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Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights NRL Tips - Defensive tussle with Dogs expected to come out on top
- Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 5 NRL game
- Kick off is at 6:15 PM (AEST) at Accor Stadium
- The Bulldogs are on a winning streak, expected to defeat the Knights in Round 5.
- Both teams boast strong defenses; expect a low-scoring match.
- Bronson Xerri is in form with recent try-scoring success.
Top Picks for the Doggies vs Knights matchup!
Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
The Bulldogs will extend their unbeaten run against the Knights this Sunday in a low scoring affair.
- Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
- Canterbury Bulldogs Team List
- Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Newcastle Knights Team News
- Newcastle Knights Team List
- Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s
Both of these teams have had trouble putting points on the board over the past few seasons. Last year Canterbury ranked 10th in points scored with 22 per match while Newcastle were 16th with 19.4 per game. This year Canterbury are averaging 26 points per game thanks to a big win over the Titans in round 2 while Newcastle are averaging just 14 pts per outing.
Both teams are extremely tight defensively with the Knights giving up just 15.3 per game, 3rd best in the league and the Bulldogs 14.5 sitting atop the table in Opposition Points.
My expectation in this game is that both teams will put in a lot of effort defensively to restrict their opponent's momentum forward but the Bulldogs will end up having more chances at scoring. Newcastle are 10th in opposition Run Metres which means the Bulldogs will make it to that end of the park.
With both teams struggling to put points on the board I am backing the Under and for the Bulldogs to cover the line. Both goalkickers are averaging under 65% so we will likely see points left out on the park there. The Bulldogs have scored first in all 4 games this season, let’s back Bronson Xerri who has form over his past 2 games.
- The Bulldogs have won 2 in a row vs Newcastle covering in both matchups.
- These teams are top 3 in defence and over the past few seasons bottom half in attack.
- The Bulldogs have scored the first try in all 4 games so far this season.
- Bronson Xerri has scored 3 tries in his last 2 games and the Knights give up 43% of tries down their right edge.
Head to Head
The Bulldogs and Knights have met 11 times since the start of the 2019 season. Newcastle have the better record during the span but only by a whisker 6-5. Canterbury have been more successful of late taking both matchups last season and 3 of the last 5.
The Over/Under has been split 1-1 the past two seasons but prior to that 6 of the 7 games played all went Under. The last 5 games straight have been blowouts with an average of 34 pt win margin.
Canterbury Bulldogs Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | 3-1 | 2-2 |
The Bulldogs continue to impress and defy the odds with a 4th straight win last weekend, this time over fellow top 8 contenders Cronulla 20-6.
Canterbury are the only undefeated team remaining in the competition and have allowed just 14 total points to their opponents over their last two games. Their staunch defensive mindset that saw them be so successful last season has continued into 2025 as they lead the league in opposition points per game.
Despite being without a host of top name players the Bulldogs have been going about their business and have been able to produce enough points to put them past their opponents, there are still areas of improvement but they are on the right track.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | 2-2 | 2-0 | 2-0 |
Canterbury Bulldogs Team News
Sitili Tupouniua is suspended and is replaced in the 17 by Kurtis Morrin in the only change for the Bulldogs team that beat Cronulla last weekend.
Jacob Kiraz has been named in the reserves as he pushes for a return from injury.
Canterbury Bulldogs Team List
1. Connor Tracey
2. Blake Wilson
3. Bronson Xerri
4. Stephen Crichton
5. Marcelo Montoya
6. Bailey Hayward
7. Toby Sexton
8. Max King
9. Reed Mahoney
10. Daniel Suluka-Fifita
11. Josh Curran
12. Jacob Preston
13. Jaeman Salmon
Interchange
14. Kurt Mann
15. Harry Hayes
16. Jack Todd
17. Kurtis Morrin
Reserves
19. Lipoi Hopoi
20. Blake Taaffe
21. Jake Turpin
22. Luke Smith
23. Jacob Kiraz
Newcastle Knights Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 1-2 | 0-3 |
The Knights had the first of their byes last weekend and are 2-1 to start the 2025 season.
Their most recent game was a 26-6 loss to the Titans who they have struggled to beat in matchups over the past few years. The problems the Knights have had with creativity in attack once again reared their ugly heads in the loss. Newcastle had the majority of the Territory and had 44 Tackles in the Titans 20m zone for only one try 5 minutes from full time with the result already decided.
On the defensive end the team is once again solid, allowing just 8 and 12 points across their first two games before allowing 26 to the Titans.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 0-3 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
Newcastle Knights Team News
Leo Thompson returns to the team and slots straight into his usual backrow spot. Brodie Jones is the player to make way, being named 18th man.
Kai Pearce-Paul and Dylan Lucas remain out.
Newcastle Knights Team List
1. Kalyn Ponga
2. James Schiller
3. Dane Gagai
4. Bradman Best
5. Greg Marzhew
6. Fletcher Sharpe
7. Jack Cogger
8. Jacob Saifiti
9. Phoenix Crossland
10. Leo Thompson
11. Thomas Cant
12. Tyson Frizell
13. Adam Elliott
Interchange
14. Jayden Brailey
15. Jack Hetherington
16. Jermaine McEwen
17. Mat Croker
Reserves
18. Brodie Jones
19. Kyle McCarthy
20. Matt Arthur
21. Jackson Hastings
22. Tyrone Thompson
Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s
How to watch Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 5?
You can watch the Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 5?
To buy tickets to the Canterbury Bulldogs vs Newcastle Knights NRL 2025 Round 5 game check the NRL website or the official Canterbury Bulldogs site.
Verdict
With both teams struggling to put points on the board I am backing the Under and for the Bulldogs to cover the line. Both goalkickers are averaging under 65% so we will likely see points left out on the park there. The Bulldogs have scored first in all 4 games this season, let’s back Bronson Xerri who has form over his past 2 games.
Canterbury -5.5
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