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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns Tips - Suns stay perfect in wine country

Jeremy Darke

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Last updated: Fri 11 Apr 2025 07:44

Jeremy Darke 11 Apr 2025

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North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns expert predictions for Saturday’s Round 5 AFL game
The game will be played at Barossa Park, with the bounce at 12:35 PM (AEST)'
Suns' midfield performance and scoring pressure are key strengths.
North Melbourne improves disposal efficiency but struggles defensively.

Why the Suns cover against the Roos.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction

The Gold Coast will stay flawless in 2025 and stay on course for their first finals appearance in the club’s history when they put on 100 against North Melbourne and cover the line.

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns, Round 5 2025 - Expert Prediction
Head to Head
North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News
North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List
Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends
Gold Coast Suns Team News
Gold Coast Suns Team List
North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s

The Gold Coast are undefeated this season and will repay the AFL gods for their win against the Crows last weekend by proving that they deserve to be unbeaten by putting up a score against the Kangaroos in the Barossa.

The Suns’ midfield has been spectacular to start the season and although the Kangaroos have improved on last year, their backline falls to tatters, especially through tight ball movement of the opposition, which is exactly how Damien Hardwick’s men play.

Getting good movement inside 50, expect the Suns to put plenty of scoreboard pressure on the Kangaroos with Ben King the main target and Ben Long continuing his fine start to the year with his third multi-goal game in four matches.

North Melbourne haven’t won in Adelaide in the last 6 seasons, losing by 24.5 points or more in 7 of 8 matches.
The Gold Coast have averaged 103 points against the Kangaroos in their last 6 matches.
The Kangaroos have conceded an average of 102.5 points this season, allowing their opponents to score 113 points or more in 3 of 4 matches.
Ben Long is averaging 2.3 goals per game this season.

Head to Head

North Melbourne pantsed the Gold Coast in their most recent matchup in round 17 last season getting up 87-83, however the Suns put 120 on the Roos in Round 9 to win by 68 points.

Over the last 3 seasons the Gold Coast have won 4 of 6 encounters with North Melbourne, all by a margin of 40+.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
1-3	3-1	2-2

North Melbourne hung in there against Sydney until late in the second quarter, going in at the break down by 22 points. That margin expanded quickly in the third term and Roos took their heaviest defeat of the season, going down to the Swans 117-52.

Improvement is certainly clear at North Melbourne in 2025, despite losing 3 of their first four matches of the season. Their disposal efficiency is up there with the best in the business at 74.6%, ranked second in the AFL behind Freo.

Harry Sheezel (29.8 disposals) and Caleb Daniel (28.3 disposals) are getting their hands on the ball and delivering quality outlets that have seen a vast improvement in the ball movement of the Kangaroos.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
3-1	2-2	0-2	1-1

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team News

George Wardlaw will likely return for the Kangaroos after a 21-disposal and 7-clearance performance in the VFL last weekend.

Finn O’Sullivan missed the match against the Swans due to illness and will be available for selection for Saturday’s match against the Suns.

North Melbourne Kangaroos Team List

B: C.Comben, A.Corr, G.Logue

HB: L.McDonald, C.Daniel, D.Tucker

C: F.O’Sullivan, T.Powell, C.McKercher

HF: P.Curtis, N.Larkey, H.Sheezel

F: C.Zurhaar, J.Darling, J.Konstanty

FOLL: T.Xerri, L.Davies-Uniacke, J.Simpkin - C

I/C: Z.Duursma, D.Stephens, Z.Fisher, R.Hardeman, L.Parker

EMG: B.Scott, T.Pink, B.Teakle

In: F.O’Sullivan, Z.Duursma, Z.Fisher

Out: B.Scott (Omitted), M.Whitlock (Omitted), R.Hansen Jr (Omitted)

Gold Coast Suns Form Analysis & Betting Trends

Recent Form

Last 5 W/L	Last 5 ATS	Last 5 O/U
3-0	2-1	2-1

The Suns might have got away with one against Adelaide, beating the Crows 91-90 at People First Stadium with the result hanging on a late no-call inside the Adelaide forward 50. But a win is a win and the Suns have started 2025 unbeaten with 3 victories over the Crows, Demons and Eagles.

The Match against Adelaide was a real test of what the Gold Coast are in 2025 and they managed to win the tussle in a match that swung back and forth in each and every term of the game.

Although they didn’t have it all their way, the Suns midfield was slick once again with Noah Anderson, Sam Flanders and Touk Miller heavily involved, while Daniel Rioli gave them slick service in transition from the backline.

With the ball flowing nicely the Suns are a top 3 side this season with 56.1 inside 50s per game, playing the match at the right end of the field for longer periods than they have in prior seasons.

2025 Betting Trends

ATS	Over/Under	1-39	40+
2-1	2-1	1-0	2-0

Gold Coast Suns Team News

Connor Budarick took a knock against Adelaide and will be out for up to 3 weeks with a rib injury. Jake Rogers will be his likely replacement with Ben Ainsworth covering on the wing.

Gold Coast Suns Team List

B: W.Powell, S.Collins, B.Uwland

HB: J.Noble, M.Andrew, D.Rioli

C: L.Weller, M.Rowell, S.Clohesy

HF: B.Ainsworth, T.Miller, S.Flanders

F: B.King, B.Humphrey, E.Read

FOLL: J.Witts, W.Graham, N.Anderson - C

I/C: J.Walter, N.Holman, B.Long, J.Rogers, J.Jeffrey

EMG: B.Fiorini, N.Moyle, C.Graham

In: N.Holman

Out: C.Budarick (Injured)

North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 5 FAQ’s

How to watch North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 5?

You can watch the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 5 game via Fox Sports or Kayo Sports. If you are watching from outside of Australia the WatchAFL app is the perfect solution.

How to buy tickets to North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 5?

To buy tickets to the North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Gold Coast Suns AFL 2025 Round 5 game check the AFL website or the official North Melbourne Kangaroos site.

Verdict

North Melbourne v Gold Coast

Ben Long will kick at least 2 goals as the Suns score over 102.5 points and cover the 24.5-point margin as the favourite against North Melbourne.

Gold Coast -24.5

Handicap/Line

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Gold Coast Over 102.5

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Ben Long

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