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2025 AFL Round 5

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St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants AFL Tips - Saints Jack-ed up to Cover vs Giants in Gather Round

Ryan Tucker

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Last updated: 11 Apr 2025

Ryan Tucker 11 Apr 2025

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St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants expert predictions for Sunday’s Round 5 AFL game
The game will be played at Norwood Oval, with the bounce at 3:20 PM (AEST)
St Kilda is backed to cover the line against GWS Giants in AFL Round 5.
St Kilda has a strong 5-1 ATS record in past six games against GWS.
Saints' defense restricts opponents, while Giants excel in ball movement.

Best picks for Saints vs Giants!

St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction

St Kilda might not win but they will cover as the Underdog in Gather Round against the Giants.

St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
St Kilda Saints Team News
St Kilda Saints Team List
GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Recent Form
2025 Betting Trends
GWS Giants Team News
GWS Giants Team List
St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s

The Saints hold a dominant head to head record over the Giants which could have been better save for the 1 pt victory GWS took in Round 5 last season thanks to a late rushed behind. St Kilda covered the line in that game and hold a 5-1 ATS record in the last 6 matchups between these teams.

St Kilda have shown in the past 3 weeks that their Jacks of all trades are difficult to contain whilst their defensive strategies have restricted opponents to the fewest metres gained of any team in the AFL this year.

For the Giants, their ball movement through the middle of the field is elite and now with Jesse Hogan playing like a man reborn their conversion rate of Goals per Inside 50 has elevated them to 6th in the league.

My expectation is that both teams will need to scheme to try and exploit eachothers weaknesses and with St Kilda’s momentum coupled with their historical success against the Giants it is hard to pass them up on such a large number.

Take St Kilda to cover the line, the Game Total to go Under and Jack Sinclair to have his hands full bringing the ball out of the defensive half.

St Kilda are 4-2 straight up and 5-1 ATS against the Giants in their last 6 games.
The Saints are 3-1 to the Over this year but were 16-7 to the Under last season pointing to an incoming regression. GWS are 3-1 to the Under in 2025.
Jack Sinclair is averaging 28 touches per game in 2025.
The Giants commit 66.5 Turnovers per game, the 3rd highest number in the AFL.

Head to Head

St Kilda have a 4-2 win record against GWS in regular season matchups dating back to the start of the 2019 season. The Giants though have won 2 in a row which includes last year’s lone matchup, a 1 point game, and a finals matchup in 2023 which they took 101-77.

The Under/Over is 3-3 in regular season matchups between these teams with the trend suggesting a different outcome every other game. The last 4 regular season games straight have finished with a 1-39 margin while the two prior were 40+ margins.

St Kilda Saints Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-1	3-1	3-1

St Kilda started the season getting thumped 135-72 by the Crows but have since turned things around winning three on the trot, most recently 89-72 over Port Adelaide.

It is hard to get a grip on the Saints this season with 2 of their games finishing in blowouts and the other 2 in tight contests, but what we can take away is that their 4 x Jacks are all contributing at a high rate, owning the top 4 spots in the team’s player rating ranks.

Jack Macrae notched up 28 disposals, 9 clearances and made 4 tackles in the win over Port while Jack Higgins kicked 3 goals and Jack Sinclair finished with 25 touches including 2 tackles and 2 clearances.

Consistency has been a troublesome point for St Kilda in recent years, especially in scoring but they have proven over the first month of footy that they are moving in the right direction.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-1	3-1	2-0	1-1

St Kilda Saints Team News

Max King has suffered a setback with his injured knee with a timeline on his return yet to be confirmed. Dan Butler is in the same boat but is looking at another 2-3 weeks with his setback.

Jack Steele has travelled with the team but will need to pass a fitness test to be available for selection.

St Kilda Saints Team List

B: I.Keeler, C.Wilkie, J.Webster

HB: L.Stocker, N.Wanganeen-Milera, J.Sinclair

C: M.Wood, J.Steele - C, M.Windhager

HF: B.Hill, J.Higgins, M.Owens

F: C.Sharman, A.Caminiti, D.Wilson

FOLL: R.Marshall, J.Macrae, H.Garcia

I/C (FROM): Z.Jones, L.Collard, T.Travaglia, R.Byrnes, L.Henry, A.Hastie, H.Boxshall, M.Hall

In: J.Steele, L.Henry, H.Boxshall

Out: Nil

GWS Giants Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-1	2-2	1-3

The Giants lead a congested pack of 4 teams all with 3 wins and 1 loss on the season after they returned to the winners circle in style last weekend in a 132-51 demolition of the West Coast Eagles at Homebush.

It was the second time the Giants have scored 100+ this season and also the second time they have kept their opposition score within the 50’s. They led the game against West Coast from wire to wire with Jesse Hogan claiming 9 goals in the victory. Tom Green had 2 goals to go with his 37 disposals and 7 clearances on the day with both Lachie Whitfield and Lachie Ash taking 30+ touches.

The Giants love moving the ball by hand and rank 2nd in the league in average handballs per game at 176. Their efficiency has taken a hit this season, down in 8th for handballs but it hasn’t stopped them from playing to their strengths and seeing it convert into points in the attacking half of the field.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
2-2	1-3	1-1	2-0

GWS Giants Team News

Stephen Coniglio, Brent Daniels and Phoenix Gothard will all need to pass fitness tests to be available for selection. Should Cogs and Daniels not be fit there have been some impressive performances in the VFL by depth players Max Gruzewski and Harvey Thomas.

GWS Giants Team List

B: C.Idun, S.Taylor, H.Himmelberg

HB: L.Whitfield, J.Buckley, L.Ash

C: J.Kelly, F.Callaghan, C.Ward

HF: D.Jones, J.Stringer, T.Bedford

F: T.Greene - C, J.Hogan, A.Cadman

FOLL: K.Briggs, S.Coniglio, T.Green

I/C (FROM): J.Leake, X.O’Halloran, C.Stone, C.Brown, J.Riccardi, H.Thomas, T.McMullin, J.Wehr

In: S.Coniglio, J.Leake, H.Thomas, T.McMullin

Out: B.Daniels (Injured)

St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s

How to watch St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 5?

You can watch the St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the St Kilda Saints vs GWS Giants AFL 2025 Round 5 game check the AFL website or the official St Kilda Saints site.

Verdict

St Kilda v Greater Western Sydney

Take St Kilda to cover the line, the Game Total to go Under and Jack Sinclair to have his hands full bringing the ball out of the defensive half.

St Kilda +14.5

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Under 165.5

Game Total

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Jack Sinclair 30+

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