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Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Tips & Prediction - Original Rivalry kicks off Round 19

andrew-hendrie
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Last updated: Fri 27 Feb 2026 01:33

In the anticipated A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Adelaide United at AAMI Park, both teams come in strong. Adelaide, in fourth, is unbeaten in six of their last seven, while Victory recently triumphed 3-1 against Melbourne City. Star players like Juan Mata and Luka Jovanovic are expected to play pivotal roles. With Adelaide's solid away form and Victory's inconsistency, betting on Adelaide in the Double Chance market and an Over 3.5 goals outcome is recommended.

Andrew Hendrie 27 Feb 2026
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  • Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United predictions for Friday's A-League Round 19 game
  • Both teams in strong form, goals expected in an entertaining clash
  • Adelaide unbeaten in four away games, winning three
  • The match is scheduled for kick off at 7.35pm AEDT on Friday February 27
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Melbourne Victory Adelaide United A-League Men
Victory host Adelaide on Friday (Photo by Getty Images)


Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Tips & Prediction


It's another blockbuster Original Rivalry showdown to launch A-League Round 19 as Melbourne Victory welcome Adelaide United to AAMI Park on Friday night.

Both teams come into this clash in great form. Adelaide are unbeaten in six of their last seven games and sit in fourth spot on the ladder, while Victory are one rung below after beating crosstown rivals Melbourne City 3-1 last week. The winner of this match would firmly establish themselves in the finals spots and give themselves an opportunity of a top two finish. Juan Mata has been in electric form for Victory all season and the midfield maestro will be a key figure once again, while young Reds striker Luka Jovanovic has been in red-hot form after returning from international duty.

I think Adelaide are good value in the Double Chance market. There was a time when it was taboo to back the Reds on the road, but they've gone unbeaten in their last four away games, winning three. Victory just don't do it for me around $1.60 in the H2H market - they are a class side, but still erratic, inconsistent and unreliable - see their draw with lowly Brisbane a couple of weeks ago. I'm expecting Over 3.5 goals from two sides that love to attack, with 20-year-old Jovanovic aiming to find the back of the net for the third straight game.
  • Adelaide are unbeaten in six of their last seven matches
  • Adelaide are unbeaten in their last four away games
  • Victory have won just three of their last seven games
  • Adelaide defeated Victory 2-1 in their most-recent outing earlier this term
  • Over 3.5 goals has landed in six of Adelaide's last nine games
  • Over 3.5 goals has landed in two of Victory's last three games
  • Luka Jovanovic has registered a score involvement in his last three games (two goals, one assist)

Melbourne Victory vs Adelaide United Head To Head

Both teams have won 2-1 at home in their two meetings this season. Ryan Kitto scored a dramatic 97th minute winner for Adelaide in the most-recent clash in Round 13.

Melbourne Victory Form Analysis

Victory come into this contest with a 8-3-7 record on the season and in fifth spot on the ladder, five points clear of seventh.

Arthur Diles' side are on a three-game unbeaten run, beating Wellington 3-2 on the road before a somewhat disappointing 1-1 draw at home to Brisbane.

However, Victory returned to the winners circle with a bang in the derby last week, producing some brilliant football to conquer City 3-1.

It was another Mata masterclass, with the Spanish veteran opening the scoring with a 40-metre screamer that is surely a goal-of-the-season contender before bagging his brace with another stunning effort from outside the box.

Mata then registered his ninth assist of the season (competition-high) as Brazilian winger Santos iced the game in the 89th minute.

“I’m just really happy that he scored, because he’s hit posts and crossbars," Diles said of Mata after the game. 
"Keepers have made fantastic saves on him. Yes, he’s given a great amount of assists, but I’ve been hoping, deep inside I’m thinking, ‘Come on, you’ve got to score more goals too because you’re worth it and you deserve it’.
“Tonight was beautiful to see that he was able to give an outstanding assist and score two amazing goals.“More importantly, he does his job within the team to work extremely hard.”

Melbourne Victory Team News

Melbourne Victory FC Squad: 2. Jason DAVIDSON, 3. Adama TRAORE, 7. Reno PISCOPO, 8. Jordi VALADON, 9. Nikolaos VERGOS, 10. Denis GENREAU, 11. Clerismario SANTOS RODRIGUES, 14. Matthew GRIMALDI, 15. Sebastian ESPOSITO, 16. Joshua INSERRA, 17. Nishan VELUPILLAY, 19. Jing REEC, 21. Roderick MIRANDA, 22. Joshua RAWLINS, 23. Keegan JELACIC, 25. Jack DUNCAN, 34. Xavier STELLA, 40. Jack WARSHAWSKY, 44. Charles NDUKA, 64. Juan MATA

Adelaide United Form Analysis

Adelaide head into this encounter with a 9-2-7 record on the season, two points ahead of Victory in fourth spot on the ladder.

It's been a typical rollercoaster season for Adelaide, but they've been on a high over the last couple of months, going unbeaten in six of their last seven games - with their only defeat in that period coming against leaders Newcastle.

The Reds conquered Sydney FC 2-1 on the road (their third win in four away games) before last week's crushing 4-0 victory at home over Perth.

Juan Muniz, Jonny Yull and Luke Duzel each scored great individual efforts to put Adelaide in the drivers seat before half-time, while Luka Jovanovic increased his season tally to six goals after he found the back of the net just after the break.

Adelaide United Team News

Adelaide United squad: 3.Bart VRIENDS, 4.Panagiotis KIKIANIS, 7.Ryan KITTO, 9.Luka JOVANOVIĆ, 10.Juan MUÑIZ, 12.Jonny YULL, 14.Jay BARNETT, 17.Ben FOLAMI, 19.Yaya DUKULY, 22.Joshua SMITS, 23.Luke DUZEL, 35.Brody BURKITT, 36.Panashe MADANHA, 40.Ethan COX, 44.Ryan WHITE, 52.Sotiri PHILLIS, 54.Bailey O’NEIL, 55.Ethan ALAGICH, 65.Joey GARUCCIO, 74.Amlani TATU

Verdict

Over 3.5 goals is backed between two teams who are on fire in attack, with Adelaide tipped in the Double Chance market.

Best Bet1: Over 2.5 Total Goals $2.05 at Playup - 2 Units
Best Bet2: Adelaide Win or Draw Double Chance $2.30 at dabble - 2 Units
Best Bet3: Luka Jovanovic Anytime Goalscorer $3.00 at Teambet - 1 Unit
Best Bet4: 2-2 Correct Score $12.00 at picklebet - 1 Unit
Over 2.5
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$2.05 - 2 Units
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Betting Slip | 27 Feb 2026

Melbourne Victory v Adelaide United

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