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Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood AFL Round 17 Tips - Suns to break losing streak in wildcard wrestle

adam-cusworth
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Last updated: Tue 30 Jun 2026 19:15

The Gold Coast Suns are tipped to end their five-game losing streak when they host Collingwood at People First Stadium in Round 17 of the 2026 AFL season. Despite recent struggles, the Suns have a formidable home record, especially against interstate rivals, and have won their last two against the Magpies at this venue. Key players Noah Anderson and Nick Daicos are expected to lead in disposals, with both teams needing a win to boost finals hopes. The expert verdict sides with the Suns breaking their slide.

Adam Cusworth 30 Jun 2026
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  • The game will be played at People First Stadium on Saturday July 4, with the first bounce at 4:15pm (AEST)
  • Can the Suns leapfrog the Pies into the Wildcard zone?
  • Preview, expert analysis, stats, team news & best bet
Noah Anderson

Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood, Round 17 2026 - Expert Prediction


Gold Coast will bounce back with a win when they take on Collingwood in what shapes as a crucial match with the two sides either side of the wildcard zone on the ladder.

The Suns have dropped their past five matches to sit in 11th spot on the ladder, just behind 10th-placed Collingwood.

They battled in the west last weekend when taking on the ladder leaders, Fremantle, but return to People First Stadium, where they have won nine of their past 11 against interstate sides.

Gold Coast gets the chance to reset back on home soil and this shapes as the ideal opportunity to halt its losing streak. While the Suns have struggled against the competition's top sides, their form at People First Stadium remains a major strength and they have consistently found a way to lift against interstate opposition.

The Suns have won the past two meetings between these sides at the venue and will back themselves to make it three straight. Their midfield remains one of the competition's strongest on paper and if they can convert clearance dominance into cleaner inside 50 entries, they have the weapons to trouble Collingwood's defence.

Noah Anderson continues to carry the midfield and looks set for another prolific afternoon. The Suns captain has had 30 or more disposals in each of his past five matches against Collingwood and enters this clash after collecting 33 and 43 disposals in his past two outings. His ability to win first possession and drive the ball forward will be crucial.

Collingwood arrives with confidence after consecutive victories, but both of those wins came at the MCG. The Magpies are yet to win outside Victoria this season and now face one of the more difficult interstate trips against a side desperate to keep its finals hopes alive.

Nick Daicos is in irresistible form and should again find plenty of football. The superstar midfielder has produced 35 or more disposals in each of his past five matches and remains the Magpies' barometer through the middle. Expect another huge performance from the Brownlow Medal favourite.

Gold Coast's recent form has been disappointing, but the return home, an excellent recent record against Collingwood and a strong history against interstate opponents at People First Stadium make the Suns the value play. Expect Anderson and Daicos to lead the disposal count, with Gold Coast doing enough to keep its finals hopes alive.

  • Gold Coast have taken out the past two matches between the two sides.
  • The Suns have won nine of their past 11 against interstate opposition at the venue. 
  • Nick Daicos has had 35+ disposals in his past five matches. 
  • Noah Anderson has had 30+ disposals in his past five matches against the Magpies and has had 33 and 43 in the past two rounds.

Head to Head Stats


Gold Coast have won the past two matches between the two sides by six points and 11 points, with both of those played at People First Stadium at a similar stage of the past two seasons.

Standout player performances in the recent head to heads have come from;

  • Noah Anderson (Suns) - 30+ disposals in his past five matches against Collingwood at an average of 33 per game
  • Touk Miller (Suns) - 30+ disposals in four of his past five against the Magpies
  • Nick Daicos (Magpies) - 30+ disposals in three of his past four and 35+ in two of those
  • Ben King (Suns) - Six goals in his past two outings against Collingwood

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis


Gold Coast come in with a 7-8 record and have dropped their past five matches. They come off a 51-point defeat at the hands of the ladder leaders and could manage just three goals for the night.

The Suns now sit in 11th spot on the ladder and have struggled against the competition's best sides, losing their past eight matches against teams currently inside the top 10.

They won the clearances against Fremantle but could not get the game on their own terms, going down 190-269 in uncontested possessions, leading to a 40-54 inside 50 count.

Noah Anderson provided opportunities with 33 disposals and has had 30 or more in five of his past seven matches. Jed Walter kicked two of the Suns' three goals, while Ben King booted the other. King has kicked 43 goals from 15 matches in 2026.

Collingwood Form Analysis


Collingwood come in with a 7-7-1 win-loss-draw record and have won their past two matches, defeating Port Adelaide by 26 points a fortnight ago before a 34-point victory over Richmond last weekend.

Nick Daicos was once again a massive accumulator with 37 disposals and has now produced 35 or more in each of his past five matches. The Brownlow Medal favourite also kicked three goals in another best-on-ground performance.

Josh Daicos gathered 29 disposals after producing 30-plus in his previous two matches, while Lachie Schultz kicked four goals.

Collingwood have a strong record against the lower-ranked sides and are unbeaten in six matches this season against teams below them on the ladder. However, they have lost all three matches outside Victoria in 2026.

Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood Team List & News


to be updated after team selection on Thursday

Gold Coast Suns Team News


Gold Coast did enjoy some good news in the loss to Fremantle with no injuries from the match. Sam Clohesy has another game to serve on suspension, while Will Powell and Lachie Weller are among several players on the Suns' lengthy injury list who are closing in on a return.

Collingwood Team News


Brayden Maynard is a strong chance to return from a shoulder injury, while Angus Anderson and Lachie Sullivan are a pair with strong VFL form pushing for selection. Darcy Moore remains on the sidelines.

Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood AFL 2026 Round 17 FAQ’s

  • How to watch Gold Coast Suns vs Collingwood AFL 2026 Round 17?

    You can watch the Gold Coast SUNS vs Collingwood AFL 2026 Round 17 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

  • How to buy tickets to Gold Coast SUNS vs Collingwood AFL 2026 Round 17?

    To buy tickets to the Gold Coast SUNS vs Collingwood AFL 2026 Round 17 game check the AFL website or the official Gold Coast SUNS site.

Verdict

Suns to snap losing streak with Daicos and Anderson accumulating big numbers
Best Bet1: Gold Coast Suns Win $1.53 at OnlyBets - 1 Unit
Best Bet2: Noah Anderson 30+ Player Disposals $1.86 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Best Bet3: Nick Daicos 35+ Player Disposals $2.05 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Gold Coast Suns
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$1.53 - 1 Unit
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