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Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power AFL Round 23 Tips - Underperformers Cup

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: Thu 14 Aug 2025 10:33

Ryan Tucker 14 Aug 2025

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Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 23 AFL game
The game will be played at Marvel Stadium, with the bounce at 1:20 PM (AEST)
Carlton Blues expected to win narrowly against Port Adelaide.
Port Adelaide struggles with away games; few victories outside home.
Key players George Hewett and Harry McKay set to excel for Carlton.

Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power AFL Round 23 Tips

Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Blues will pinch a win in a tight contest this Saturday afternoon.

Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power, Round 23 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Carlton Blues Team News
Carlton Blues Team List
Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
Port Adelaide Power Team News
Port Adelaide Power Team List
Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

Can we call this one the Underperformers Cup? Two teams that had so much expectation coming into 2025 and have once again failed their fanbases. It makes for a tough analysis when neither team can string together any type of consistency from one week to the next, well other than losing.

What we can see here though is that Port have won just 2 games away from home all season and lost their only other game at Marvel earlier in the year to Essendon. They did look ok against the Dockers last weekend and almost held on for the win, but that entices me to think they will regress to their inconsistency and play awful this coming weekend.

Carlton are troubled with injuries but could see the return of a host of top line players to bolster their stocks. Their defence is much better than Port’s, they are more accurate in front of the sticks and get Inside 50 at a higher rate. Their contested footy is 2nd best in the AFL so they will be bringing the punch.

The expectation is that Port just don’t have enough left in the tank this season to compete with a team like Carlton on the road.

Take the Blues to get a rare win against Port covering the line with the Game Total to go Over. George Hewett is in good form and topped all Blues players for disposals last game against Port, get him for 25+ or 30+ and Harry McKay to kick multiple majors.

Predictive modelling has Carlton winning by 19 pts, Port Adelaide’s average losing margin this year has been 51 pts and 57.5 in their 4 straight losses headed into this game.
The Over is underrepresented in the AFL this season at only 45%, 6 of the last 9 H2H games have gone Over.
George Hewett is averaging 27.4 disposals per game at 75% efficiency.
Harry McKay kicked 3 goals last weekend and 3 in his most recent game against Port in 2024.

Head to Head

Port Adelaide have won 2 straight and 6 of the last 9 games in this head to head matchup. The most recent meeting earlier this season at Adelaide Oval ended 110-60 in favour of Port.

The Over has hit in 6 of the last 9 outings while the winning margin has been 40+ in 2 of the last 4 but in only 3 of the last 9.

Carlton Blues Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	4-1	1-4

Carlton have had an underwhelming season and dropped their 3rd straight and 7th of their last 8 last weekend against the Gold Coast Suns 93-74.

Granted they have had some injury trouble but by far and large they have not been up to the standard set by themselves and in parity to the rest of the teams now fighting for finals. Over their last 8 games they have averaged just 67.25 pts per game while allowing opponents 94.25 pts which included 3 games over 100 pts.

They are dead last in Disposal Efficiency and while they are good at stopping opponents from getting clearances from the centre, it hasn’t been due to the ruckmen as they are 16th in hitout win percentage.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
9-12	5-16	5-11	2-3

Carlton Blues Team News

Sam Walsh could return in the second to last game of the season for the Blues but Adam Cerra has been added to the long list of outs. Mitch McGovern could be another call up as he progresses back from injury in the VFL.

Carlton Blues Team List

B: A.Saad, J.Weitering, M.Carroll

HB: L.Cowan, N.Haynes, O.Hollands

C: B.Acres, P.Cripps - C, S.Walsh

HF: F.Evans, L.Young, J.Motlop

F: Z.Williams, H.McKay, T.De Koning

FOLL: H.O’Keeffe, C.Lord, A.Moir

I/C: B.Wilson, C.Durdin, F.Young, L.Fogarty, G.Hewett

EMG: M.Pittonet, W.White, M.McGovern

In: - S.Walsh

Out: - W.White (Omitted)

Port Adelaide Power Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-4	1-4	3-2

Port Adelaide lost their 4th straight game on the weekend in a nailbiter against the Fremantle Dockers 92-86. The Power were overrun in the first term going to the break 29-4 down but took the lead into the half and extended it through the majority of the 3rd term.

Once again though, composure and resilience were missing as they allowed their opponents to get back in the game and ultimately snatch victory. Port had a rare day with good accuracy, kicking 13.8 against Freo’s 13.14 but were outplayed around stoppages and with efficiency inside 50.

With elite caliber players like Connor Rozee, Zak Butters and Ollie Wines this team should be performing better and the clock is ticking on the premiership window while they are languishing in the also-rans.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
8-13	10-11	6-7	2-6

Port Adelaide Power Team News

Jack Lukosius and Jase Burgoyne have been put on ice for the remainder of the season joining the 8 other players who won’t see anymore game time in 2025.

Port Adelaide Power Team List

B: K.Farrell, B.Zerk-Thatcher, J.Sinn

HB: C.Rozee - C, A.Aliir, La.Jones

C: J.Berry, W.Drew, M.Liddy

HF: D.Byrne-Jones, J.Whitlock, T.Boak

F: J.McEntee, M.Georgiades, J.Richards

FOLL: J.Sweet, O.Wines, Z.Butters

I/C: W.Rioli, C.Moraes, W.Lorenz, O.Lord, J.Mead

EMG: R.Atkins, E.Mackinlay, J.Finlayson

In: - La.Jones

Out: - J.Lukosius (Injured)

Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 23 FAQ’s

How to watch Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 23?

You can watch the Carlton Blues vs Port Adelaide Power AFL 2025 Round 23 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.