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Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL Tips - Dragons find consistency against the Eels

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Wed 02 Apr 2025 11:40

Jeremy Darke 02 Apr 2025

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Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 5 NRL game
Kick off is at 3:00 PM (AEDT) at CommBank Stadium
Christian Tuipulotu is anticipated to continue scoring streak.
Will the Eels stay winless in 2025?

Eels vs Dragons tips and predictions.

Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction

Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Parramatta Eels Team News
Parramatta Eels Team List
St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
St George Illawarra Dragons Team List
Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s

The Dragons will back up their shock win against the Storm with another strong performance against the hapless Eels, covering the 4.5 points as the favourite.

One of the talking points of St George’s 2024 season was consistency and that will be under the microscope this week in a game they are expected to win after playing out of their skin against the Melbourne Storm last week and got a victory when they started as 10.5-point underdogs.

They now face the winless Eels that have shown no real signs of attacking prowess without Mitch Moses in the side. The Dragons defence will be expected to be at the same level as it was last week when they held the Storm to just 8 points.

The Dragons’ attack hasn’t been great either but they will do enough to cover the 4.5 points as the favourite, but not enough to push the game total to 50+ points.

Christian Tuipulotu has been firing to start the season and Parramatta have given up 4 tries to left wingers this season, so expect the 24-year-old to cross for his fifth try of the season and his third consecutive try at CommBank Stadium.

The Eels have an average losing margin of 21.5 points this season and have not lost by less than 8 points.
The Eels and Dragons have a combined points per game average of 30.3 points this season.
4 of the last 6 matches between the Eels and dragons has gone under the game total of 49.5 points.
Christian Tuipulotu has scored 6 tries in his last 5 games.

Head to Head

Parramatta have won the last three matches against St George playing once per year over the last 5 years with the Head-to-head count at 3-2 to the Eels.

Last year’s encounter left fans on the edge of their seats with the Eels leading 44-12 in the 69th minute before the Dragons scoring 5 tries in the final 11 minutes to bring the margin within 4, eventually going down 44-40.

Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
0-4	2-2	1-3

Another week passed and another loss for the Parramatta Eels. It is not all doom and gloom after their 26-12 loss to Manly at Brookie though with a couple positives to take out from the loss.

Containing the Sea Eagles to 26 points at Brookie was a good effort after they went 40+ against both the Cowboys and Raiders at 4 Pines Park already this season. Defence is only half the battle though with their attack to poor to pose any real threat.

There is simply no go forward for the Eels, who are last with an average of just 1,482 run metres per game and only breaking their opposition line 3 times per game this season.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
2-2	1-3	0-1	0-3

Parramatta Eels Team News

Dylan Walker comes straight in onto the bench for the Eels after his mid-season move from the Warriors.

Ryley Smith will start at hooker with Joey Lussick out of the squad. Luca Moretti is back on the interchange bench with Charlie Guymer dropped.

Parramatta Eels Team List

1. Isaiah Iongi

2. Sean Russell

3. Will Penisini

4. Zac Lomax

5. Josh Addo-Carr

6. Dylan Brown

7. Dean Hawkins

8. Joe Ofahengaue

9. Ryley Smith

10. Junior Paulo

11. Shaun Lane

12. Kitione Kautoga

13. J'maine Hopgood

Interchange

14. Dylan Walker

15. Luca Moretti

16. Sam Tuivaiti

17. Dan Keir

Reserves

18. Joash Papalii

19. Charlie Guymer

20. Bailey Simonsson

21. Brendan Hands

22. Ronald Volkman

St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-2	1-2	1-2

Upset of the season…again. The Dragons pulled off a miracle for the second year in row, beating the Storm 14-8 at Jubilee Stadium.

The Dragons defence was supernatural in the first half, holding league leaders Melbourne to a 38th minute try in the first half after absorbing the Storm who had 70% territory and 31 tackles inside their 20m line. Jacob Liddle then crossed in the 68th minute to score the only try of the second half and win it for the Dragons.

St George still have the third-longest odds to win the premiership, so don’t get too excited. But, Shane Flanagan’s men have shown what they can do when they can hold their defensive line together. Finding creativity in attack is also a must for the Dragons if they are going to build on their win against Melbourne.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-12	13+
1-2	1-2	1-2	0-0

St George Illawarra Dragons Team News

Emre Guler took a three-match suspension for a crusher tackle against the Storm and will be replaced by Toby Couchman in the starting side with Blake Lawrie returning to the bench.

St George Illawarra Dragons Team List

1. Clint Gutherson

2. Tyrell Sloan

3. Moses Suli

4. Valentine Holmes

5. Christian Tuipulotu

6. Kyle Flanagan

7. Lachlan Ilias

8. Toby Couchman

9. Damien Cook

10. David Klemmer

11. Luciano Leilua

12. Jaydn Su'A

13. Jack de Belin

Interchange

14. Jacob Liddle

15. Blake Lawrie

16. Hamish Stewart

17. Dylan Egan

Reserves

18. Mathew Feagai

19. Raymond Faitala-Mariner

20. Sione Finau

21. Lyhkan King-Togia

22. Loko Pasifiki Tonga

Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s

How to watch Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5?

You can watch the Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5 game check the NRL website or the official Parramatta Eels site.

Verdict

Parramatta Eels v St George Illawarra Dragons

Christian Tuipulotu will score a try as the Dragons cover the 4.5 points as the favourite in a match that stays under 50 points.

St George -4.5

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