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Jesse’s AFL Round 13 Tips 2026: Predictions & Margins for Every Match

Jesse Mclure

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Last updated: Tue 02 Jun 2026 11:35

Jesse Mclure 1 hour ago

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Jesse tips Geelong, Hawthorn, Fremantle, Gold Coast, West Coast, Sydney, Carlton, and Melbourne.
Expert analysis highlights key players and club momentum.
Round 13 results may dramatically shift the finals race.

Jesse from True Footy's Just the Tips

AFL Round 13 Tips 2026: Jesse’s Predictions & Margins for Every Match

The AFL season is entering a fascinating stage.

With the bye rounds continuing, every result feels amplified. Finals contenders are fighting to secure their place in the top eight, while several clubs are running out of opportunities to keep their seasons alive. Round 13 features a potential finals preview, a huge King's Birthday clash and a handful of games that could significantly reshape the ladder.

Here are Jesse’s tips and predicted margins for every AFL Round 13 game.

Adelaide vs Geelong Prediction

This shapes as one of the games of the round, with Adelaide looking to continue their resurgence against one of the competition's form teams.

The Crows have regained confidence through players like Jordan Dawson and Riley Thilthorpe, while Geelong continue to find ways to win despite occasional off weeks. With Bailey Smith, Shaun Mannagh and Jeremy Cameron all in strong form, the Cats look well placed to bounce back after their loss to Carlton.

Jesse’s Tip: Geelong by 10 points

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Hawthorn vs Western Bulldogs Prediction

Hawthorn looked back to their best against St Kilda, dominating territory and moving the ball with speed and precision.

The Bulldogs have steadied their season with a series of close wins, but the MCG suits Hawthorn's style perfectly. Jai Newcombe and Dylan Moore continue to drive the Hawks, while the Dogs remain heavily reliant on Marcus Bontempelli to generate momentum.

Jesse’s Tip: Hawthorn by 25 points

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North Melbourne vs Fremantle Prediction

This looms as a genuine danger game for Fremantle despite their dominant season.

North Melbourne have proven capable of challenging the Dockers in recent years and possess enough midfield talent through Luke Davies-Uniacke and Tom Powell to stay competitive. Fremantle remain the better side, with Caleb Serong, Hayden Young and Shai Bolton continuing to deliver week after week.

Jesse’s Tip: Fremantle by 16 points

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Gold Coast vs Brisbane Prediction

The latest QClash arrives at a fascinating time, with both clubs searching for consistency.

Gold Coast sit inside the top five but still feel like a side with another gear to find. Christian Petracca, Matt Rowell and Noah Anderson provide enormous midfield talent, while Brisbane continue to battle poor form and confidence issues despite the quality of Lachie Neale and Will Ashcroft.

Jesse’s Tip: Gold Coast Suns by 28 points

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West Coast vs Port Adelaide Prediction

This might not be the glamour fixture of the round, but it carries huge implications for both clubs.

West Coast have improved considerably over the past month and continue to play better football at Optus Stadium. Port Adelaide have been more competitive recently but still struggle to convert strong patches into victories. The Eagles’ recent momentum and home-ground advantage may be enough.

Jesse’s Tip: West Coast Eagles by 6 points

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Sydney vs St Kilda Prediction

Sydney continue to look every bit a premiership contender, with Chad Warner, Isaac Heeney and Brodie Grundy driving one of the AFL’s most complete teams.

St Kilda have been hit hard by injuries, losing several key contributors, and their performance against Hawthorn highlighted some of those issues. At the SCG, Sydney should control the game.

Jesse’s Tip: Sydney Swans by 38 points

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Essendon vs Carlton Prediction

Carlton have transformed their season over the past month, winning three straight games and rediscovering belief.

Patrick Cripps and Sam Walsh have led the resurgence, while Essendon continue to search for answers following consecutive disappointing defeats. The Bombers may improve after an emotional fortnight, but Carlton appear too settled and confident right now.

Jesse’s Tip: Carlton by 38 points

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Collingwood vs Melbourne Prediction

The King's Birthday clash once again carries enormous significance both on and off the field.

Collingwood continue to defend exceptionally well despite injuries and inconsistent form. Melbourne, however, remain one of the competition’s strongest teams at the MCG. Max Gawn and Kozzy Pickett continue to drive the Demons, and their ability to perform on the big stage gives them the edge.

Jesse’s Tip: Melbourne Demons by 26 points