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Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons AFL Round 23 Tips - Hawks to teach Dees a lesson

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 14 Aug 2025 10:32

Ryan Tucker 14 Aug 2025

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Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 23 AFL game
The game will be played at MCG, with the bounce at 4:15 PM (AEST)
Hawks have a chance to secure their finals destiny with a win.
Hawthorn demonstrates strong attack and superior defense.
Key players Watson & Chol expected to score multiple goals.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons AFL Round 23 Tips

Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction

Hawthorn don’t have a great record against the Dees in recent times but will take their second win in a row this weekend to keep their finals destiny in their own hands.

Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Hawthorn Hawks Team News
Hawthorn Hawks Team List
Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Melbourne Demons Team News
Melbourne Demons Team List
Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

The Hawks have won just 1 of the last 9 against Melbourne but heading into this weekend, they are two dramatically different teams. Hawthorn caned the Magpies last weekend showing they have premiership ability and aspirations while the Dees failed to get past the Doggies losing their 8th game from their last 10.

The Hawks are rated better in attack and significantly better in defence. They are 2nd in Opponents Disposal Efficiency, Opponent Turnovers and Opponent Marks Inside 50. Melbourne’s defence on the other hand are 13th or lower in allowing opponents Marks and Goals Inside 50 as well as Points From Stoppages.

Expect a tough battle in the middle between Lloyd Meek and Max Gawn with two different body types and skillsets going at it in the ruck. The midfield battle will also be engaging to watch with lots of top level talent on show.

If Hawthorn can keep tabs on the Demons attempts to get the ball into attacking territory and make life difficult for Gawn then they are halfway there. Their dynamic attacking ability and the solid form of their forward unit will do the rest to ensure they come out on top.

Take the Hawks to cover the line while going Over their Team Total. Take Nick Watson and Mabior Chol to both kick multiple goals.

The Hawks have covered in 12 of 14 wins this year.
Melbourne are currently the 11th rated defensive team in the league and the Hawks have kicked 100+ points 5 times this season.
Nick Watson has scored multiple goals in 2 of his last 3 games and in 4 of his last 7. He kicked 2 against the Dees earlier in the year.
In 4 of the last 6 games where Mabior Chol has kicked a goal, he has gone on to kick multiple. He had 2 goals against Melbourne in their previous matchup.

Head to Head

The Demons hold an overwhelming 7-1 record in the recent head to head battles with 1 game ending in a draw. But it was Hawthorn who tasted success earlier this year with a 91-56 victory back in May at the MCG.

4 straight games and 6 of the last 9 have gone Under the Game Total while an even 4 games each have finished with small and large margins.

Hawthorn Hawks Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-2	2-3	1-4

Hok Ball is back baby! The Hawks rolled Collingwood last Thursday 110-46 in what was their most impressive win of the season.

It was their 4th highest points total their 3rd largest margin of victory and signalled to the rest of the comp that they cannot be discounted for a run at the title this year. Many punters had them missing the 8 prior to the match have dramatically increased their chances despite a tough final two weeks of competition.

Hawthorn’s forward line dominated what has been one of the top rated defences for the majority of the season with Chol, Gunston, Lewis and Dear kicking 9 goals between them in the bludgeoning. The Hawks rank 3rd in Marks Inside 50 and 6th in Points from Stoppages.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
12-9	8-13	10-6	4-1

Hawthorn Hawks Team News

Harry Morrison will have at least another week on the sideline after straining his quad at training. No major changes are expected for the Hawks.

Hawthorn Hawks Team List

B: J.Battle, T.Barrass, B.Hardwick

HB: J.Impey, J.Sicily - C, J.Scrimshaw

C: K.Amon, C.Nash, C.Macdonald

HF: M.D’Ambrosio, C.Dear, N.Watson

F: J.Gunston, M.Lewis, D.Moore

FOLL: L.Meek, J.Newcombe, J.Worpel

I/C: C.Jiath, J.Ward, M.Chol, J.Ginnivan, L.Breust

EMG: C.Mackenzie, J.Serong, B.Macdonald

Melbourne Demons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
2-3	3-2	4-1

The Demons almost answered the prayers of a number of AFL teams last weekend as they looked like beating the Bulldogs in a tight encounter. In the end they allowed their opponent to take over the final term being outscored 40-24 to lose the game 105-99.

The Dees have won just 2 of their last 10 games and those two were against the two worst teams in the league. Max Gawn has tried his hardest to carry the team in another All-Australian year and despite being 3rd in Centre Clearances they rank 17th in Stoppage Clearances which means they are second to the ball more often than not.

81% of Demons games this season have been decided by 1-39 margins.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
11-10	12-9	5-12	2-2

Melbourne Demons Team News

Caleb Windsor is done for the year and Xavier Lindsay is out at least this week with hamstring soreness. Steven May will return from suspension.

Melbourne Demons Team List

B: T.McDonald, S.May, T.Rivers

HB: J.McVee, D.Turner, C.Salem

C: J.Culley, C.Petracca, H.Langford

HF: K.Pickett, B.Fritsch, K.Chandler

F: J.Melksham, J.van Rooyen, T.Sparrow

FOLL: M.Gawn - C, J.Viney, E.Langdon

I/C: C.Oliver, J.Bowey, B.Howes, H.Sharp, H.Petty

EMG: J.Billings, J.Adams, A.Johnson

In: - S.May, H.Sharp

Out: - J.Adams (Omitted), C.Windsor (Injured)

Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

How to watch Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 23?

You can watch the Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 23 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 23?

To buy tickets to the Hawthorn Hawks vs Melbourne Demons AFL 2025 Round 23 game check the AFL website or the official Hawthorn Hawks site.

Verdict

Hawthorn Hawks v Melbourne Demons

Take the Hawks to cover the line while going Over their Team Total. Take Nick Watson and Mabior Chol to both kick multiple goals.

Hawks -21.5

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