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Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream - Wawrinka to stay competitive

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Tue 24 Feb 2026 22:48

In Dubai's second round, Daniil Medvedev faces Stan Wawrinka, both former champions. Wawrinka, who made his Dubai debut in 2006, is having a strong final season on tour. Though Medvedev has been inconsistent, his recent performances suggest a return to form. Wawrinka may push the match beyond 21.5 games, but Medvedev is expected to triumph. Both players tend to play lengthy sets, and Medvedev leads their head-to-head 3-2. Fans can stream the match live via platforms like Unibet.

Andrew Hendrie 24 Feb 2026
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  • Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka predictions for Wednesday's ATP Dubai R2
  • All five previous meetings between the pair have seen both players win a set
  • Wawrinka enjoying a strong year & tipped to push this Over 21.5 total games
  • Both players former Dubai champions
  • The match is scheduled to start at 9.00pm AEDT on Wednesday February 25
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Daniil Medvedev
Daniil Medvedev (Photo by Getty Images)


Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka Tips, Prediction & Live Stream


We've got a nice popcorn match to launch second round proceedings in Dubai on Wednesday as former World No. 1 Daniil Medvedev comes up against resurgent three-time major champion Stan Wawrinka.

Both players are former Dubai champions as well. Medvedev took home the silverware in 2023, while Wawrinka triumphed a decade ago in 2016. Incredibly, Wawrinka made his Dubai debut two decades ago in 2006 against a certain Roger Federer. The 40-year-old, who celebrates his birthday next month, has enjoyed a fantastic start to what will be his final year on tour, breaking back into the world's top 100 and featuring in multiple memorable matches.

This will be Wawrinka's fourth match in 2026 against a top 15 player. While he's gone 0-3 so far, he's been competitive in most of them and I think he can push this match Over 21.5 total games. Medvedev has returned to some of his best form over the last few months, but he still doesn't look entirely convincing out there. The two previous best-of-three matches between the pair have gone over, while Wawrinka has a good record of pushing top players lately. Take the overs as the best bet, with Medvedev coming out on top.
  • Medvedev has won 18 of his last 22 matches
  • Medvedev has won 12 of his 16 matches in Dubai
  • Medvedev has won his last nine matches vs players outside the top 50
  • Wawrinka has lost his last seven matches vs top 15 players
  • Wawrinka hasn't made an ATP quarter-final since Stockholm 2024
  • Wawrinka has seen Over 21.5 games in four of his last five best-of-three matches vs top 15 players
  • Wawrinka has seen Over 21.5 games in 10 of his last 12 best-of-three matches overall
  • All five previous meetings have seen both players win a set

Medvedev vs Wawrinka Head To Head

Medvedev leads 3-2. Wawrinka has prevailed in two of the last three, but Medvedev was a three-set winner in their most-recent clash in Rotterdam 2025.

YearWinnerEventRoundSurfaceScore
2025Daniil MedvedevRotterdamRound of 32Indoor Hard6–7(8), 6–4, 6–1
2022Stan WawrinkaMetzRound of 16Indoor Hard6–4, 6–7(7), 6–3
2020Stan WawrinkaAustralian OpenRound of 16Outdoor Hard6–2, 2–6, 4–6, 7–6(2), 6–2
2019Daniil MedvedevUS OpenQuarterfinalOutdoor Hard7–6(6), 6–3, 3–6, 6–1
2017Daniil MedvedevWimbledonRound of 128Outdoor Grass6–4, 3–6, 6–4, 6–1

Daniil Medvedev Form Analysis

  • 2026 Record: 10-3
  • ATP Dubai Record: 12-4
  • Current Ranking: No. 11
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 1 (2022)

It's been a good start to the year for Medvedev and you'd expect him to break back into the top 10 before the clay swing with big Masters 1000 events in Indian Wells and Miami coming up next month.

Medvedev secured his 22nd title to launch the season in Brisbane, but he'd be a bit disappointed with how he's performed since.

Indeed, Medvedev suffered a heavy defeat in the Australian Open R16 to his new rival Learner Tien, while he was upstaged in the first round of Rotterdam by Ugo Humbert - another player who has a good record against him.

Medvedev also went out in the second round of Doha last week to Stefanos Tsitsipas, so this is an important tournament for him to steady the ship. The former US Open champion got off to a good start, crushing Juncheng Shang for the second straight week, easing to a 6-1 6-3 win.

Stan Wawrinka Form Analysis

  • 2026 Record: 6-7
  • ATP Dubai Record: 6-3
  • Current Ranking: No. 99
  • Career-High Ranking: No. 3 (2014)

It's been a very encouraging start to the year for Wawrinka, who has announced this will be his final season on tour.

The 40-year-old produced some great tennis in the United Cup to help Switzerland make the final before going on to reach the third round of the Australian Open, where he took a set off top 10 star Taylor Fritz.

Wawrinka has improved to a perfect 4-0 in first round matches in 2026 after making the second rounds at Montpellier, Rotterdam and now Dubai.

It took top 10 players in Felix Auger-Aliassime and Alex de Minaur to knock him out of Montpellier and Rotterdam and now Wawrinka faces No. 11 Medvedev after toppling Benjamin Hassan 7-5 6-3 in his Dubai opener.

Medvedev vs Wawrinka Live Stream

Watch and bet on Daniil Medvedev vs Stan Wawrinka live tennis from Dubai.

You can watch and bet on the match live at Unibet > Tennis > ATP Dubai with the action available to stream on desktop and mobile.

Geo-restrictions apply, you'll need a funded account or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours to gain access. 18+ terms and conditions apply.

Verdict

Wawrinka is tipped to push this match Over 21.5 games, but Medvedev should prove too strong.

Best Bet1: Over 21.5 Total Games $1.90 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Medvedev & Over 21.5 H2H/Total Games $2.35 at Playup - 1 Unit
Over 21.5
Total Games
$1.90 - 2 Units
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