting opponents Centre Clearances and are 3 in opponent Inside 50’s and opponent Points from Stoppages. The Giants rank 16th in opponent Inside 50’s and 17th in opponent Centre Clearances which will automatically give the Suns the upper hand.

Where GWS are dangerous is Rebounding from their defensive end, if Gold Coast can cut those running and passing lanes off before they open up then they will go far in holding the Giants to a low total.

Take Gold Coast 1-39, Giants Team Total Under and Noah Anderson to grab a goal. Touk Miller has had 25 touches in 2 straight games and in 3 of his last 4.

65% of Suns games this season have been 1-39 margins and 3 straight head to head games have also fallen under this.
Gold Coast are top ranked in a number of defensive metrics which will restrict GWS’s scoring ability.
The Giants do well at restricting key forwards but allow small forwards and midfielders to have shots on goal.
Noah Anderson has scored a goal in 2 of his last 3 games against GWS.

Head to Head

GWS dominate this head to head matchup winning 5 straight and 8 of the last 9 against the Suns. The matchup earlier this season at ENGIE finished 106-99 in the Giants favour.

5 of the last 9 games have gone Under the Game Total while the winning margin has stayed between 1-39 in 3 straight and in 6 of the last 9 games.

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	3-2	1-4

The Suns edge ever closer to a maiden finals campaign, their win over Carlton last weekend 93-74 has even given them a brief glimpse of a top 4 finish should other results go their way over the next two weeks.

Despite having a wayward day in front of the sticks, kicking 13.15, the Suns still managed to outscore their opponent with Ben King the big contributor with 6 straight goals. Ben Long added 3 while usual suspect Matt Rowell had 30 touches out of the middle including 9 clearances.

They still lead the league in Inside 50’s and are 2nd in Points From Stoppages with Jarrod Witts an absolute rock in rucking contests this season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
10-10	10-10	8-5	6-1

Gold Coast Suns Team News

Sam Flanders is expected to be back in action after missing the win over the Blues with a back issue. No other major changes are expected.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: W.Powell, M.Andrew, S.Collins

HB: J.Noble, B.Uwland, J.Jeffrey

C: L.Weller, M.Rowell, B.Fiorini

HF: T.Miller, B.Ainsworth, S.Flanders

F: B.Long, J.Farrar, B.King

FOLL: J.Witts, A.Davies, N.Anderson - C

I/C: A.Sexton, N.Holman, E.Read, C.Budarick, O.Adams

EMG: N.Moyle, J.Rogers, L.Lombard

In: - S.Flanders, A.Sexton

Out: - B.Humphrey (Injured), M.Rosas (Injured)

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
4-1	4-1	2-3

The Giants bounced back from a shock loss to the Bulldogs two weeks ago with a 133-79 demolition of North Melbourne last weekend. A win against the Doggies would have secured them a finals spot but now their margin for error is so small, any slip up could see them bundled out at the death.

GWS were extremely efficient Inside 50 against the Roos, converting at a 58.9% rate compared to their season average of 51.2%. They had 56 entries on the day and controlled the clearances around stoppages 32-21 while leading the game from start to finish.

Finn Callaghan has seen a drastically improved trajectory this season and he topped all Giants with 31 disposals, 1 goal, 8 tackles and 8 clearances in the matchup.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
12-9	9-12	8-6	6-1

GWS Giants Team News

Jesse Hogan will need to test his fitness with an ongoing foot issue. Jake Stringer will be sidelined until finals with another hamstring injury.

GWS Giants Team List

B: C.Idun, S.Taylor, H.Himmelberg

HB: L.Whitfield, L.Aleer, L.Ash

C: X.O’Halloran, S.Coniglio, R.Angwin

HF: T.Bedford, A.Cadman, D.Jones

F: T.Greene - C, J.Riccardi, C.Brown

FOLL: K.Briggs, F.Callaghan, T.Green

I/C: J.Fonti, J.Wehr, H.Thomas, M.Gruzewski, H.Rowston

EMG: L.Keeffe, J.Leake, J.Delana

In: - J.Wehr

Out: - J.Stringer (Injured)

Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

How to watch Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 23?

You can watch the Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 23 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 23?

To buy tickets to the Gold Coast Suns vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 23 game check the AFL website or the official Gold Coast Suns site.

Verdict

Gold Coast Suns v Greater Western Sydney Giants

Take Gold Coast 1-39, Giants Team Total Under and Noah Anderson to grab a goal. Touk Miller has had 25 touches in 2 straight games and in 3 of his last 4.

Gold Coast 1-39

Winning Margin

$2.05 - 2 Units

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Noah Anderson 1+

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Touk Miller 25+

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