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Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL Tips - Dragons find consistency against the Eels
The upcoming match between Parramatta Eels and St George Illawarra Dragons in Round 5, 2025, promises to be compelling. The Dragons are expected to ride on their recent win against Melbourne Storm and maintain their solidity in defense to cover the 4.5-point spread against a winless Eels side. Despite Eels' current drawbacks in attack, their past encounters with the Dragons have been closely contested. Christian Tuipulotu has been in outstanding form and is anticipated to cross the line once more with the game overall staying under 50 points.
- Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 5 NRL game
- Kick off is at 3:00 PM (AEDT) at CommBank Stadium
- Christian Tuipulotu is anticipated to continue scoring streak.
- Will the Eels stay winless in 2025?
Eels vs Dragons tips and predictions.
Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
- Head to Head
- Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- Parramatta Eels Team News
- Parramatta Eels Team List
- St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
- St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
- St George Illawarra Dragons Team List
- Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s
The Dragons will back up their shock win against the Storm with another strong performance against the hapless Eels, covering the 4.5 points as the favourite.
One of the talking points of St George’s 2024 season was consistency and that will be under the microscope this week in a game they are expected to win after playing out of their skin against the Melbourne Storm last week and got a victory when they started as 10.5-point underdogs.
They now face the winless Eels that have shown no real signs of attacking prowess without Mitch Moses in the side. The Dragons defence will be expected to be at the same level as it was last week when they held the Storm to just 8 points.
The Dragons’ attack hasn’t been great either but they will do enough to cover the 4.5 points as the favourite, but not enough to push the game total to 50+ points.
Christian Tuipulotu has been firing to start the season and Parramatta have given up 4 tries to left wingers this season, so expect the 24-year-old to cross for his fifth try of the season and his third consecutive try at CommBank Stadium.
- The Eels have an average losing margin of 21.5 points this season and have not lost by less than 8 points.
- The Eels and Dragons have a combined points per game average of 30.3 points this season.
- 4 of the last 6 matches between the Eels and dragons has gone under the game total of 49.5 points.
- Christian Tuipulotu has scored 6 tries in his last 5 games.
Head to Head
Parramatta have won the last three matches against St George playing once per year over the last 5 years with the Head-to-head count at 3-2 to the Eels.
Last year’s encounter left fans on the edge of their seats with the Eels leading 44-12 in the 69th minute before the Dragons scoring 5 tries in the final 11 minutes to bring the margin within 4, eventually going down 44-40.
Parramatta Eels Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 0-4 | 2-2 | 1-3 |
Another week passed and another loss for the Parramatta Eels. It is not all doom and gloom after their 26-12 loss to Manly at Brookie though with a couple positives to take out from the loss.
Containing the Sea Eagles to 26 points at Brookie was a good effort after they went 40+ against both the Cowboys and Raiders at 4 Pines Park already this season. Defence is only half the battle though with their attack to poor to pose any real threat.
There is simply no go forward for the Eels, who are last with an average of just 1,482 run metres per game and only breaking their opposition line 3 times per game this season.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-3 |
Parramatta Eels Team News
Dylan Walker comes straight in onto the bench for the Eels after his mid-season move from the Warriors.
Ryley Smith will start at hooker with Joey Lussick out of the squad. Luca Moretti is back on the interchange bench with Charlie Guymer dropped.
Parramatta Eels Team List
1. Isaiah Iongi
2. Sean Russell
3. Will Penisini
4. Zac Lomax
5. Josh Addo-Carr
6. Dylan Brown
7. Dean Hawkins
8. Joe Ofahengaue
9. Ryley Smith
10. Junior Paulo
11. Shaun Lane
12. Kitione Kautoga
13. J'maine Hopgood
Interchange
14. Dylan Walker
15. Luca Moretti
16. Sam Tuivaiti
17. Dan Keir
Reserves
18. Joash Papalii
19. Charlie Guymer
20. Bailey Simonsson
21. Brendan Hands
22. Ronald Volkman
St George Illawarra Dragons Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
| Last 5 W/L | Last 5 ATS | Last 5 O/U |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Upset of the season…again. The Dragons pulled off a miracle for the second year in row, beating the Storm 14-8 at Jubilee Stadium.
The Dragons defence was supernatural in the first half, holding league leaders Melbourne to a 38th minute try in the first half after absorbing the Storm who had 70% territory and 31 tackles inside their 20m line. Jacob Liddle then crossed in the 68th minute to score the only try of the second half and win it for the Dragons.
St George still have the third-longest odds to win the premiership, so don’t get too excited. But, Shane Flanagan’s men have shown what they can do when they can hold their defensive line together. Finding creativity in attack is also a must for the Dragons if they are going to build on their win against Melbourne.
2025 Betting Trends
| ATS | Over/Under | 1-12 | 13+ |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
St George Illawarra Dragons Team News
Emre Guler took a three-match suspension for a crusher tackle against the Storm and will be replaced by Toby Couchman in the starting side with Blake Lawrie returning to the bench.
St George Illawarra Dragons Team List
1. Clint Gutherson
2. Tyrell Sloan
3. Moses Suli
4. Valentine Holmes
5. Christian Tuipulotu
6. Kyle Flanagan
7. Lachlan Ilias
8. Toby Couchman
9. Damien Cook
10. David Klemmer
11. Luciano Leilua
12. Jaydn Su'A
13. Jack de Belin
Interchange
14. Jacob Liddle
15. Blake Lawrie
16. Hamish Stewart
17. Dylan Egan
Reserves
18. Mathew Feagai
19. Raymond Faitala-Mariner
20. Sione Finau
21. Lyhkan King-Togia
22. Loko Pasifiki Tonga
Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s
How to watch Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5?
You can watch the Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchNRL app is the perfect solution.
How to buy tickets to Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5?
To buy tickets to the Parramatta Eels vs St George Illawarra Dragons NRL 2025 Round 5 game check the NRL website or the official Parramatta Eels site.
Verdict
Christian Tuipulotu will score a try as the Dragons cover the 4.5 points as the favourite in a match that stays under 50 points.
St George -4.5
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Under 49.5
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Christian Tuipulotu
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