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Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers NRL Tips - Tigers tipped to cover as large underdogs
- Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 5 NRL game
- Kick off is at 7:35 PM (AEST) at Suncorp Stadium
- Wests Tigers tipped to cover large line vs Broncos.
- Jarome Luai's absence a challenge for Tigers.
- Expect tight contest; look out for Jack Gosiewski as a potential tryscorer.
Excuse me??? Tigers at +17.5 - you are off ya rocker mate
Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
Brisbane will extend their win streak over the Tigers to three with a victory at home on Saturday night but with the large line on offer I am backing Wests to cover as the Underdog.
- Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Brisbane Broncos Team News
- Brisbane Broncos Team List
- Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Recent Form
- 2025 Betting Trends
- Wests Tigers Team News
- Wests Tigers Team List
- Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers NRL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s
Whilst the Tigers own the better head to head record across the last 6 seasons it is the Broncos that have had the success in the two most recent games. With Jarome Luai out of the team suspended I can see Wests struggling to have enough attacking power to outscore the rampaging Broncos but will do enough to keep it close.
Brisbane rank 5th in Run Metres so far this season averaging 1443 per game with Payne Haas being a large contributor to that number. Last week the majority of their tries came off the back of barnstorming runs up the middle which allowed the halves and outside backs to attack fatigued defenders.
Wests showed in their loss to the Warriors last week that their middle defence is vulnerable with at least two opposition tries coming from yawning gaps near the ruck. They will no doubt be looking to close those gaps against one of the best forward packs in the league so I am expecting less of an advantage in that area.
Our predictive modelling has the Broncos winning by 4-6 pts, even without Luai it's hard seeing this balloon out to 3 converted tries. Take the Tigers to cover, Broncos to go Under their team total while Jack Gosiewski is a good pick for tryscorer.
- The Tigers are 3-1 ATS this season and covered in 4 of 5 games last season as underdogs of 12.5 pts or more.
- Wests have allowed an average of only 15 pts per game to their opponents this season, the 2nd best number in the NRL.
- 3 of 5 tries against the Tigers last weekend came from tired middle/edge defence.
- Jack Gosiewski has scored 3 tries in his last 3 games against Wests and scored the first try in Round 3 vs the Cowboys this year.
Head to Head
The Broncos have won the last 2 straight against the Tigers but had lost 4 in a row prior dating back to the start of the 2019 season. 3 of the 4 victories by the Tigers in that period have come at Suncorp Stadium.
The Over has hit in 4 of 6 matchups with the lone game last year going Under. The winning margin has been 13+ in 5 straight years.
Brisbane Broncos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | 1-3 | 2-2 |
The Broncos looked in control from start to finish in their matchup against the Dolphins last weekend where they ran out victors 20-12. Hey had strong goal line defence early, rejecting multiple attempts from the Dolphins to score.
Brisbane had just 9 tackles all game in their opposition 20m zone. The first of their 4 tries being long range and the other 3 all coming from the first tackle in the 20m area following barnstorming charges up the field.
Payne Haas had 153 Run Metres to go with 38 tackles, the best numbers by any forward on the night while Gehamat Shibasaki continued his stunning return to top flight footy with 176 metres and 2 tries.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | 2-2 | 2-1 | 1-0 |
Brisbane Broncos Team News
Brendan Piakura has been elevated to the starting side in place of Jordan Riki who will miss two games for a high shot last weekend.
Jaiyden Hunt is the new man on the bench.
Brisbane Broncos Team List
1. Reece Walsh
2. Selwyn Cobbo
3. Kotoni Staggs
4. Gehamat Shibasaki
5. Jesse Arthars
6. Ben Hunt
7. Adam Reynolds
8. Patrick Carrigan
9. Cory Paix
10. Payne Haas
11. Jack Gosiewski
12. Brendan Piakura
13. Kobe Hetherington
Interchange
14. Billy Walters
15. Corey Jensen
16. Xavier Willison
17. Jaiyden Hunt
Reserves
18. Tyson Smoothy
19. Deine Mariner
20. Martin Taupau
21. Benjamin Te Kura
22. Jock Madden
Wests Tigers Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | 3-1 | 1-3 |
The Tigers lost a very winnable game against the Warriors last weekend in slippery conditions at Campbelltown Stadium. Poor middle defence gifted their opponents at least two tries with the forwards strolling in almost untouched to the in-goal.
To finish things off a penalty for a high shot was the ultimate decider with the Warriors landing a penalty goal with 8 minutes remaining to seal the win. The Tigers tried valiantly to get more points on the board in the last few minutes but once again were their own worst enemy with crucial mistakes handing the ball over to their opponent.
Wests did well to score the points they did with only 33% of Territory in the game, 1228 run metres and just 17 tackles inside their opponents 20m zone.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-1 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1-0 |
Wests Tigers Team News
Adam Doueihi has been named despite dropping out of last week’s game in the warm up. Jack Bird reverts back to the bench. Luke Laulilii grabs the wing spot left open by the injury to Jeral Skelton.
Latu Fainu comes in at halfback with Jarome Luai copping a one match suspension for a high tackle.
Wests Tigers Team List
1. Jahream Bula
2. Sunia Turuva
3. Adam Doueihi
4. Starford To'a
5. Luke Laulilii
6. Lachlan Galvin
7. Latu Fainu
8. Terrell May
9. Api Koroisau
10. Fonua Pole
11. Samuela Fainu
12. Alex Seyfarth
13. Alex Twal
Interchange
14. Tallyn Da Silva
15. Royce Hunt
16. Jack Bird
17. Sione Fainu
Reserves
18. Heath Mason
19. Kit Laulilii
20. Solomona Faataape
21. Reuben Porter
22. Tony Sukkar
Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers NRL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s
How to watch Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers NRL 2025 Round 5?
You can watch the Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers NRL 2025 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers NRL 2025 Round 5?
To buy tickets to the Brisbane Broncos vs Wests Tigers NRL 2025 Round 5 game check the NRL website or the official Brisbane Broncos site.
Verdict
Take the Tigers to cover, Broncos to go Under their team total while Jack Gosiewski is a good pick for tryscorer.
Wests +17.5
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Jack Gosiewski
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